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The Future for TV: The Publisher as Audience Architect
Agenda

• Introduction
• Research report presentation – The Future of TV: The Publisher as
Audience Architect
• Panel discussion
• Audience Q & A
• Close
A future for TV: The publisher as audience architect
Daniel Knapp, Director, Advertising Research
28 November 2013
The value of IP-delivered video advertising for publishers

IHS Electronics & Media
US-domestic and international markets are similar
in size, but very different in business model
composition
Consumer/Net Advertising Revenue by business model - 2012 ($m)*
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
Other ad funded content
Broadcast
Purchase
Rental
Subscription

4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
US

*includes TV and movies, and pay TV based platforms

IHS Electronics & Media

ROW
IP-delivered video outperforms ad market growth
Year-on-year growth in WE advertising revenue (%)
80%
76.0%
70%

60%

50.7%

50%

45.6%
40%

30%
24.6%

22.9%

20%

18.3%
15.8%

14.4%
10%

13.4%
10.0%

8.4%

6.1%

9.1%

6.1%

7.5%

8.0%

0%
2010

2011

2012

2013
Video

IHS Electronics & Media

2014
Total media

2015

2016

2017
IP-delivered video advertising more than doubles
between 2012 and 2017
IP-delivered video advertising revenue and growth - Western Europe
3,000

80%
76.0%
2,500

2,500
2,205

2,000

70%

60%

1,905
50.7%

50%
45.6%

1,610

1,500

40%
1,310
1,051

30%

1,000
24.6%
722

22.9%
20%

18.3%
500

15.8%

479

13.4%
10%

0

0%
2010

2011

2012

2013
Revenue

IHS Electronics & Media

2014
Year-on-year growth

2015

2016

2017
Video becomes an increasingly significant portion of
display ad revenue
IP-delivered video share of display - Western Europe
35%

30%

28.7%
26.9%
25.2%

25%
23.0%
20.6%
20%
17.8%

15%

13.7%
10.7%

10%
7.6%
4.9%

5%
2.0%

1.7%

2003

2004

2.3%

2.8%

3.5%

0%
2005

2006

2007

IHS Electronics & Media

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017
But proliferation of video differs among top markets
IP-delivered video share of display in 2013
40%

35%

33.9%
31.6%

30%

24.9%

25%

21.0%
20%

18.2%

14.3%

15%

10%

5%

0%
France

Spain

IHS Electronics & Media

Italy

UK

US

Germany
Multi-screen video: the consumption/revenue divide

IHS Electronics & Media
It is no surprise that the markets which have seen
linear declines have high proportions of non-linear
viewing
% of TV viewing which is non-linear (2012)
18%

16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
UK

US

IHS Electronics & Media

France

Spain

Germany

Italy
Screens continue to grow – not just at the high-end
100%

90%

80%

70%

10.0 - 11.0
60%

07.1 - 09.9
05.2 - 07.0

04.6 - 05.1

50%

04.1 - 04.5
03.5 - 04.0
03.0 - 03.4

40%

02.5 - 02.9
02.0 - 02.4
30%

20%

10%

0%
Q1-10

Q2-10

Q3-10

Q4-10

Q1-11

Q2-11

Q3-11

Q4-11

Source: IHS - from Mobile Technology Intelligence

IHS Electronics & Media

Q1-12

Q2-12

Q3-12

Q4-12

Q1-13

Q2-13

Q3-13
Proliferation of video-capable devices makes
monetising audiences difficult for publishers
Video-capable devices - Western Europe
1,200

1,000

800

600

400

200

0
2012
Smartphones

Tablets

IHS Electronics & Media

2017
Game consoles

PCs

Smart TVs

Other devices

TV sets
So which devices are users currently relying on?
PC still represents the most important platform for
major commercial broadcasters

ITV

RTL

M6

Mobile/
tablet, 10%
Pay TV, 37%
Pay TV, 43%

PC, 45%

PC, 46%

Connected
TV, 2%

Mobile/
tablet, 15%

IHS Electronics & Media

PC, 90%

Connected
TV, 0%

Mobile/
tablet, 12%
Lower ad-loads on non-PC devices are common feature
of the market, as is disparity between players
Ad-load per stream (# adverts)
12

10

8

6

4

2

0
DE

DK

FI

FR

NL
Web/PC

IHS Electronics & Media

Mobile

NO
Tablet

SE

TR

UK
Audience-based buying and the rise of targeting

IHS Electronics & Media
The US is two years ahead of Western Europe with
11.4% of video revenue already generated
programmatically
IP-delivered video advertising revenue - US
3,500

3,000

2,500

€m

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0
2010

2011

2012

2013
Other video

IHS Electronics & Media

2014
Programmatic video

2015

2016

2017
Programmatic video moves from marginal to
mainstream
IP-delivered video advertising revenue - Western Europe
2,500

2,000

€m

1,500

1,000

500

0
2010

2011

2012

2013
Other video

IHS Electronics & Media

2014
Programmatic video

2015

2016

2017
Fixing it: Publishers as audience architects

IHS Electronics & Media
Most publishers are still in nascent stages of
developing a data strategy
Publishers in Europe in H1 2013*

20%

80%

No data strategy

Data strategy

* source: IHS biannual publisher survey

IHS Electronics & Media
Most publishers are still in nascent stages of
developing a data strategy
Publishers in Europe in H1 2013*

Publishers in the US 2013**

20%
28%

72%
80%

No data strategy

Data strategy

* source: IHS biannual publisher survey

IHS Electronics & Media

No data strategy

** source: IAB/Winterberry Group Whitepaper

Data strategy
Fragmentation & duplication characterise complex
video advertising infrastructure
Trading
desks

DSPs

Ad
Exchanges/SSPs

Ad networks

Video Properties

Data Vendors, Data Management Platforms, Measurement
Analytics

IHS Electronics & Media
In an increasingly cookie-less world, personally
identifiable log-in data becomes crucial
Millions of users by service
1,400

1,200

1,000

m

800

600

ID driven by iPhone &
iOS unit volumes

400

200

0

IHS Electronics & Media
Why a data strategy?
Pressure from the demand-side

Competition from online giants
Adding transparency to existing data
regime
Connecting audiences across screens
Adding diversity and context to overstandardised demand-side metrics
IHS Electronics & Media
Data strategies: adoption varies among publishers
Online portals & print
Predisposition

Broadcasters

Video ad networks

• Open to experimentation
duet o either 1)
understanding the
experimental nature of online
or 2) originating for a
declining print business

• Reluctant to adopt new
unproven techniques as they
comes from a long-tested TV
background

• Accustomed to selling
audiences

• Aware of the urgency to use
data

• Most advanced in
understanding the value of
data

• Advanced in their thinking
about data strategy

State of adoption of
data strategy

• Combining 1st and 3rd party
data effectively

• Fear of alienating users by
asking for registration data

• Leveraging data with
context to enhance their
offering

Challenges

• Connecting data available
across devices

Various states of adoption
from early to advanced: tend
to be more advanced than
broadcasters

Early: the process of
understanding their 1st party
data

IHS Electronics & Media

• Cannot offer premium
context in the way the other
two can
• Combining 1st and 3rd party
data effectively
Advanced: already use 3rd
party data extensively and
working on integration of 1st
party data
Data strategies: what are publishers currently
doing?
Data is key to their long-term selling strategy
10% of ad revenues come from programmatic
Programmatic is part of their media planning strategy, but not creative
Own trading desk (Response+) to implement demand-side
capabilities

1st party data is still underdeveloped
Display is traded programmatically, but not video
Cautious of middlemen

Work solely with 1st party data – 3rd party data is too expensive and
“frankly not very good”
Direct sales remains the primary and preferred channel
Cooperate with other publishers in data strategy

IHS Electronics & Media
Conclusion
• Growing importance of data should coincide with change in
publisher self-perception as audience architect.
• At the core of audience architects: unlocking data, making it
usable, enhancing it to segment and assemble audiences in
new ways. Pairing advertiser need and specifics of unique
editorial offering.
• No golden path to becoming audience architect, still in infancy.
Emerging set of practices across Europe as compass.

• Putting data strategy at centre as a) defensive move b) driving
innovation.
Architecting audiences means architecting the
foundations for future revenue growth
IHS Electronics & Media
Thank you

daniel.knapp@ihs.com
@_dknapp

IHS Electronics & Media
Panelists

Eleni Marouli
Advertising Analyst
IHS

Stephen Byrne
Commercial Director UK/NL
Videoplaza

Andrew Moore
European Managing Director
SpotXchange
Next steps

• All webinar participants will receive early and exclusive access to the
full research report via email by Friday, ahead of launch
• A recording of the webinar will also be made available via the same
email
Thank you

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A Future for TV: The Publisher as Audience Architect

  • 1. The Future for TV: The Publisher as Audience Architect
  • 2. Agenda • Introduction • Research report presentation – The Future of TV: The Publisher as Audience Architect • Panel discussion • Audience Q & A • Close
  • 3. A future for TV: The publisher as audience architect Daniel Knapp, Director, Advertising Research 28 November 2013
  • 4. The value of IP-delivered video advertising for publishers IHS Electronics & Media
  • 5. US-domestic and international markets are similar in size, but very different in business model composition Consumer/Net Advertising Revenue by business model - 2012 ($m)* 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 Other ad funded content Broadcast Purchase Rental Subscription 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 US *includes TV and movies, and pay TV based platforms IHS Electronics & Media ROW
  • 6. IP-delivered video outperforms ad market growth Year-on-year growth in WE advertising revenue (%) 80% 76.0% 70% 60% 50.7% 50% 45.6% 40% 30% 24.6% 22.9% 20% 18.3% 15.8% 14.4% 10% 13.4% 10.0% 8.4% 6.1% 9.1% 6.1% 7.5% 8.0% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 Video IHS Electronics & Media 2014 Total media 2015 2016 2017
  • 7. IP-delivered video advertising more than doubles between 2012 and 2017 IP-delivered video advertising revenue and growth - Western Europe 3,000 80% 76.0% 2,500 2,500 2,205 2,000 70% 60% 1,905 50.7% 50% 45.6% 1,610 1,500 40% 1,310 1,051 30% 1,000 24.6% 722 22.9% 20% 18.3% 500 15.8% 479 13.4% 10% 0 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 Revenue IHS Electronics & Media 2014 Year-on-year growth 2015 2016 2017
  • 8. Video becomes an increasingly significant portion of display ad revenue IP-delivered video share of display - Western Europe 35% 30% 28.7% 26.9% 25.2% 25% 23.0% 20.6% 20% 17.8% 15% 13.7% 10.7% 10% 7.6% 4.9% 5% 2.0% 1.7% 2003 2004 2.3% 2.8% 3.5% 0% 2005 2006 2007 IHS Electronics & Media 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 9. But proliferation of video differs among top markets IP-delivered video share of display in 2013 40% 35% 33.9% 31.6% 30% 24.9% 25% 21.0% 20% 18.2% 14.3% 15% 10% 5% 0% France Spain IHS Electronics & Media Italy UK US Germany
  • 10. Multi-screen video: the consumption/revenue divide IHS Electronics & Media
  • 11. It is no surprise that the markets which have seen linear declines have high proportions of non-linear viewing % of TV viewing which is non-linear (2012) 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% UK US IHS Electronics & Media France Spain Germany Italy
  • 12. Screens continue to grow – not just at the high-end 100% 90% 80% 70% 10.0 - 11.0 60% 07.1 - 09.9 05.2 - 07.0 04.6 - 05.1 50% 04.1 - 04.5 03.5 - 04.0 03.0 - 03.4 40% 02.5 - 02.9 02.0 - 02.4 30% 20% 10% 0% Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Source: IHS - from Mobile Technology Intelligence IHS Electronics & Media Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13
  • 13. Proliferation of video-capable devices makes monetising audiences difficult for publishers Video-capable devices - Western Europe 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2012 Smartphones Tablets IHS Electronics & Media 2017 Game consoles PCs Smart TVs Other devices TV sets
  • 14. So which devices are users currently relying on? PC still represents the most important platform for major commercial broadcasters ITV RTL M6 Mobile/ tablet, 10% Pay TV, 37% Pay TV, 43% PC, 45% PC, 46% Connected TV, 2% Mobile/ tablet, 15% IHS Electronics & Media PC, 90% Connected TV, 0% Mobile/ tablet, 12%
  • 15. Lower ad-loads on non-PC devices are common feature of the market, as is disparity between players Ad-load per stream (# adverts) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 DE DK FI FR NL Web/PC IHS Electronics & Media Mobile NO Tablet SE TR UK
  • 16. Audience-based buying and the rise of targeting IHS Electronics & Media
  • 17. The US is two years ahead of Western Europe with 11.4% of video revenue already generated programmatically IP-delivered video advertising revenue - US 3,500 3,000 2,500 €m 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Other video IHS Electronics & Media 2014 Programmatic video 2015 2016 2017
  • 18. Programmatic video moves from marginal to mainstream IP-delivered video advertising revenue - Western Europe 2,500 2,000 €m 1,500 1,000 500 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Other video IHS Electronics & Media 2014 Programmatic video 2015 2016 2017
  • 19. Fixing it: Publishers as audience architects IHS Electronics & Media
  • 20. Most publishers are still in nascent stages of developing a data strategy Publishers in Europe in H1 2013* 20% 80% No data strategy Data strategy * source: IHS biannual publisher survey IHS Electronics & Media
  • 21. Most publishers are still in nascent stages of developing a data strategy Publishers in Europe in H1 2013* Publishers in the US 2013** 20% 28% 72% 80% No data strategy Data strategy * source: IHS biannual publisher survey IHS Electronics & Media No data strategy ** source: IAB/Winterberry Group Whitepaper Data strategy
  • 22. Fragmentation & duplication characterise complex video advertising infrastructure Trading desks DSPs Ad Exchanges/SSPs Ad networks Video Properties Data Vendors, Data Management Platforms, Measurement Analytics IHS Electronics & Media
  • 23. In an increasingly cookie-less world, personally identifiable log-in data becomes crucial Millions of users by service 1,400 1,200 1,000 m 800 600 ID driven by iPhone & iOS unit volumes 400 200 0 IHS Electronics & Media
  • 24. Why a data strategy? Pressure from the demand-side Competition from online giants Adding transparency to existing data regime Connecting audiences across screens Adding diversity and context to overstandardised demand-side metrics IHS Electronics & Media
  • 25. Data strategies: adoption varies among publishers Online portals & print Predisposition Broadcasters Video ad networks • Open to experimentation duet o either 1) understanding the experimental nature of online or 2) originating for a declining print business • Reluctant to adopt new unproven techniques as they comes from a long-tested TV background • Accustomed to selling audiences • Aware of the urgency to use data • Most advanced in understanding the value of data • Advanced in their thinking about data strategy State of adoption of data strategy • Combining 1st and 3rd party data effectively • Fear of alienating users by asking for registration data • Leveraging data with context to enhance their offering Challenges • Connecting data available across devices Various states of adoption from early to advanced: tend to be more advanced than broadcasters Early: the process of understanding their 1st party data IHS Electronics & Media • Cannot offer premium context in the way the other two can • Combining 1st and 3rd party data effectively Advanced: already use 3rd party data extensively and working on integration of 1st party data
  • 26. Data strategies: what are publishers currently doing? Data is key to their long-term selling strategy 10% of ad revenues come from programmatic Programmatic is part of their media planning strategy, but not creative Own trading desk (Response+) to implement demand-side capabilities 1st party data is still underdeveloped Display is traded programmatically, but not video Cautious of middlemen Work solely with 1st party data – 3rd party data is too expensive and “frankly not very good” Direct sales remains the primary and preferred channel Cooperate with other publishers in data strategy IHS Electronics & Media
  • 27. Conclusion • Growing importance of data should coincide with change in publisher self-perception as audience architect. • At the core of audience architects: unlocking data, making it usable, enhancing it to segment and assemble audiences in new ways. Pairing advertiser need and specifics of unique editorial offering. • No golden path to becoming audience architect, still in infancy. Emerging set of practices across Europe as compass. • Putting data strategy at centre as a) defensive move b) driving innovation. Architecting audiences means architecting the foundations for future revenue growth IHS Electronics & Media
  • 29. Panelists Eleni Marouli Advertising Analyst IHS Stephen Byrne Commercial Director UK/NL Videoplaza Andrew Moore European Managing Director SpotXchange
  • 30. Next steps • All webinar participants will receive early and exclusive access to the full research report via email by Friday, ahead of launch • A recording of the webinar will also be made available via the same email

Notas do Editor

  1. Previously, larger screen size was a flagship model phenomenon. In 2013, this is happening at low end as well. This year, cheaper, mid-range and entry-level phones are having larger screens as well.
  2. -promise of efficiency, multiple entry points level agency playing field, opportunity for creative innovation.-end of fax machine, up to 40 steps of buying process integrated with a few clicks.-but: fragmentation, duplication.
  3. An opportunity to use The Guardian's extensive first-party audience data to fuel your digital marketing strategy. Improve your marketing ROI, secure new customers and unlock incremental profit