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Time in QCA
A philosopher’s point of view
Federica Russo
A disclaimer
• Methodologically, I see things from a causalist perspective
• Not that we always have to find out causes or that all methods are good at
finding causes
• But I take it that the ultimate goal is to say something about what causes
what
2
Time in modelling
• Temporal information helps
• ‘Break’ the symmetry of correlation and establish causal ordering
• Establish causal roles in a longitudinal perspective
3
Why would you need to include time in QCA?
• Answer a question with a new set of questions!
• Is a QCA configuration static of dynamic?
• If you include time, does it mean that the same configuration has
evolved from t > t1 or that it is a new configuration to be compared
with the previous one?
• And related to all this: where does time come in?
4
Philosopher’s hat on again
• We’d all agree that
• Causal relations happen in time
• Causes preceed effects (at most they are nearly simultaneous)
• [I know only crazy analytic philosophers and Steven Spielberg to
believe in backwards causation!]
• In philosophy of time / physics:
• Infer causal ordering from time ordering
5
Why this inference is not so obvious
• Epistemic access to temporal ordering may not be direct
• Data collection
• Latency
• …
6
What is the role of time, exactly?
• Part of the background, shaping up the rest of data collection,
modelling, interpretation
AND / OR
• Part of the modelling itself, considering variables in time
• And any virtuous cycle from one to the other
7
To sum up and conclude
• We can of course delve deep into metaphysical discussions on the
nature of time etc
• From a more pragmatic, methodologic-oriented perspective
• Q1: what do we need time for?
• Q2: where to put time in the modelling process?
• Q3: what if we’d really need time info but we can’t get it?
• Guess all these points are not QCA-specific but rather general (yet
useful for the discussion)
8

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Time in QCA: a philosopher’s perspective

  • 1. Time in QCA A philosopher’s point of view Federica Russo
  • 2. A disclaimer • Methodologically, I see things from a causalist perspective • Not that we always have to find out causes or that all methods are good at finding causes • But I take it that the ultimate goal is to say something about what causes what 2
  • 3. Time in modelling • Temporal information helps • ‘Break’ the symmetry of correlation and establish causal ordering • Establish causal roles in a longitudinal perspective 3
  • 4. Why would you need to include time in QCA? • Answer a question with a new set of questions! • Is a QCA configuration static of dynamic? • If you include time, does it mean that the same configuration has evolved from t > t1 or that it is a new configuration to be compared with the previous one? • And related to all this: where does time come in? 4
  • 5. Philosopher’s hat on again • We’d all agree that • Causal relations happen in time • Causes preceed effects (at most they are nearly simultaneous) • [I know only crazy analytic philosophers and Steven Spielberg to believe in backwards causation!] • In philosophy of time / physics: • Infer causal ordering from time ordering 5
  • 6. Why this inference is not so obvious • Epistemic access to temporal ordering may not be direct • Data collection • Latency • … 6
  • 7. What is the role of time, exactly? • Part of the background, shaping up the rest of data collection, modelling, interpretation AND / OR • Part of the modelling itself, considering variables in time • And any virtuous cycle from one to the other 7
  • 8. To sum up and conclude • We can of course delve deep into metaphysical discussions on the nature of time etc • From a more pragmatic, methodologic-oriented perspective • Q1: what do we need time for? • Q2: where to put time in the modelling process? • Q3: what if we’d really need time info but we can’t get it? • Guess all these points are not QCA-specific but rather general (yet useful for the discussion) 8