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© 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org
Bob Johansen, PhD
Institute for the Future
Palo Alto, CA
FULL-SPECTRUM THINKING
for
iSPIRT Global Leadership Seminar
Second Edition
January 12, 2020
© 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org
Ten Skills Five Literacies One Mindset
WHAT WILL IT TAKE FOR LEADERS TO THRIVE IN THE NEXT DECADE?
A TALENT PROFILE FOR THE FUTURE:
Ten Future Leadership Skills
Immersive
Learning Ability
Rapid
Prototyping
Commons
Creating
Constructive
Depolarization
Dilemma
Flipping
Clarity
Maker Instinct
Smart Mob
Organizing
Bio-Empathy
Quiet Transparency
© 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org
LOOKING BACK
FROM THE
FUTURE,
BUT ACTING NOW
VOLUNTARY
FEAR
ENGAGEMENT
LEADERSHIP FOR
SHAPE-SHIFTING
ORGANIZATIOINS
CREATING and SUSTAINING
POSITIVE ENERGY
BEING THERE
WHEN YOU’RE
NOT THERE
A TALENT PROFILE FOR THE FUTURE:
Five Future Leadership Literacies
© 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org 5
The ability to make sense out of the
future across gradients of possibility—
while resisting the temptations of
certainty, mindless categorization,
and thoughtless labelling
Our brains want certainty, but the future
will require clarity
Categories coerce…
Resist the binary…
© 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org
6
Many are certain, but few are clear…
© 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org
7
The future will reward full-spectrum thinking,
but punish categorical thinking
© 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2137 | www.iftf.org 8
traditional binary computing big-data analytics, visualization, machine learning,
blockchain, gameful engagement, etc.
YESTERDAY’S TOOLS
FOR CATEGORIZING
TOMORROW’S TOOLS FOR
FULL-SPECTRUM THINKING
© 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2131A | www.iftf.org
INSIGHT
“aha” that creates a
new story in your brain
that you can’t un-see
FORESIGHT
Future-back
stories—with signals
to bring them to life
ACTION
An agile way forward,
expressed with clarity
and as a story
10
NOW…FUTURE…NEXT
Future-Back
Horizon 1…Horizon 3…Horizon 2
NOW…NEXT…FUTURE
Present-Forward
Horizon 1…Horizon 2…Horizon 3
© 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | www.iftf.org
AN EXAMPLE OF FUTURE-BACK THINKING IN BUSINESS
© 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2131A | www.iftf.org
INSIGHT
“Organization Charts”
and “jobs” will need to
be more fluid and
adaptable
FORESIGHT
Future organizations
will be more shape-
shifting, less
command-and-control
ACTION
Be very clear about direction,
but very flexible
about execution
AN EXAMPLE OF
FULL-SPECTRUM THINKING
APPLIED TO THE FUTURE
OF ORGANIZATIONS…
12
• NO CENTER - more distributed authority and governance, less centralized
• HIERARCHIES COME AND GO - liquid hierarchy, liquid data, liquid organizations
• GROW FROM THE EDGES - where diversity flourishes—unfiltered spectrum diversity
• CANNOT BE CONTROLLED - but can be guided directionally
FULL-SPECTRUM THINKING
APPLIED TO ORGANIZATIONS
© 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org
CISCO ONVR
AN ANIMATED ORG CHART PROTOTYPE
©2018 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved.
Humans assisting machines Machines assisting humans Machines working alone
“SUPERMINDS”
Humans assisting humans
Humans and small tools
Machines assisting teams of humans
Machines assisting machines
H
R
I
T
For example, Mr. Spock in Star
Trek?
© 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2131A | www.iftf.org
PAUSE
for conversation
© 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org
The End
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at community@ispirt.in

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Full Spectrum Thinking by Bob Johansen

  • 1. © 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org Bob Johansen, PhD Institute for the Future Palo Alto, CA FULL-SPECTRUM THINKING for iSPIRT Global Leadership Seminar Second Edition January 12, 2020
  • 2. © 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org Ten Skills Five Literacies One Mindset WHAT WILL IT TAKE FOR LEADERS TO THRIVE IN THE NEXT DECADE?
  • 3. A TALENT PROFILE FOR THE FUTURE: Ten Future Leadership Skills Immersive Learning Ability Rapid Prototyping Commons Creating Constructive Depolarization Dilemma Flipping Clarity Maker Instinct Smart Mob Organizing Bio-Empathy Quiet Transparency
  • 4. © 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org LOOKING BACK FROM THE FUTURE, BUT ACTING NOW VOLUNTARY FEAR ENGAGEMENT LEADERSHIP FOR SHAPE-SHIFTING ORGANIZATIOINS CREATING and SUSTAINING POSITIVE ENERGY BEING THERE WHEN YOU’RE NOT THERE A TALENT PROFILE FOR THE FUTURE: Five Future Leadership Literacies
  • 5. © 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org 5 The ability to make sense out of the future across gradients of possibility— while resisting the temptations of certainty, mindless categorization, and thoughtless labelling Our brains want certainty, but the future will require clarity Categories coerce… Resist the binary…
  • 6. © 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org 6 Many are certain, but few are clear…
  • 7. © 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org 7 The future will reward full-spectrum thinking, but punish categorical thinking
  • 8. © 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2137 | www.iftf.org 8 traditional binary computing big-data analytics, visualization, machine learning, blockchain, gameful engagement, etc. YESTERDAY’S TOOLS FOR CATEGORIZING TOMORROW’S TOOLS FOR FULL-SPECTRUM THINKING
  • 9. © 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2131A | www.iftf.org INSIGHT “aha” that creates a new story in your brain that you can’t un-see FORESIGHT Future-back stories—with signals to bring them to life ACTION An agile way forward, expressed with clarity and as a story
  • 10. 10 NOW…FUTURE…NEXT Future-Back Horizon 1…Horizon 3…Horizon 2 NOW…NEXT…FUTURE Present-Forward Horizon 1…Horizon 2…Horizon 3 © 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | www.iftf.org AN EXAMPLE OF FUTURE-BACK THINKING IN BUSINESS
  • 11. © 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2131A | www.iftf.org INSIGHT “Organization Charts” and “jobs” will need to be more fluid and adaptable FORESIGHT Future organizations will be more shape- shifting, less command-and-control ACTION Be very clear about direction, but very flexible about execution AN EXAMPLE OF FULL-SPECTRUM THINKING APPLIED TO THE FUTURE OF ORGANIZATIONS…
  • 12. 12 • NO CENTER - more distributed authority and governance, less centralized • HIERARCHIES COME AND GO - liquid hierarchy, liquid data, liquid organizations • GROW FROM THE EDGES - where diversity flourishes—unfiltered spectrum diversity • CANNOT BE CONTROLLED - but can be guided directionally FULL-SPECTRUM THINKING APPLIED TO ORGANIZATIONS
  • 13. © 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org CISCO ONVR AN ANIMATED ORG CHART PROTOTYPE
  • 14. ©2018 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. Humans assisting machines Machines assisting humans Machines working alone “SUPERMINDS” Humans assisting humans Humans and small tools Machines assisting teams of humans Machines assisting machines H R I T For example, Mr. Spock in Star Trek?
  • 15. © 2020 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2131A | www.iftf.org PAUSE for conversation
  • 16. © 2019 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-2099 | www.iftf.org The End For more queries, please drop us a note at community@ispirt.in