Lee Rainie, Director of Internet, Science and Technology research at the Pew Research Center in the U.S., will discuss three technology revolutions of the past decade and how a fourth revolution is now underway at the State of the Net conference in Milan, Italy. He will cover global trends in adoption of 1) the internet and broadband; 2) mobile connectivity; and 3) social media and then will discuss how the “Internet of Things” will affect people and businesses in the next decade.

1. The next digital disruptions
Lee Rainie
Pew Research Center
Director Internet, Science and Technology Research
Presented to: Future of the Net
Milan, Italy
October 5, 2015

3. Networked Individualism
The move to looser, far-flung networks

4. Personal networks are:
More important – trust
Differently composed – segmented, layered
Mediators and feedback providers

5. Three digital technology revolutions in
the past generation

6. 1) In U.S. - 89% use the internet (46% in 2000)
70% - broadband @ home (3% in 2000)
Italy – 7-in-10 use internet (38% in 2007)
2) In U.S. - 92% use cell phone (53% in 2000)
68% -- smartphone (35% in 2011)
Italy – More than 90% use cell phones
60% - smartphones
3) In U.S. 65% use social networking sites (3% in 2005)
Italy – more than 60% use social networking
A few basics on the Triple Revolution in U.S.
and Italy - % of adults

7. October 5, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 7

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12. Future disruptions

13. Digital Life in 2025
The Internet will become ‘like electricity’ —
less visible, yet more deeply embedded in
people’s lives for good and ill

14. Upsides: enhanced health, education, convenience,
productivity, safety, and vastly more useful
information and self-awareness.
Downsides: privacy challenges, over-hyped
expectations, and tech complexity.
The Internet of Things Will Thrive by 2025

15. Theme 1) There will be a global,
immersive, invisible, ambient networked
computing environment built through
growth of smart sensors, cameras,
software, databases, and artificial
intelligence.

16. Theme 2) There will be smart agent and
augmented-reality enhancements to the
real-world input that people perceive
through the use of portable / wearable /
implantable technologies.

17. Theme 3) Social and business
encounters and personal and business
enrichment will be shaped by
virtual reality and telepresence.

18. Theme 4) There will tagging, databasing,
and intelligent analytical mapping of the
physical and social realms.

19. Darksides

20. Theme 1) The nature of work will change in
unprecedented ways as robots and
artificial intelligence assume greater
roles in job functions

21. Theme 2) Privacy will be more at risk and
something perhaps only the
privileged will enjoy.

22. Theme 3) Dangerous divides between haves
and have-nots may expand, resulting in
resentment and possible violence.
http://vis4.net/blog/posts/mapping-internet-and-population/

23. Theme 4) Abuses and abusers will ‘evolve and scale.’
Human nature isn’t changing; there’s laziness, bullying,
stalking, stupidity, pornography, dirty tricks, crime, and
those who practice them have new capacity to make
life miserable for others.

24. Theme 5) Humans and their organizations
may not respond quickly enough to
challenges presented by complex
networks.

25. Grazie mille!