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CHAPTER – I
1.1 INTRODUCTION
The government has implemented a major change in the economic environment by
demonetizing the high value currency notes – of ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 denomination. These ceased
to be legal tender from the midnight of 8th November 2016. People have been given upto
December 30, 2016 to exchange the notes held by them. The proposal by the government
involves the elimination of these existing notes from circulation and a gradual replacement with
a new set of notes. The reasons offered for demonetization are two- fold: one, to control
counterfeit notes that could be contributing to terrorism, in other words a national security
concern and second, to undermine or eliminate the “black economy”. There are potentially two
ways in which the pre- demonetization money supply will stand altered in the new regime: one,
there would be agents in the economy who are holding cash which they cannot explain and hence
they cannot deposit in the banking system. This part of the currency will be extinguished since it
would not be replaced in any manner. Second, the government might choose to replace only a
part of the currency which was in circulation as cash. In other words, the rest would be available
only as electronic money. The empirical extent of these two components will be unraveled only
over the next six months. These two would have different effects on the economy in the short-
run and in the medium term, as will be explored below. To understand the effects of these
dimensions, it is important to understand what is it that cash does in the economy? There are
broadly four kinds of transactions in the economy: accounted transactions, unaccounted
transactions, those that belong to the informal sector and illegal transactions. The first two
categories relate to whether transactions and the corresponding incomes are reported for tax
purposes or not. The third category would consist largely of agents who earn incomes below the
exemption threshold and therefore do not have any tax liabilities. Finally, there would be demand
for cash for illegal purpose like bribes in elections, spreading over sanctioned limits, dealings in
crime and corruption.
Turning to the effects of demonetization, the first major and sustained effect of
demonetization would follow from the extent to which the currency is extinguished and what this
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currency was being used for. It is being assumed that all currency which will potentially be
extinguished would be currency being used as a store of value in the first and second category of
transactions. If this assumption is correct, then the impact of extinguishing this currency would
be limited. On the other hand, if the currency is used for any of the other transactions in the
economy, either as a store of value or more importantly, as a medium of exchange, then the
impact on the economy and the agents in the economy could be substantial. If, for instance, the
extinguished cash was used as a medium of exchange in financing unaccounted income
generation or income in the informal sector, demonetization would result in these activities
closing down and a corresponding reduction in the incomes and employment associated with
these activities. The spillover effect would be felt by the organized sector as well since the
consumption from the incomes generated would extend to the formal sector as well. The next
question to ask would be: would these activities/ agents choose to come within the folds of the
formal sector as a result of the changed economic environment or would they remain outside or
worsen the activities and would be extinguished along with the losses generated from the cash
that was extinguished.
CURRENCY
A currency is the most specific use of the word refers to money in any form when in
actual use or circulation as a medium of exchange, especially circulating banknotes and coins. A
more general definition is that a currency is a system of money in common use, especially in a
nation. Under this definition, US Dollars, British Pounds, Australian Dollars, Indian Rupee and
European Euros are examples of currency. These various currencies are recognized stores of
value and are traded between nations in foreign exchange market, which determine the relative
values of the different currencies. Currencies in this sense are determined by governments, and
each type has limited boundaries of acceptance.
Other definitions of the term “currency” are discussed in their respective synonymous
articles banknote, coin and money. The latter definition, pertaining to the currency systems of
nations, is the topic of this article. Currency can be classified into two monetary systems: fiat
money and commodity money, depending on what guarantees the value. Some currencies are
legal tender in certain political jurisdictions, which means they cannot be refused as payment of
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debt. Others are simply traded for their economic value. Digital currency has arisen with the
popularity of computers and the internet.
INDIAN RUPEE
The Indian rupee is the official currency of the Republic of India. The rupee is subdivided
into 100 paisa, through as of 2016, only the 50 paisa remains legal tender. The issuance of the
currency is controlled by the Reserve Bank of India. The Reserve Bank manages currency in
India and derives its role in currency management on the basis of the Reserve Bank of India Act,
1934. The rupee is named after the silver coin, rupiya, first issued by Sultan Sher Shan Suri in
the 16th century and later continued by the Mughal Empire.
In 2010, a new symbol ‘₹’ was official adopted. It was derived from the combination of
the Devanagari Consonant “₹” (ra) and the Latin capital letter “R” without its vertical bar. The
parallel lines at the top are said to make an allusion to the tricolor Indian flag, and also depict an
equality sign that symbolizes the nation’s desire to reduce economic disparity. The first series of
coins with the new rupee symbol started in circulation on 8th July 2011.
DEMONETIZATION
Demonetization is the process in which a particular currency or valuable mineral is
degraded as a legal tender. This happens when a certain currency is no longer in regular use
within the country of origin, or when a newer currency comes into circulation.
In other words, Demonetization is the act of banning/ taking back of a currency unit of its
legal tender. Demonetization is necessary whenever there is a change of national currency. The
old unit of currency must be retired and replaced with a new currency unit.
Advantages of Demonetization
The biggest advantage of demonetization is that it helps the government to track people
who are having large sums of unaccounted cash or cash on which no income tax has been paid
because many people who earn black money keep that money as cash in their houses or in some
secret place which is very difficult to find and when demonetization happens all that cash is of
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no value and such people have two options is to deposit the money in bank accounts and pay
taxes on such amount and second option is to let the value of that cash reduced to zero.
Since black money is used for illegal activities like terrorism funding, gambling, money
laundering and also inflating the price of major assets classes like real estate, gold and due to
demonetization all such activities will get reduced for some time and also it will take years for
people to generate that amount of black money again and hence in a way it helps in putting an
end this circle of people doing illegal activities to earn black money and using that black money
to do more illegal activities.
Another benefit is that due to people disclosing their income by depositing money in their
bank accounts government gets a good amount of tax revenue which can be used by the
government towards the betterment of society by providing good infrastructure, hospitals,
educational institutions, roads and many facilities for poor and needy sections of society.
Disadvantages of Demonetization
The biggest disadvantage of demonetization is that once people in the country gets to
know about in than initially for few days there is chaos and frenzy among public as everybody
wants to get rid of demonetized notes which in turn sometimes can lead to law and order
problem and chaotic situation especially in banks and ATMs which are the only medium to
change the old currency units to new currency units.
Another disadvantage is that destruction of old currency units and printing of new
currency new units involve costs which has to be borne by the government and if the costs are
higher than benefits then there is no use of demonetization.
Another problem is that majority of times this move is targeted towards black money but
if people have not kept cash as their black money and rotated or used that money in other asset
classes like real estate, gold and so on then there is no guarantee that demonetization will help in
catching corrupt people.
Impact of Demonetization
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1. Black Money And Corruption
By demonetization, black money will be taken out of Indian system. As predicted by
ICICI Securities Primary Dealership the government’s plan to remove INR 500 and INR 1000
notes from circulation will disclose up to INR 4.6 lakh crore in black money. Corruption will
also be automatically reduced by removing black money from economy.
2. Funding
Funding for smuggling and terrorism will take a blow since all the money will get back to
bank and from there it is easy to identify the fake currency. Demonetization thus affects the
funding of terror networks in Jammu and Kashmir, North – eastern states and the other areas.
3. Real Estate
Another impact of the demonetization would be reduction in cash transactions in real
estate. This is likely to reduce to real estate prices and make it affordable. In the short term,
prices of real estate would come down for the same reasons above. There will be fewer suitcases
moving.
4. Elections
Demonetization has shocked political parties. Many states like Punjab and Uttar Pradesh,
cash donations are a huge part of “election management”. Political parties will find themselves
helpless as cash hoards are often undeclared money. So, upcoming elections of 2017 will be
transparent to the some extent.
5. Gold / Silver and Jewellery
After demonetization the demand for gold and other precious metals rise greatly, because
people are trying to invest their black money in gold and to make it white in short period. But
demand for gems and jeweler to decline in the next two to three quarters.
6. Digital Payments
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People are adopting online payments system such as paytm, etc. after ban for high
denomination currency in India. Digital transaction systems, E – wallets and apps, online
transactions using E – Banking, usage of Plastic money (Debit and Credit Cards), etc, will
definitely see substantial increase in demand. This behavioral change could be a game changer
for India in the near future.
7. Fake Currency
The impact on the fake currency would be more significant. Many dealers with the
existing counterfeit notes would be trapped as they would have to take the notes to the bank and
have better chances of getting their racket exposed. This, they have only option to destroy their
notes and incur losses.
8. GDP
The sudden decline in money supply and increase in bank deposits is going to adversely
impact consumption demand in the economy in the short term. This coupled with the adverse
impact on real estate and informal sectors may lead to lowering of GDP growth.
9. Market
There will be positive move in markets in long run that could bring confidence of
overseas investors in Indian stock markets. Market goes a bit down in the short and medium
term. India is still a very attractive destination on a long – term basis. It is not the best market in
the next three months.
10. Decrease in Interest Rates
We will see lowering interest rates for education loans, home loans and medical loans
very soon. It will make higher education and medical facilities more accessible. This change is
hard to undo because if any subsequent government increases loan it will suffer huge backlash.
11. Lower Inflation
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As the black money goes out of the system the money supply will shrink to some degree.
This will reduce inflation rate in the absence of any open market interventions by the Reserve
Bank of India.
What is “LEGAL TENDER”?
Legal tender is any official medium of payment recognized by law that can be used to
extinguish a public or private debt, or meet a financial obligation. The national currency is legal
tender in practically every country. A creditor is obligated to accept legal tender towards
repayment of a debt. Legal tender can only be issued by the national body that is authorized to do
so, such as the U.S. Treasury in the United States and the Royal Canadian Mint in Canada.
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)
GDP is the final value of the goods and services produced within the geographic
boundaries of a country during a specified period of time, normally a year. GDP growth rate is
an important indicator of the economic performance of a country.
The OECD defines GDP as “an aggregate measure of production equal to the sum of the
gross value added of all resident and institutional units engaged in production”. An IMF
publication states that “GDP measures the monetary value of final goods and services- that is,
those that are bought by the final user- produced in a country in a given period of time”[1].
The sudden decline in money supply and increase in bank deposits is going to adversely
impact consumption demand in the economy in the short term. This coupled with the adverse
impact on real estate and informal sectors may lead to lowering of GDP growth.
Service sector is the largest sector of India and it contributes 52.52% of GDP during the
period 2014-15. Service sector accounts for 52.97% of total India’s GVA of 115.50 lakh crore
Indian rupees.
1 Callen, Tim, “Gross Domestic Product- An Economy’s All”- IMF.
It can be measured by three methods, namely,
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 Output Method
 Expenditure Method
 Income Method
1. Output Method
This measures the monetary or market value of all the goods and services produced
within the borders of the country. In order to avoid a distorted measure of GDP due to price level
changes, GDP at constant prices real GDP is computed. GDP (as per output method) = Real
GDP (GDP at constant prices) – Taxes + Subsidies.
2. Expenditure Method
This measures the total expenditure incurred by all entities on goods and services within
the domestic boundaries of a country. GDP (as per expenditure method) = C + I + G + (X-IM)
C: Consumption expenditure, I: Investment expenditure, G: Government spending and
(X – IM): Exports minus Imports, that is, net exports.
3. Income Method
It measures the total income earned by the factors of production, that is, labor and capital
within the domestic boundaries of a country. GDP (as per income method) = GDP at factor
cost + Taxes – Subsidies.
In India, contributions to GDP are mainly divided into 3 broad sectors – agriculture and
allied services, industry and service sectors. In India, GDP is measured as market prices and the
base year for computation is 2011-12. GDP at market prices = GDP at factor cost + Indirect
Taxes – Subsidies.
ECONOMIC GROWTH
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Economic growth is the increase in the inflation- adjusted market value of the goods and
services produced by an economy over time. It is conventionally measured as the percent rate of
increase in real gross domestic product, or real GDP, usually in per capita terms.
The rate of economic growth refers to the geometric annual rate of growth in GDP
between the first and the last year over a period of time. Implicitly, this growth rate is the trend
in the average level of GDP over the period, which implicitly ignores the fluctuations in the GDP
around this trend.
ECONOMY OF INDIA
The economy of India is the sixth- largest economy in the world measured by nominal
GDP and the third- largest Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). The country is classified as a newly
industrialized country, one of the G-20 major economies, a member of BRICS and a developing
economy with an average growth rate of approximately 7% over the last two decades. India has
one of the fastest growing service sectors in the world with annual growth rate of above 9% since
2001, which contributes to 52.97% of GDP in 2014-15.
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1.2 OVERVIEW OF INDIAN RUPEE
Background
Governments have, for centuries spent a large amount of time and resources in the
production of currency in a way that can best serve as the representation of regional and later
national pride and interests.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s announcement on November 8 to withdraw currency
notes of demonetization ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 and the issue of new notes worth ₹ 2000 and ₹ 500
clearly left the country in a shock from which it will take a while to recover. While analysts have
poured in both criticism and admiration for the government’s move, both sides do agree on the
historic nature of the announcement. However, currency reforms like these are not exactly new.
Since the Republic of India took birth and even before, paper currency in the sub continent had
been periodically transformed to reflect the needs of the time.
For many of us, the old versions featuring Mahatma Gandhi, on one side were all that we
ever knew. Though the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) introduced an updated version of the notes
in 2005, with some new security features, the overall look and design remained similar to the
original style, introduced in 1996. These notes were, however, preceded by decades of changes
in symbols, colors, sizes, denominations and more – a rich history that harks back to the colonial
era.
The Birth of a Paper Currency
Until the 18th century, silver and gold coins were commonly used in India. But as Private
European trading companies established their own banks in the region, such as the Bank of
Hindostan in Culcutta, they began issuing the very first versions of Indian paper notes, which
were initially just text-based.
As British companies began increasing their hold over what were then Bengal, Bombay
and Madras, they established presidency banks, beginning with the Bank of Bengal. This further
popularized the use of paper notes. The Bank of Bengal went on to release notes that featured a
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small image of a female figure meant to represent the idea of “commerce”, as well as the bank’s
name and the denomination in three scripts: Urdu, Bengali and Nagri.
However, it was only after the Paper Currency Act of 1861 that the British Colonial
government really got involved in producing money, establishing the paper currency as we know
it today. Money was now to be issued by the state alone, not banks. The new law was the
brainchild of James Wilson, the finance member of the India council that advised the British in
India. Wilson effectively was a sort of finance minister in the colonial government.
The “Victoria Portrait Series” notes were the very first paper notes officially introduced
by the government, available in denominations of ₹ 10, ₹ 20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100 and ₹ 1000. The notes
had details provided in two languages, as well as a small portrait of the queen on the top left.
At the time, as Manu Goswami explains in her book “Producing India”, the vast mass of
the region was divided into “currency circles”, each with notes that could only be used within a
specific area. These circles were centered on cities then known as Calcutta, Bombay, Madras and
Rangoon, as well as Kanpur, Lahore and Karachi.
Interestingly, in instances when money had to be securely transferred across distances,
the paper notes were sometimes cut in half, with one half being sent by post first and the second
half sent only after the first reached the destination, according to the RBI’s Monetary Museum.
Other colonial governments also printed notes for use in their territories in India. For
instances, France’s Banque de I’Induchine issued its own “roupie” notes in the late 1890s and
these stayed in circulation right upto 1954, when they were replaced with Indian government
notes. The Portuguese issued “rupia” notes starting in 1883 and they were used until 1961.
As British influence grew over the years, the denominations and styles of their currency
notes in India evolved; they began to feature more languages and details, as well as the portraits
of kings, starting with George V in 1923.
All these notes were printed by the Bank of England until India’s first currency printing
press was established in Nasik in 1928. Four years later, this press was producing all of India’s
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notes. In 1935, the responsibility of managing India’s money was handed over to the newly-
established Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
Money for Modern India
It took RBI several years to launch its own notes and the first versions looked similar to
the earlier editions of the colonial government. RBI’s first note was issued in 1938 and featured a
portrait of King George VI.
After Independence in 1947, India’s currency needs a new look, with imagery and
symbols to represent its new identity. The first Post- Independence note came out in 1949. The
₹ 1 had the image of the Lion capital of Ashoka at Sarnath, which would also become the official
emblem of India, printed on the top right.
Over the next few years, RBI released notes of different denominations featuring images
of monuments such as Mumbai’s Gateway of India and the Brihandeeswara temple in
Tamilnadu’s Thanjavur town. In the 1960s, notes began to be printed in different colors to help
people who couldn’t read.
The Ashoka pillar remained one of the main images on most notes until the 1980’s when
the next redesign occurred. This time the motifs oriented towards Indian art forms and symbols
of scientific and economic progress, a nod to the country’s development.
But perhaps the most important transformation over the years was technological. In 1944,
fearing the infiltration of Japanese forgeries in the latter years of the Second World War, RBI
introduced a security thread for the first time on its notes, as well as an updated watermark.
Decades later, in 1966 and in 2005, it released versions of a new “Mahatma Gandhi Series” of
notes. These came with an updated range of security features, including a latent image that could
only be seen when the note was held up to light in a certain way. Special inks were used for the
various texts and the notes carried details that could held the visually- impaired.
The last design change in recent memory was the inclusion of the new rupee currency
symbol, first adopted in 2010. Notes bearing this symbol, a combination of the Devanagari ‘Ra’
and Roman ‘R’, were printed for the first time in 2011.
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The Money of Tomorrow
Today, these notes are still an essential part of daily life, even as credit cards and online
payment services are becoming increasingly popular in urban India. But the demonetization of
the ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 notes, the first such step in nearly 40 years, has paved the way for further
evolution of India’s paper currency.
The two new feature Devanagari numerals, along with the usual international standard
ones, a surprise addition given the long- running debate over the status of India’s many
languages.
The ₹500 note is now slightly smaller and stone gray in color but still features the
Mahatma. On the reverse, RBI has added the spectacles logo of Swacch Bharat- Prime Minister
Narendra Modi’s pet “Clean India” campaign- and an image of Delhi’s Red Fort. Meanwhile, the
₹ 2000 note is magenta in color and represents India’s Mars Orbiter mission, a new symbol to
mark the distance that the country has travelled over its long history.
Security Features of Indian Rupee
The Reserve Bank has the sole authority to issue bank notes in India. Reserve Bank, like
other Central banks the world over, changes the design of banknotes from time to time. The
Reserve Bank has introduced banknotes in the denominations of ₹ 5, ₹ 10, ₹20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100,
₹ 500 and ₹ 2000 in this series. These notes contain distinct easily recognizable security features
to facilitate the detection of genuine notes vis-à-vis forgeries.
The security features of the Indian rupee are as under, mentioned using a specimen of
demonetized note of ₹ 1000.
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1. See through Register
The see through register is a design that is printed on both sides of the note, on one side,
it is hollow and on the other side it is filled up. On Indian banks notes a hollow floral design is
printed on the reverse. It is placed in the middle of the vertical band next to the watermark and
looks like one single design when seen against the light.
2. Watermark
Most banknotes all over the world have a distinct watermark. The latest Mahatma Gandhi
series of banknotes contain a unique Mahatma Gandhi watermark. They bear a peculiar light and
shade effect along with multi-directorial watermark windows.
3. Optically Variable Ink
This kind of special ink changes its color when viewed from different angles. This is one
of the latest security features on Indian banknotes.
4. Fluorescence
This is a special security feature in which optical fibers and florescent ink is used which
glows when exposed to ultraviolet lamp. The number panels on Indian banknotes have this
special feature.
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5. Security Thread
The security thread is generally a thin line of inscription made of special material having
particular inscriptions. The security thread reads, ‘Bharat’ (in Hindi), ‘1000’ and ‘RBI’. Similar
features are used on the other notes issued in India.
6. Intaglio Printing
Inscriptions or motifs printed using the Intaglio printing or raised printing technique can
be felt by touch. The portrait of Mahatma Gandhi, the Reserve Bank seal, guarantee and promise
clause, Ashoka Pillar Emblem on the left, Reserve Bank of India Governor’s signature are
printed in intaglio.
7. Latent Image
The latent image is a security feature that is concealed within the note. It is visible only
when it is held horizontally at eye level.
8. Micro Lettering
Micro letterings are minute inscriptions which can be only ready under a microscope. On
Indian banknotes, the word RBI is printed using this technique between the vertical bank and
Mahatma Gandhi portrait.
9. Identification Mark
Identification notes are made on banknotes to help the visually impaired identity the
denomination of notes. On Indian banknotes they appear on the left of the watermark window on
all notes except ₹ 10 note. ₹ 20 notes have a Vertical Rectangle shaped identification mark, ₹ 50
notes have a Square shaped one, and ₹ 100 notes have a Triangle shaped one.
A look at the security features of the newly- launched ₹ 2000 and ₹ 500 notes from the
RBI’s table.
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₹ 2000 (Color: Magenta)
1. See through register where the numeral 2000 can be seen when note is held against light.
2. Latent image of 2000 can be seen when the note is tilted.
3. Devanagari denomination.
4. Portrait of Mahatma Gandhi.
5. Micro letters ‘RBI’ and ‘2000’.
6. Color shift security thread with ‘RBI’ and ‘2000’.
7. Guarantee clause, Governor’s signature and RBI emblem on the right.
8. Watermarks of Mahatma Gandhi and electrotype 2000 numeral.
9. Number panel with numerals growing from small to big on top left and bottom right
sides.
10. Denominational numeral with Rupee symbol, 2000 in color changing ink.
11. Ashoka pillar emblem.
For visually impaired:
12. Rectangle with ₹ 2000 in raised print on right.
13. Seven angular bleed lines in raised print.
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₹ 500 (Color: Stone Green)
1. See through register in denomination numeral.
2. Latent image of the denomination numeral.
3. Denomination numeral in Devanagari.
4. Orientation of Mahatma Gandhi’s portrait changed.
5. Windowed security thread changes from green to blue when note is tilted.
6. Guaranteed clause, Governor’s signature and RBI emblem shifted towards right.
7. Portrait and electrotype watermarks.
8. Number panel with numerals growing from small to big on top left and bottom right
sides.
9. Denomination in numerals with rupee symbol in color changing ink (green to blue) on
bottom right.
10. Ashoka pillar emblem on right.
For visually impaired:
11. Circle with ₹ 500 in raised print on the right.
12. Bleed lines on the left and right in raised print.
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List of Indian Currency
Both CNP, located in Nashik, Maharashtra, BNP Mysore and BNP located in Dewas,
Madhya Pradesh, print Indian currency. Currency is also printed by Reserve Bank of India, along
with two presses owned by Bharatiya Reserve Bank Note Mudran Private Limited.
The Government of India has the sole right to mint coins. The responsibility for coinage
vests with the Government of India terms of the Coinage Act, 1906 as amended from time to
time. The designing and minting of coins in various denominations is also the responsibility of
the Government of India. Coins are minted at the four India Government Mints at Mumbai,
Alipore (Kolkata), Saifabad (Hyderabad), Cherlapally (Hyderabad) and Noida (UP).
The coins are issued for circulation only through the Reserve Bank in terms of the RBI
Act. The following are the currencies issued in India and the year of issue and year of
demonetization of Indian currency are mentioned in the table.
I. COINS
Coins Year of Introduction Year of Demonetized
1 Paise 1965 1981
2 Paise 1965 1981
3 Paise 1964 1971
5 Paise 1977 1977
10 Paise 1971 1982
20 Paise 1987 1997
25 Paise 1957 2011
50 Paise 1964 In Circulation
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1 Rupee 1964 In Circulation
2 Rupees 1982 In Circulation
5 Rupees 1985 In Circulation
10 Rupees 1965 In Circulation
II. CURRENCY NOTES
Currency Year of Introduction Year of Demonetized
1 Rupee 1940 In Circulation
2 Rupees 1943 In Circulation
5 Rupees 1938 In Circulation
10 Rupees 1938 In Circulation
20 Rupees 2001 In Circulation
50 Rupees 1975 In Circulation
100 Rupees 1938 In Circulation
500 Rupees 1987 2016
1000 Rupees 1938 2016
5000 Rupees 1954 1978
10000 Rupees 1938 1978
500 Rupees (Reissued) 2016 In Circulation
2000 Rupees 2016 In Circulation
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1.3 HISTORY
The sudden move to demonetize ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 and higher denomination notes were
first demonetized in January 1946 and again in 1978. The highest denomination note ever printed
by the Reserve Bank of India was the ₹10000 note in 1938 and again in 1954. But these notes
were demonetized in January 1946 and again in January 1978, according to RBI data. ₹ 1000 and
₹ 10000 bank notes were in circulation prior to January 1946. Higher denomination banknotes of
₹ 1000, ₹ 5000 and ₹ 10000 were reintroduced in 1954 and all of them were demonetized in
January 1978.
The ₹ 1000 note made a comeback in November 2000. ₹ 500 note came into circulation
in October 1987. The move was then justified as attempt to contain the volume of banknotes in
circulation due to inflation. However, this is the first time that ₹ 2000 currency note is being
introduced. While announcing currently circulated ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 notes as invalid from
midnight 8 November, Prime Minister Narendra Modi said new ₹ 500 note and ₹ 2000
denomination banknote will be introduced from November 10.
1.3.1 History of Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
The Reserve Bank of India was established on April 1, 1935 in accordance with the
provisions of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934. Though initially RBI was privately owned, it
was nationalized in 1949. Its central office is in Mumbai where the Governor of RBI sits. RBI
has 22 regional offices and most of them are located in state capitals. The Reserve Bank of India
also has three fully owned subsidiaries: National Housing Bank (NHB), Deposit Insurance and
Credit Guarantee Corporation of India (DICGC) and Bharatiya Reserve Bank Note Mudran
Private Limited (BRBNMPL).
The functions of Reserve Bank are governed by Central board of directors. The board is
appointed by the Government of India. The directors are nominated / appointed for a period of
four years. As per the Reserve Bank of India Act there are official directors and non- official
directors. The official directors are appointed by the government and include Governor and
Deputy Governors of RBI. There cannot be more than four Deputy Governors. Non – official
directors are nominated by the government. These include ten directors from various fields and
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one government official. Apart from these, there are four other non – official directors, one each
from four local boards in Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai and New Delhi.
Awards
Reserve Bank of India on 22 January 2016, XBRL International presents India’s Central
bank with an award recognizing the regulators ongoing innovation in leveraging the standard in
pursuit of improved transparency and accountability.
1.3.2 History of Indian Rupee
The rupee in your pocket has a mysterious past. Behind Mahatma Gandhi’s smiling faces
lies a long history of struggle, exploration and wealth that can be traced back to the ancient India
of the 16th Century BC. Let’s demystify this history by bringing you the interesting stories about
how Indian currency has evolved over the ages into the rupee of today.
India was one of the first issuer of coins (Circa: 6th Century BC), and as a result it has
seen a wide range of monetary units throughout its history. There is some historical evidence to
show that the first coins may have been introduced somewhere between 2500 and 1750 B.C.
However, the first documented coins date from between the 7th / 6th Century B.C. to the 1st
Century A.D. These coins are called ‘Punch-Marked’ coins because of their manufacturing
technique.
Over the next few centuries, as traditions developed and empires rose and fell, the
country’s coinage designs reflected its progression and often depicted dynasties, socio- political
events, deities and nature. This included dynastic coins, representing Greek Gods of the Indo-
Greek period followed by the western kshatrapa copper coins from between the 1st and the 4th
century A.D.
In 712 A.D, the Arabs conquered the Indian province of Sindh and brought their
influence and coverage with them. By the 12th century, Turkish Sultans of Delhi replaced the
longstanding Arabs designs and replaced them with Islamic calligraphy. This currency was
referred to as ‘Tanka’ and the lower valued coins, ‘Jittals’. The Delhi Sultanate attempted to
standardize this monetary system and coins were subsequently made in gold, silver and copper.
22
In 1526, the Mughal period commenced, bringing forth a unified and consolidated
monetary system for the entire Empire. This was heavily influenced by the Afghan Sher Shah
Suri (1540-1545) who introduced the silver Rupayya or Rupee coin. The princely states of pre-
colonial India minted their own coins, all which mainly resembled the silver Rupee, but held
regional distinctions depending on where they were from. During the late 18th century when
political unrest occurred, agency houses developed banks such as the Bank of Bengal and Bahar,
The Bank of Hindostan, Orient Bank Corporation and the Bank of western India. These banks
also printed their own paper currency in the Urdu, Bengali and Nagri languages.
It was only in 1858 when the British Crown gained control of the one hundred princely
states, and subsequently ended the Mughal Empire, that the coin’s native images were replaced
by portraits of the Monarch of Great Britain to indicate British supremacy. In 1866, when the
financial establishments collapsed, the control of paper money also shifted to the British
Government. This was subsequently passed to the Mint Masters, the Accountant Generals and
the Controller of Currency. In 1867, the Victoria Portrait series of bank notes was issued in
honor of Queen Victoria.
After gaining its independence in 1947 and becoming a republic in 1950, India’s modern
rupee reverted back to the design of the signature rupee coin. The symbol chosen for the paper
currency was the Lion Capital at Sarnath which replaced the George VI series of banknotes. In
1996, the Mahatma Gandhi series of paper notes were introduced.
1.3.3 History of Indian Coins and Currency
I. Coins
It would be interesting for us to know that the first documented coinage seems to have
started with ‘Punch- Marked’ coins issued between the 7th- 6th century BC and 1st century AD.
The coinage can be classified into the following periods.
a. Ancient Period
b. Medival Period
c. Mughal Period
23
d. Late pre-colonial Period
e. British Period
f. Republic Period
g. Others
Our country won its independence on August 15, 1947. During the period of transition
India retained the monetary system and the currency and coinage of earlier period. India brought
out its distinctive coins on 15th August, 1950.
Our coins are presently being issued in denominations of 50 paise, one rupee, two rupees,
five rupees and ten rupees. Coins upto 50 paise are called ‘small coins’ and coins of rupee one
and above are called ‘Rupee coins’. Our coins can be issued upto the denomination of ₹ 100 as
per the Coinage Act, 1906.
II. Currency
Our financial instruments and ‘Hundies’ in India have a venerable history. Our paper
money, in the modern sense, traces its origins to the late eighteenth century with the issues of
private banks as well as those of semi- government banks. The Paper Currency Act of 1861
conferred upon Government of India the monopoly of Note Issue bringing to end banknote issues
of Private and Presidency Banks. Government of India continued to issue currency notes till the
Reserve Bank of India was established on 1st April, 1935. Reserve Bank issued banknotes in
January 1938 when the first Five Rupee banknote was issued bearing the portrait of George VI.
This was followed by ₹ 10 in February, ₹ 100 in March and ₹ 1000 and ₹ 10000 in June
1938. The George VI series continued till 1947 and thereafter as a frozen series till 1950 when
post independence banknotes were issued, with the Ashoka Pillar watermark.
Our banknotes in the Mahatma Gandhi series were introduced in 1996 and were issued in
a phased manner in the denominations of ₹ 5, ₹ 10, ₹ 20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100, ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000.
Presently ₹ 500 notes were reissued and ₹ 1000 notes were demonetized to control black money.
New ₹ 500 and ₹ 2000 notes were issued by the Reserve Bank of India.
24
Milestones
 In 1540-1545, the Silver coins issued by Sher Shah Suri. It remained in use during the
Mughal period, Maratha era and British India.
 In 1770-1832, earliest paper rupee issued by Bank of Hindostan (1770-1832), General
Bank of Bengal and Bihar (1773-1775), and Bengal Bank (1784-1791).
 In April1, 1935 the Reserve Bank of India is setup.
 In January 1938, first note of ₹ 5 issued by the Reserve Bank.
 During February - June 1938, ₹ 10, ₹ 100, ₹1000 and ₹ 10000 issued.
 In August 1940, ₹ 1 note introduced. ₹ 1 was first introduced on 30 November1917,
followed by ₹ 2 and 8 annas, and discontinued on 1 January 1926.
 During March 1943, ₹ 2 introduced.
 In August 12, 1946 ₹ 500, ₹ 1000 and ₹ 10000 notes were demonetized to control black
money.
 In 1950, first post- independence coins issued in 1 pice, 1.2, one and two annas, 1.4, 1.2
and ₹ 1 denominations.
 In 1953, Hindi was displayed prominently on the new notes, and plural of rupiya 1954
was decided to be rupiya.
 In 1954, high denomination notes of ₹ 1000, ₹ 5000 and ₹ 10000 reintroduced.
 In 1957, rupee was decimalized and divided into 100 naye paise.
 In 1957-1967, Aluminum one, two, three, five and ten paise coins introduced.
 In 1967, sizes of notes reduced due to the lean period of the early sixties.
 In January 16, 1978 new notes issued with symbols of science and tech (Aryabhatta on
₹ 2 note), progress (oil rig on ₹ 1 and form mechanization on ₹ 5) and Indian art forms on
₹ 20 and ₹ 10 notes (Konark Wheel, Peacock).
 In October 1987, ₹ 500note introduced due to the growing economy and fall in
purchasing power.
 In 1988, stainless steel coins of 10, 25 and 50 paise were introduced.
 In 1992, ₹ 1 and ₹ 5 coins in stainless steel introduced.
 During 1995, ₹ 1 and ₹ 2 notes were removed from circulation.
 In 1996, the Mahatma Gandhi series of notes issued, starting with ₹ 10 and ₹ 500 notes.
This series has replaced all notes of the Lion Capital series. A changed watermark,
25
windowed security thread, latent image and intaglio features for the visually handicapped
were the new features.
 In the year 2000, ₹ 1000 note was reintroduced.
 During 2008-2008, new 50 paise, ₹ 1, ₹ 2 and ₹ 5 stainless steel coins introduced.
 In 2009, the printing of ₹ 5 notes resumed.
 In July 2010, new symbol “₹” is officially adopted.
 During 2011, 25 paise coin and all paise coins below it demonetized. New series of 50
paise coins and ₹ 1, ₹ 2, ₹ 5 and ₹ 10 notes with the new rupee symbol introduced.
 In 2012, new “₹” sign is incorporated in notes of the Mahatma Gandhi series in
denominations of ₹ 10, ₹ 20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100, ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000.
 In November 2016, ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 notes discontinued and new ₹ 500 and ₹ 2000 notes
introduced.
The Pre-independence British Series
The Paper Currency Act of 1861 gave the British government the monopoly to issue
notes in India.
Victoria Portrait Series
The series comprised the first British India notes- ₹ 10, ₹ 20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100.
Under print Series
In 1867, the Victoria Portrait series, withdrawn due to forgeries, was replaced by this
series. Initially, notes were legally encashable only in the Currency Circle in which they were
issued, but in 1903-11, ₹ 5, ₹ 10, ₹ 50 and ₹ 100 were universalized.
Small Denomination Notes
Paper currency of small denominations was started due to the First World War, with ₹ 1
introduced on 30th November 1917.
King’s Portrait Series
This series carried the portrait of George V and was started in May 1923 with ₹ 10 notes
and included ₹ 5, ₹ 10, ₹ 50, ₹ 100, ₹ 500, ₹ 1000 and ₹ 10000. This continued till 1935 when
the Reserve Bank of India was set up.
1.4 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
26
The objectives of doing this project are defined as under:
 To know about the Indian currency and demonetization.
 To know about the impact of demonetization of Indian currency.
 To know whether it affects small scale or large scale industries largely.
 To analyze the effects of demonetization on different sectors.
 To know about the impact on the GDP.
 To know how demonetization affects the future of Indian economy.
 To know the drawbacks faced by the Indian economy on demonetization.
 To know about the average sale before and after demonetization.
1.5 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
27
 Theoretical data are taken from internet; possibilities of wrong data can take in the report.
 The data collection was confined to only few areas.
 The sample for the present study comprised of 200 business in Kerala.
 There is a chance of providing wrong data by the respondents.
 The present study is constrained by time limit of three months.
 Getting appointments from the concern respondent was very difficult.
 Many respondents don’t express their original perception and views because of biasness.
 Certain questions were not answered with justices.
1.6 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
In the present study, an attempt has been made to study on impact of demonetization on
₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 on business sector in Kerala. The present study is restricted to the network of
business sectors in few cities of Kerala. The study was focused on 200 business sectors and
therefore an in-depth study is based on demonetization.
28
1.7 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
A study deals on impact of demonetization on ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 especially on small scale
and large scale business in Kerala. For knowing about the income level and types of business
they engaged in, for how long the business sector are in business and the category of business
that deal with. For knowing the essentials of demonetization for the developing country like
India, its affect on GDP level of the country, to know about the existence of black money, to
know how the transactions of business made before demonetization and the technologies used to
overcome the demonetization. The study also reveals the respondents perception about
demonetization, time taken by the respondent to exchange the currency, risk occurred while
exchange of currency and the liabilities come across by the business. The study includes the
overall experience on demonetization of currency, current business situation, and average sale
before and after demonetization. Finally, to find general suggestions and the problems faced by
the business sector on demonetization.
29
1.8 CHAPTER SCHEME
The present project report has organized following chapters:
Chapter-I
This chapter deals with ‘Introduction, Overview of Indian Rupee, SWOT Analysis,
History of Indian Rupee and RBI, Objectives of the Study, Limitations of the Study and
statement of the Problem”.
Chapter-II
This chapter deals with “Review of Literature”.
Chapter –III
This chapter deals with “Research Methodology, Tools used for Analysis and
Hypothesis”.
Chapter-IV
This chapter deals with “Data Analysis and Interpretation” of the study.
Chapter –V
This chapter deals with “SWOT Analysis”
Chapter –VI
This chapter deals with “Findings, Suggestions and Conclusion”.
30
CHAPTER-II
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
INTRODUCTION
A literature review is a description of the literature relevant to a particular field or topic.
This is often written as part of a thesis proposal, or at the commencement of a thesis. A critical
literature review is a critical assessment of the relevant literature. Literature ‘covers everything
relevant that is written on a topic: books, journal articles, newspaper articles, historical records,
government reports, thesis and dissertations, etc. The important word is 'relevant'. A literature
review gives an overview of the field of inquiry: what has already been said on the topic, the key
writers. It also gives an idea about the prevailing theories and hypotheses. The review also
specifies what questions are being asked, and what methodologies and methods are appropriate
and useful.
A critical literature review shows how prevailing ideas fit into the thesis and how the
thesis agrees or differs from them.
Human being are with full of curiosity and this draws them towards finding the facts.
Knowing the facts requires the researcher to understand and get in-depth knowledge of the topic.
The selection of the topic was on the basis of the current scenario in the society. After selecting
the topic the researcher tried to conduct a complete study of the available literature to know the
past, present scenario and also to understand the future trend. Literature review also helped the
researcher to know of the deviations in the present study and if possible to give certain remedial
measures.
The objective of the study according to the researcher is to understand the conceptual
framework of Demonetization and to have a complete knowledge of these impacts in relation to
the Indian market.
2The Tax Research Team (2016) has written in favor of demonetization is that the cash
that would be extinguished would be “black money” and hence, should be rightfully
extinguished to set right the perverse incentive structure in the economy. While the facts are not
31
available to anybody, it would be foolhardy to argue that this is the only possibility. Therefore, it
is imperative to evaluate the short-run and medium-term impacts that such a shock is expected to
have on the economy. Further, the impact of such a move would vary depending on the extent to
which the government decides to remonetize. The paper elucidates the impact of such a move on
the availability of credit, spending, and level of activity and government finances.
3Anirudh Burman (2016), investigated the government’s move to demonetize ₹ 500 and
₹ 1000 notes, and place restrictions on withdrawals, exchanges and deposits has attracted both
appreciation and criticism. This piece analyses the framework of this discourse and its
implications for the economy and society. Terms like “demonetization”, “corruption”,
“inconvenience and hardship”, “implementation” form the basis of this discourse. Interestingly,
most of these terms have originated from the government itself. The piece argues that by
confining ourselves to these terms, they fail to group the true nature and impact of this measure.
4Sandeep Kaur (2016) had written that demonetization refers to withdrawal of a
particular form of currency from circulation. Demonetization is necessary whenever there is a
change of national currency. The old unit of currency must be removed and substituted with a
new currency unit. The currency was demonetized first time in 1946 and second time in 1978.
On Nov, 2016 the currency is demonetized third time by the present Modi government. This is
the bold step taken by the government for the betterment of the economy and country. This paper
discusses the impact of recent demonetization on Indian system.
2The Tax Research Team, Journal of Demonetization: Impact on the Economy, Working Paper
No. 182, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, 2016.
3Anirudh Burman, Journal on the Problematic terms in the demonetization debate, (2016).
4Sandeep Kaur, “Demonetization and its Impacts in India”, International Journal of Research
(IJR), 2016.
32
5Prasanna V. Salian and Gopakumar K has examined the relationship between
inflation and GDP growth in India. Empirical evidence is obtained from the co integration and
error correction models using annual data collected from the Reserve Bank of India. The result
shows that there is a long-run negative relationship between inflation and GDP growth rate in
India. Inflation is harmful rather than helpful to growth. These results have important policy
implications.
6Worthington (1995), “The cashless society” paper describes society, where clumsy and
expensive- to handle coins and notes are replaced by efficient electronic payments initiated by
various types of plastic cards is a tantalizing prospect for the twenty- first century. Some of the
interested parties stand to gain more than others if the cashless society becomes a reality. Paper
outlines the rationale of those who are keen to promote the cashless society and the implications
for marketers charged with winning consumer acceptance for payment of plastic card. The
plastic card payment product is analyzed under the three headings of pay later, pay now and pay
before and a view is offered as to the future prospects for each type of plastic card in contributing
to the development of the cashless society.
7Bhattacharyya Jita, Bhattacharyya Mousumi (2012), the study revealed that there
was a long term relationship between FDI, merchandise, service trade and economic growth in
India. Bi-directional causality is observed from FDI to economic growth and FDI to merchandise
trade. A unidirectional causality is also observed from merchandise trade to service trade.
5Prasanna V. Salian and Gopakumar K, “Journal of Inflation and Economic Growth in India –
An Empirical Analysis”.
6 Worthington (1995), “The Cashless Society”.
7Bhattacharyya Jita, Bhattacharyya Mousumi, “Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and
Merchandise and Services Trade of the Economic growth in India: an Empirical study”, 2012.
33
8Singh s., Singh M, (2011), “investigates the trend of FDI inflow in India, during 1920-
2007 using time series data. This paper aims to study the reasons behind the fluctuations of the
FDI inflow in India and to search the cause that in responsible for the fluctuations of the trends
of FDI.
9Manpreet Kaur and Akriti (2015), “investigated the issue of black money has come
into forefront of the society with active participation of our youth and Parliament. In the context
of current status it includes sources from where black money is generated and its uses in the
country at different levels. This paper represents the framework, policy adoptions and strategies
that Indian government should adopt to tackle with this issue and also describes the impact on
economy in this context. It also studies the one of the corruption. It shows up to what extent, the
corruption leads to its generation which has considerable impact on various sections of the
society. At last but not least, conclusion of this paper is provided representing the ongoing issue
of black money there should be a strong and appropriate legislative framework. The present
paper helps to know about present status of black money in India and its impact on economy.
10Sir B. Rama Rau (1960) discusses the course of monetary policy in the context of
inflation in India during and after the Second World War. He makes mention of the inability of
the Reserve Bank of India in controlling the inflationary pressure, built up during the war and
post war period, on account of little control it had over the basic causes of inflation. The two
causes of inflationary price spiral experienced during the war and post-war period, according to
him, were 1) the failure of the rate of production, especially of food grains, to keep pace with the
8Singh s., Singh M, “Trends and prospects of FDI in India”. 2011.
9Manpreet Kaur and Akriti , “ Black Money in India: Current status and impact on economy”,
Journal of research in Commerce and Management, Vol 4, Issue 4, 2015.
10Sir B. Rama Rau: “ Evolution of Central Banking in India”, Vora and Co. Publishers Pvt.
Ltd., Bombay,pp. 35-61, 1960.
34
alarming growth of the population and 2) deficit financing and other government policies which
caused the supply of money to increase with the population. He, by discussing the steps taken by
the Reserve Bank through monetary policy, calls for caution in the matter of deficit financing for
combating inflation.
11Vakil, C.N. (1966) describes the devaluation of rupee in 1966 as Prayashchitta
(Penance) for the past sins of the government of India, which resulted in price rise in the country
and forced it to devalue the rupee as a corrective rising prices in India were plan expenditure on
projects involving long gestation periods, increasing deficit financing, wasteful expenditure and
price controls. He makes an attempt to explain in a simple language the background and
implications of the devaluation of rupee to the people and suggests a handful of measures to
avoid inflationary price rise and recourse to devaluation.
12S.K. Taneja (1968) discusses the problem of falling rupee, devaluations of 1949 and
1966 and the factors responsible thereof. He attributes the weaker rupee during the post-
independence period to continuously rising prices. He maintains that the inflation was the biggest
single problem before the Indian economy and other major economic ailments had their roots in
it. According to him, prices scaled higher and higher peaks since second five year plan and by
1968 they became twice as high as they were nearly a decade and half ago. The result, he
opines, was the continuous fall in the value of rupee, which was worth only 12 paise by 1968. He
thus called for a fresh approach from the government to arrest rising prices so as to strengthen
the rupee.
11Vakil, C.N.: “The Devaluation of the Rupee: A Challenge and an Opportunity, Lalvani
Publishing House, Bombay, 1966.
12S.K. Taneja: “The Indian Rupee in a Maelstrom”’ Sterling Publishers Pvt. Ltd., Delhi-6,
pp.123-125, 1968.
35
13Reddy ,Y.V.(1999) states that India’s record of inflation for the period 1950-51 to
1997-98 has been satisfactory, with the average rate of inflation working out to 6.7 percent and
the modal value of distribution of inflation rates lying in between 5 and 10 percent. According to
him, the inflation rate in India has been far less volatile than in most developing countries, with
standard deviation at 6.6 and the rate crossing the 15 percent mark on only four occasions during
the last half a century or so. He however maintains that high pressures of inflation were felt on
almost all occasions, due to exogenous shocks such as oil price like, the gulf crisis and wars and
domestic supply shocks as adverse monsoon conditions. He also opines that the impact of
monsoon conditions on volatility in prices is getting increasingly moderated perhaps due to the
expansion of irrigated agriculture as also buffer stock operations.
14Mahajan, Dhanashri Jayan (2003), presents an overview on inflation in India since
1956-57. She maintains that, the rate of inflation causes concern in a country having high levels
of inequality of income. By presenting the data on inequalities in India, she insists on special
attention to the problem of inflation. She also makes some suggestions for combating inflation.
She, by citing the views of Paul Krugman, Sukhamoy Chakravarthy and C. Rangarajan, opines
against absolute price stability (i.e., zero rate of inflation) and suggests a rate of inflation of
around 4% as acceptable.
15Gupta, Raj Narain (1959), discusses the link between deficit financing and inflation
and concludes that it is one of the reasons of inflationary price rise in India. He maintains that
deficit financing is not the only villain in an inflationary situation. According to him, a study of
breakdown of the wholesale price index shows that the price rise occurred mainly in the food
13Reddy ,Y.V.(1999): “Inflation in India: Status & Issues”, in Reddy ,Y.V.(2000): “Monetary
and Financial Sector Reforms in India- A Central Banker’s Perspective”, UBS Publishers &
Distributers Ltd., New Delhi,1999.
14Mahajan, Dhanashri Jayan: “Inflation in India”, in ‘Indian Economy after a Decade of
Reforms’, Sanvedan Prakashan, Aurangabad, pp.83-89, 2003.
15Gupta, Raj Narain: “Deficit Financing and Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.3, No.19, 1959.
36
grains sector and not in manufactured or semi manufactured articles. And the price rise in the
food grains category is the result of poor crops, coupled with a rise in population and rise in the
standard of living of the people. He expresses the need for utmost caution to be taken while
resorting to deficit financing, but states that the real solution to the problem of inflation lies in
greater production. By mentioning the precautions to be taken to prevent deficit financing led
inflation, he concludes that control over inflation can be attained if certain conditions are
fulfilled.
16Panandikar, D.H. Pai (1972), presents an anatomical view of Indian Inflation by
distinguishing between demand pull and cost push inflation as found in agricultural and
industrial sector respectively. He opines that the price rise normally begins with an excess
demand for food leading to food inflation. If the Food Corporation of India fails to unload
sufficient stock at right time and the government to effect adequate imports, the food inflation
accentuates and pushes up the cost of living with which wages are closely linked, industrial costs
are consequently driven up and what follows is a rise in the prices of manufactured goods.
He, by presenting a formula for price determination of food grains, identifies four
important factors responsible for causing overall inflation in the economy. They are 1) an
increase in the income of non agricultural sector leading to increase in food demand, 2) increase
in money supply having the same effect of increasing demand for food 3) a fall in the production
of food grains and 4) a fall in imports or rise in stocks with government and traders. A
meaningful solution to the inflation problem, as he suggests, lies in enlarging the food supply.
17Dhar, T.N. (1972) provides a perspective on behavior of prices in the post 1972 period
by analyzing the trend since 1966-67. He maintains that the price spiral had undoubtedly
enlarging its orbit; there was no danger of it getting out of control and touching the sky heights.
16Panandikar, D.H. Pai: “Anatomy of Indian Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.16, No.18, pp.742-752,
1972.
17Dhar, T.N.: “the Price Perspective”, Yojana, Vol.16, No. 18, pp. 755-758, 1972.
37
He accepts the inevitability of a price rise when developmental programs are being implemented,
but calls for a judicious mix of policy measures including curb over the growth in money supply,
check on speculation and increase in production to avoid price rise spirals.
18Gupta, R.N. (1972) admits that a normal dose of price rise of about 3 -5% per year is
possible in the economy as a corollary of development. According to him, there is an inescapable
price which people must pay for massive planned investments in capital goods projects with long
gestation periods. With the ever increasing money supply in the economy and slow growth in the
availability of consumer goods, prices tend to go up. After reviewing all the causes of spiraling
rise in prices around 1972, and suggesting possible remedies for control, he makes a case for
reliance on own savings to step up the rate of investment.
19Raj, K.N. (1972), elaborates the inflationary price rise that occurred around 1972-73,
makes an attempt to reach to the real causes of inflation in India. According to him, it is always
made out that monetary expansion more than the growth in supply of goods and services that is
responsible for inflation; it has not been undisputedly established. The real problem lies in the
imbalance that exists in the food grains and raw material sector and therefore it is here that all
attention should gather instead of running budget surpluses and controlling lending to the
government.
20Krishnaswamy, S.Y (1974), opines that five year plans are the root causes of inflation.
He holds the plans responsible for growing imbalance between money supply and goods
produced. The planning that emphasis the development of the mother machines that makes other
machines and the required heavy investment in India. He therefore calls for the reorientation of
planning. He also discusses the limitations of monetary policy instruments such as bank rate,
reserve requirements, etc. in controlling inflation.
18Gupta, R.N.: “Can the Trend be Reversed?” Yojana, Vol.16, No. 18, pp.759-761, 1972.
19Raj, K.N.: “Why Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.22, pp. 16-18, 1974.
20Krishnaswamy, S.Y: “Fiscal Policy, Inflation and the Plan”, in “Inflation in India”, edited by
S.L.N. Simha, Vora & Co. Publishers Pvt. Ltd. Bombay, pp. 116-128, 1974.
38
21Simha, S.L.N. (1974) makes an attempt to study the link between black money and
inflation. He examines to what extent black money contributes to inflation or whether in fact it is
a result of inflation. According to him, the phenomenon of black money is, by and large, the
result of inflation and not its cause. He thus disproves the thesis that black money is the cause of
inflation and presents the proposition that black money, if anything, is a result of inflation which
is caused largely by wrong fiscal, monetary and economic policies, and aggravated by
administrative inefficiency, poor planning, lack of a sense of discipline and austerity and a
general lowering of standards of vigilance at all levels. He maintains that it is the deficit
financing by the government that creates a situation of excess demand for everything in relation
to supplies and thus results in inflation and payments in black money.
22Singh, Balwant (1989), challenges the proposition that changes in the price level are
primarily the result of changes in the rate of growth of money. He, using the data on broad
money (M3) and movements in the wholesale price index, reaches a conclusion that “in the
Indian setup, there is a bi-directional causality between money supply and prices. However, the
impact of money supply (M3) on prices (WPI) is less significant in terms of granger causality
tests. This suggest that the causality between prices and money supply is of certainty in nature,
i.e. rise in prices invariably leads to rise in money supply”. In his opinion, in the Indian
conditions much of the variation in prices is due to structural influences, e.g. crop failures,
commodity shortages, administrated pricing policies, etc, rather than a result of monetary
operations only.
21Simha, S.L.N: “Black money and Inflation:, in “Inflation in India”, edited by S.L.N. Simha,
Vora & Co. Publishers Pvt. Ltd. Bombay, pp. 173-178, 1974.
22Singh, Balwant: “Money Supply- Prices: Causality Revisited”, Economic & Political Weekly,
Vol.24, No. 47,pp 2613-2615, 1989.
39
23Sengupta, Keya (1991) studies the relationship between procurement prices, food
grains prices and inflation in India. According to her, procurement prices that are fixed by the
government from time to time play an important role in determining food grain prices and given
the importance of the food grains sector in the Indian economy in terms of employment and
output, food grain prices determine the course of general level of prices. Her study for the period
of 1981-82 to 1990-91, reveals that the general price level follows the movements in
procurement prices, with most of the oscillations in the latter appear to be causing similar
oscillations in the former. Her express concern over the frequent hikes in procurement prices
without any sound economic criteria, as they can distort the entire price structure and have
disastrous consequences in terms of aggravating the balance of trade problem.
24Ummat, R.C. (1992) discusses the problem of inflation around 1991-92 in India and
the factors responsible for it. He maintains that inflation continues to be one of the major
concerns of the country and attributes upsurge in it around 1991-92 to factors like more money
supply, Gulf crisis pushing up the prices of petroleum products, devaluation of the rupee
resulting in higher import costs, significant increase effected in the prices of fertilizers, coal,
food rains, supplied through PDS and stepping up of power rates and tariff increases in telephone
and other service sector. Elaborating the steps taken through Union Budget 1992-93 in brief, he
concludes that it is well designed to combat Inflation.
25Shankar, Shyiashri (1992) appreciates the budget of 1992-93 for taking right steps to
suppress the inflationary rise in prices, that began in Oct 1990 and assumed serious proportions
in 1991 on account of the reasons like large monetization of budget deficits, gulf problems, poor
23Sengupta, Keya: “Procurement Prices and Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.35, No.18, pp 10-14, 1991.
24Ummat, R.C.: “An Agenda for Containing Inflation”, Kurushetra, Vol. 40, No.7, pp.9-10,
1992.
25Shankar, Shyiashri: “Bringing Inflation under Control” , Yojana, Vol.36, No.8, pp.27-28,
1992.
40
kharif and rabbi crops and inadequacy of foreign exchange reserve to import essential
commodities. Revamping of the public distribution system, drastic cut in fiscal deficit, reduction
in SLR, built up of foreign exchange reserves and such other steps initiated through budget of
1992-93, made her conclude the budget to be promising and capable of bringing the inflation
under control.
26Ghoshal, M.K. (1993) presents a review of inflationary situation during the period of
1990-92. He elaborates both the demand pull and cost push factors that were at work in causing a
cumulative price rise o around 25.7% during 1990-92. He attributes the accelerated inflation
since Oct 1990 particularly to the excess demand caused by undue monetary expansion in the
past. Citing the examples of Germany and Japan as booming economies with remarkable price
stability, he lays stress on macroeconomic management to correct basic imbalances and on
modernization of the economy though technological innovations and entrepreneurial leadership.
He hopes the economic reforms and the strategic liberalization initiated since 1991 to improve
the price scenario in the medium term.
27Chakravarthy, Sukhamoy (2007) considers inflation as the single most important
problem before the country, which if not controlled won’t let us move towards the attainment of
our basic objectives of poverty eradication and self- reliance. He refers to the possible causes of
inflation that have been identified in literature, but express the need of proper understanding
about how these causes interact amongst themselves, before making predictions about course of
inflation. In his opinion, the genesis of inflation problem in 2007 lies in the area of food
production, which often exhibits erratic behavior and becomes responsible for food inflation
which later or sooner spreads to other sectors of the economy. For combating inflation, he calls
for the use of an appropriate mix of monetary and fiscal policies as also mobilization of
resources from agriculture through taxation.
26Ghoshal, M.K.: “Inflation: Review and Outlook”, Yojana, Vol.36, No.24, pp.4-5, 1993.
27Chakravarthy, Sukhamoy: “Our Fight against Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.51, pp.47-48, 2007.
41
28Pant,Devendra Kumar (2007) makes an attempt to study the nexus between inflation,
growth and poverty and maintains that though the economic growth has been strong during
2005-06 to 2006-07 period, its effect on poverty reduction, which was seen during 1993-94 to
2004-05 period, has not been observed mainly on account of the high inflation. And according to
him, this is particularly true about rural poverty and the main reason has been the slower growth
of the agricultural sector.
29Batura, Neha (2008) provides a comprehensive analysis of the trend in inflation over
the two years of 2006-07 and 2007-08. She offers a neat explanation of as to when the inflation
began to accelerate and whether the price rise experienced was across the board or not. She also
attempts a comparison of consumer’s price inflation with wholesale price inflation.
30Govt. of India (2002) discusses the trend in inflation in India since 1050 and states that
the WPI inflation remained below 7% during 1950’s & 1960’s, but accelerated to touch double
digit figures in the first half of 1970’s. Though the inflation moved southward during the second
half of 1970’s, it remained elevated until 1995-96. It states that inflation has however remained
at a low level from 1995-96 onwards in terms both the 52 week average and point-to-point basis.
28Pant,Devendra Kumar: “ Inflation, Growth and Poverty”, Yojana, Vol.51, pp.11-14, 2007.
29Batura, Neha: “Understanding Recent Trends in Inflation”, Economic and Political Weekly,
Vol.43, No.24, 2008.
30Govt. of India: “Economic Survey”, 2001-02. Govt. of India, New Delhi, 2002.
42
31Aiyar, Swaminathan S. Anklesaria argues that the inflation that India and other
developing countries experienced around 2008 is not a monetary phenomenon and cannot be
curbed by monetary policy. According to him, the inflation observed with respect to food and
fuel items is primarily the result of supply side problems and thus monetary policy can do little
to control it. Core inflation is however amenable to momentary manipulation, so the European
Central Bank, Bank of England and U.S. Federal Reserve System board target not overall
inflation but core inflation, that is, prices other than those of food and fuel.
32S.K.Basu (2007) in study entitled, “Role and problems of small scale industries”
discusses the role and problems of small scale industries. Emphasizing their importance in the
economic programme of the nations, he deals at length with their financial problems and the
functions of the state financial corporation helping them.
31Aiyar, Swaminathan S. Anklesaria: “India Disproves Friedman on Inflation”, Economic
Times, 2008.
32S.K.Basu., “Role and Problems of Small Scale Industries”. Calcutta: Mukerjee and Co. Pvt.
Ltd, 2007.
43
CHAPTER –III
3.1 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
RESEARCH
Research in common parlance refers to a search for knowledge. One can also define
research as a scientific and systematic search for pertinent information on a specific topic. In
fact, research is an art of scientific investigation. The Advanced Learner’s Dictionary of
Current English lays down the meaning of research as,” a careful investigation or inquiry
especially through search for new facts in any branch of knowledge”.25 Redman and Mory
define research as a “systematized effort to gain new knowledge”. 26 Some people consider
research as a movement, a movement from the known to the unknown. It is actually a voyage of
discovery.
Research is an academic activity and as such the term should be used in a technical sense.
D. Slesinger and M. Stephenson in The Encyclopedia of Social Sciences define research as
“the manipulation of things, concepts or symbols for the purpose of generalizing to extend,
correct or verify knowledge, whether that knowledge aids in construction of theory or in the
practice of an art”.27 Research is, thus, an original contribution to the existing stock of knowledge
making for its advancement.
Research Methodology is a way to systematically solve the research problem. It may be
understand as a science of studying how research is done scientifically. It is necessary for the
researcher in studying his research problem along with the logic behind them. Researchers need
to understand the assumption underlying various techniques and they need to know the criteria
by which they can decide that certain techniques and procedures will be
25The Advanced Leaner’s Dictionary of Current English, Oxford, 1952, p.no.1069.
26L.V. Redman and A.V.H. Mory, The Romance of Research, 1923, p.no.10.
27The Encyclopedia of Social Sciences, Vol. IX, Mac Millan, 1930.
44
applicable to certain problems and others will not. All this means that it is necessary for the
researcher to design his methodology for his problem as the same may differ from problem to
problem
The scope of research methodology is wider than that of research methods.
RESEARCH DESIGN
“A research design is the arrangement of conditions for collection and analysis of data in
a manner that aims to combine relevance to the research purpose with economy in procedure”.28
In fact, the research design is the conceptual structure within which research is conducted; it
constitutes the blueprint for the collection, measurement and analysis of data. As such the design
includes an outline of what the researcher will do from writing the hypothesis and its operational
implications to the final analysis of data.
Research design is needed because it facilitates the smooth sailing of the various research
operations, thereby making research as efficient as possible yielding maximal information with
minimal expenditure of effort, time and money. Research design stands for advance planning of
the methods to be adopted for collecting the relevant data and the techniques to be used in their
analysis, keeping in view the objective of the research and the availability of staff, time and
money. Preparation of the research design should be done with great care as any error in it may
upset the entire project. Research design, in fact, has a great bearing on the reliability of the
results arrived at and as such constitutes the firm foundation of the entire edifice of the research
work.
DESCRIPTIVE RESEARCH DESIGN
Descriptive research studies are those studies which are concerned with describing the
characteristics of a particular individual. The studies concerned with specific predictions, with
narration of facts and characteristics concerning individual, group or situation are all examples of
28Claire Selltiz and others, Research Methods in Social Sciences, 1962, p.no.50.
45
descriptive research studies. Most of the social research comes under this category. In descriptive
studies, the researcher must be able to define clearly, what he wants to measure and must find
adequate methods for measuring it along with a clear cut definition of ‘population’ he wants to
study. Since the aim is to obtain complete and accurate information in the said studies, the
procedure to be used must be carefully planned. The research design must make enough
provision for protection against bias and must maximize reliability, with due concern for the
economical completion of the research study. The design in such studies must be rigid and not
flexible and must focus attention on the following:
a) Formulating the objective of the study.
b) Designing the methods of data collection.
c) Selecting the sample.
d) Collecting the data.
e) Processing and analyzing the data.
f) Reporting the findings.
The research design in case of descriptive studies is a comparative design throwing light
on all points narrated above and must be prepared keeping in view the objectives of the study
and the resources available. However, it must ensure the minimization of bias and maximization
of reliability of the evidence collected. The said design can be appropriately referred to as a
survey design since it takes into account all the steps involved in a survey concerning a
phenomenon to be studied.
DATA COLLECTION
The task of data collection begins after a research problem has been defined and research
design/plan chalked out. While deciding about the method of data collection to be used for the
study, the researcher should keep in mind two types of data viz.,
 Primary data and
 Secondary data.
46
1. PRIMARY DATA
Data obtained from the first hand by the researcher is called the primary data. Here the
main source of primary data collection was interviews, discussion and interaction with retailers
by using the questionnaire.
Questionnaire as an instrument of data collection:
Questionnaires were used as an instrument for data collection for primary data collection.
P.V. Young has classified the questionnaire in two groups,
1) Structured Questionnaire.
2) Non- structured Questionnaire.
Structured questionnaire contain definite, concrete questions with additional questions
limited to those necessary to classify inadequate answers or to elicit a more detailed response.
Structured questionnaire can be of two types, namely “disguised” and “non-disguised”. This
classification is based on whether the object or purpose of study is revealed to the respondent. In
structured disguised questionnaire, researcher doesn’t disclose the object of the study.
Non- structured questionnaire, often known as interview guide is used, for focused, depth
and non directive interviews. It contains definite subject matter areas, the coverage which is
required during the interview, but the interviewer is largely free to arrange the form and timing
of enquiry.
TYPES OF QUESTIONS
 Open- End Questions.
 Close- End Questions.
An open-ended or simply ‘Open’ or ‘Free Answer’ questions gives the respondent
complete freedom to decide the form, length and detail of answers. Open questions are
performed when the researcher is interested in knowing what is uppermost in the mind of the
respondent.
47
Close-end questions has only two answers in the form ‘yes’ or ‘no’, ‘true’ or ‘false’ or
‘do not use’, etc.
Mailed Questionnaire
Most of the researcher uses this type of questionnaire. In this type the respondents are
living in for- flung areas at a distance and the questionnaire is sent to them through e-mail. They
fill the questionnaire and return back to the researcher or concerned department. A particular
guidelines or instructions list is attached to the questionnaire for the respondent’s guidance. This
will be helpful in reducing time.
2. SECONDARY DATA
Secondary data refers to the data available in some form or another and may include the
result of the previously performed research or the available materials such as newspaper, reports
may be from the internet. Various sources of secondary data used in this research are:
 Internet.
 Reports & Publications.
 Journals.
SAMPLING
Sampling may be defines as the process of obtaining information about an entire
population by examining only a part of it. In any investigation if data are collected only from a
representative part of the universe we say that the data are collected by sampling. The
representative part is called a sample. For example; if we want to know the average height of
students of a particular college, it is sufficient if the required measurements are taken from a few
students selected at random.
The basic objective of sampling is to draw inferences about the population.
ADVANTAGES OF SAMPLING
1. Less time and effort.
48
2. Less cost.
3. Administrative convenience.
4. More detailed, reliable and accurate information.
5. Destructive nature of certain enquires.
6. Sampling method is the best suited at times.
METHODS OF SAMPLING
In this study non-probability sampling has been adopted. Under the non-probability
sampling convenience sampling has been taken for the purpose of study.
SIMPLE RANDOM SAMPLING TECHNIQUE
The sampling units are chosen primarily on the basis of convenience to the researcher is
known as simple random sampling technique. The advantage of probability sampling is that
sampling error can be calculated. Sampling error is the degree to which a sample might differ
from the population. When inferring to the population, results are reported plus or minus the
sampling error. In non-probability sampling, the degree to which the sample differs from the
population remains unknown.
SAMPLE DESIGN
A sample design is a definite plan for obtaining a sample from a given population. It
refers to the procedure, adopted by an investigator for selecting items for a sample. There are
many sample designs. An investigator can choose the appropriate design.
SAMPLE UNIT
Small and large scale business sectors in few areas of Kerala.
SAMPLE SIZE
The larger the size, the more accurate the result would be. But practically, it’s not feasible
to survey the entire target outlets. The sample size of the survey done by me was 200 business
sectors.
49
SAMPLING PROCEDURE
I try to find out most of the business sectors in the market.
CONTACT METHOD
I personally visited most of the business sectors. Few business sectors due to their busy
schedule or loyalty for their brand refused to respond at all.
50
3.2 TOOLS USED FOR ANALYSIS AND HYPOTHESIS
Statistical tools were used for the study, simple analysis by percentage methods and
statistical analysis by:
 Percentage Analysis.
 Ordinal or Ranking Scale Method.
 Chi- Square Test.
PERCENTAGE ANALYSIS
Percentage analysis is the method to represent raw streams of data as a percentage for
better understanding of collected data. Percentage refers to a special kind of ratio. It is used to
make comparison between two or more series of data. They can be used to compare the relative
items, the distribution of two or more series of data since the percentage reduce everything as
common base and allow the meaningful comparisons to be made. Percentage refers to the special
kind of ratio percentage are used in making comparison between two or more series of data.
Percentages are used to describe relationship. Column, line charts, Bar charts and Pie charts are
used to explain the tabulation clearly.
FORMULA:-
No. of Respondents
Percentage (%) = × 100
Total Respondents
ORDINAL OR RANKING SCALE METHOD
In ranking scale methods, data can allow setting up inequalities. Intervals of the scale are
not equal i.e., adjacent rank need not to be equal in their differences. Median is appropriate
measure of central tendency. Percentile or quartile is used for measure dispersion. Ranking scale
method mostly used for qualitative research, but in this type more precise comparison is not
possible and we don’t get absolute values.
51
CHI- SQUARE TEST
The chi-square test is an important test amongst the several tests of significance
developed by statisticians. Chi- square, symbolically written as χ ² (pronounced as ki- square), is
a statistical measure used in the context of sampling analysis for comparing a variance to a
theoretical variance.
A chi- squared text, is any statistical hypothesis test in which the sampling distribution of
the test statistic is a chi- squared distribution when the null hypothesis is true, or any in which
this is asymptotically true, meaning that the sampling distribution (if the null hypothesis is true)
can be made to approximate a chi- squared distribution as closely as desired by making the
sample size large enough. Calculate the chi- square statistical by completing the following steps:
For each observed number in the table subtract the corresponding.
Expected number = (O-E)
Square of difference [(O-E)2]
Expected number for that cell [(O-E)2/E]
Sum all the values for (O-E)2/E.
The test is, in fact, a technique through the use of which it is possible for all researchers
to
1. Test the goodness of fit.
2. Test the significance of association between two attributes, and
3. Test the homogeneity or the significance of population variance.
As a test of goodness of fit, χ² test enables us to see how well does the assumed
theoretical distribution fit to the observed data? If the calculated value of χ² is less than the table
value at a certain level of significance, the fit is considered to be a good one which means that
the divergence between the observed and expected frequencies is attributable to fluctuations of
52
sampling. But if the calculated value of χ² is greater than its table value, the fit is not considered
to be a good one.
As a result of independent, χ² test enables us to explain whether or not two attributes are
associated. In such a situation, we proceed with the null hypothesis that the two attributes are
independent which means that new medicine is not effective in controlling fever. On this basis
we first calculate the expected frequencies and then work out the value of χ². If the calculated
value of χ² is less than the table value at a certain level of significance for given degrees of
freedom, we conclude that null hypothesis stands which means that the two attributes are
independent or not associated. But if the calculated value of χ² is greater than its table value, our
inference then would be that null hypothesis does not hold good which means the two attributes
are associated and the association is not because of some chance factor but it exists in reality.
(Oij –Eij)2
χ² = ∑
Eij
Where,
Oij = observed frequency of the cell in ith row and jth column.
Eij = expected frequency of the cell in ith row and jth column.
The Degree of Freedom
D.F = (C-1) (R-1)
Where,
C = number of columns.
R = number of rows.
53
CHAPTER – IV
DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
The analysis and interpretation of a method adopted the satisfaction level of respondent.
It is done by adopting various method of analyzing the result obtained from the respondents.
4.1 PERCENTAGE ANALYSIS
TABLE 4.1.1
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Sex
S.NO SEX NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Male 130 65
2. Female 70 35
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
65 Percent of the respondents were Male.
35 Percent of the respondents were Female.
54
FIGURE 4.1.1
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Sex
65
35
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Male Female
SEX
PERCENTAGE
55
TABLE 4.1.2
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Age of Business Man
S.NO AGE NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. 10 - 20 Years - -
2. 20 - 30 Years 65 32.5
3. 30 - 40 Years 75 37.5
4. Above 40 Years 60 30
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
0 Percent of the respondents were in the range between 10 – 20 Years.
32.5 Percent of the respondents were in the range between 20 – 30 Years.
37.5 Percent of the respondents were in the range between 30 – 40 Years.
30 Percent of the respondents were in the range Above 40 Years.
56
FIGURE 4.1.2
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Age of Business Man
0
32.5
37.5
30
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
10 - 20 Years 20 - 30 Years 30 - 40 Years Above 40 Years
AGE OF BUSINESS MAN
PERCENTAGE
57
TABLE 4.1.3
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Educational Qualification
S.NO QUALIFICATION NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Undergraduate 30 15
2. Graduate 65 32.5
3. Postgraduate 65 32.5
4. Others 40 20
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
15 Percent of the respondents were Undergraduate.
32.5 Percent of the respondents were Graduate.
32.5 Percent of the respondents were Postgraduate.
20 Percent of the respondents have other qualification.
58
FIGURE 4.1.3
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Educational Qualification
15
32.5
32.5
20
EDUCATIONAL QUALIFICATION
Undergraduate
Graduate
Postgraduate
Others
59
TABLE 4.1.4
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Type of Business
S.NO TYPE OF BUSINESS NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Sole Proprietorship 55 27.5
2. Partnership Business 65 32.5
3. Limited Company 45 22.5
4. Others 35 17.5
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
27.5 Percent of the respondents were doing Sole Proprietorship business.
32.5 Percent of the respondents were doing partnership business.
22.5 Percent of the respondents were doing Limited Company business.
17.5 Percent of the respondents were using doing other type of business.
60
FIGURE 4.1.4
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Type of Business
0 10 20 30 40
Sole Proprietorship
Partnership Business
Limited Company
Others
27.5
32.5
22.5
17.5
TYPE OF BUSINESS
PERCENTAGE
61
TABLE 4.1.5
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Monthly Income
S.NO MONTHLY INCOME NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Below ₹ 10000 15 7.5
2. ₹ 10000 – ₹ 25000 60 30
3. ₹ 25000 – ₹ 50000 65 32.5
4. Above ₹ 50000 60 30
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
7.5 Percent of the respondents have income below ₹ 10000.
30 Percent of the respondents have income between ₹ 10000 to ₹ 25000.
32.5 Percent of the respondents have income between ₹ 25000 to ₹ 50000.
30 Percent of the respondents have income above ₹ 50000.
62
FIGURE 4.1.5
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Monthly Income
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Below ₹ 10000 ₹ 10000 – ₹ 25000 ₹ 25000 – ₹ 50000 Above ₹ 50000
7.5
30
32.5
30
MONTHLY INCOME
PERCENTAGE
63
TABLE 4.1.6
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Category of Business the Company engaged in
S.NO CATEGORY NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Stock Broking 10 5
2. Health Care 35 17.5
3. Real Estate 100 50
4. Non- Profit Business 40 20
5. Others 15 7.5
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
5 Percent of the respondents were engaged in Stock Broking.
17.5 Percent of the respondents were engaged in Health Care.
50 Percent of the respondents were engaged in Real Estate.
20 Percent of the respondents were engaged in Non- Profit Business.
7.5 Percent of respondents were engaged in other type of business.
64
FIGURE 4.1.6
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Category of Business the Company engaged in
5
17.5
50
20
7.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Stock
Broking
Health
Care
Real Estate Non- Profit
Business
Others
CATEGORY OF BUSINESS
PERCENTAGE
65
TABLE 4.1.7
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Number of Years the Company in Business
S.NO TIME PERIOD NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. 1 Year – 2 Years 25 12.5
2. 2 Years – 5 Years 95 47.5
3. 5 Years – 10 Years 65 32.5
4. Above 10 Years 15 7.5
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
12.5 Percent of the respondents have business between 1 Year – 2 Years.
47.5 Percent of the respondents have business between 2 Years – 5 Years.
32.5 Percent of the respondents have business between 5 Years – 10 Years.
7.5 Percent of the respondents have been in business above 10 Years.
66
FIGURE 4.1.7
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Number of Years the Company in Business
12.5
47.5
32.5
7.5
TIME PERIOD
1 Year – 2 Years
2 Years – 5 Years
5 Years – 10 Years
Above 10 Years
67
TABLE 4.1.8
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Essentials of Demonetization for a developing Country like India
S.NO ESSENTIALS NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Yes 110 55
2. No 90 45
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
55 Percent of the respondents said that demonetization is essential.
45 Percent of the respondents said that demonetization is not essential.
68
FIGURE 4.1.8
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Essentials of Demonetization for a developing Country like India
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Yes
No
55
45
ESSENTIALS OF DEMONETIZATION
PERCENTAGE
69
TABLE 4.1.9
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Existence of Black Money in India
S.NO EXISTENCE OF BLACK
MONEY
NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Yes 180 90
2. No 20 10
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
90 Percent of the respondents said Black Money exist in India.
10 Percent of the respondents said Black Money does not exist in India.
70
FIGURE 4.1.9
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Existence of Black Money in India
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Yes No
90
10
EXISTENCE OF BLACK MONEY
PERCENTAGE
71
TABLE 4.1.10
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Situation come across Demonetization
S.NO SITUATION NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Yes 120 60
2. No 80 40
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
60 Percent of the respondents satisfied the situation of demonetization.
40 Percent of the respondents not satisfied the situation of demonetization.
72
FIGURE 4.1.10
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Situation come across Demonetization
60
40
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Yes No
SITUATION
PERCENTAGE
73
TABLE 4.1.11
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Business Transaction Made
S.NO BUSINESS
TRANSACTION
NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Online 20 10
2. E- Banking 30 15
3. Cash 110 55
4. Cheque 25 12.5
5. Others 15 7.5
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
10 Percent of the respondent’s do business through online.
15 Percent of the respondent’s do business through e- banking services.
55 Percent of the respondent’s do business through cash.
12.5 Percent of the respondent’s do business through cheque.
7.5 Percent of the respondent’s do business through other mode of transaction.
74
FIGURE 4.1.11
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Business Transaction Made
10
15
55
12.5
7.5
BUSINESS TRANSACTION
Online
E- Banking
Cash
Cheque
Others
75
TABLE 4.1.12
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Technologies used to Overcome Demonetization
S.NO TECHNOLOGIES NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Online 80 40
2. E- Banking 55 27.5
3. Cash 5 2.5
4. Cheque 35 17.5
5. Others 25 12.5
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
40 Percent of the respondent’s use online technology.
27.5 Percent of the respondent’s use e-banking technology.
2.5 Percent of the respondent’s use cash technology.
17.5 Percent of the respondent’s use cheque technology.
12.5 Percent of the respondent’s use other technology.
76
FIGURE 4.1.12
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Technologies used to Overcome Demonetization
0 10 20 30 40
Online
E- Banking
Cash
Cheque
Others
40
27.5
2.5
17.5
12.5
TECHNOLOGIES USED
PERCENTAGE
77
TABLE 4.1.13
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Perception about Demonetization
S.NO PERCEPTION NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Highly Satisfied 55 27.5
2. Satisfied 60 30
3. Not Satisfied 50 25
4. Highly Not Satisfied 35 17.5
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
27.5 Percent of the respondents were highly satisfied.
30 Percent of the respondents were satisfied.
25 Percent of the respondents were not satisfied.
17.5 Percent of the respondents were highly not satisfied.
78
FIGURE 4.1.13
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Perception about Demonetization
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Highly
Satisfied
Satisfied Not Satisfied Highly Not
Satisfied
27.5
30
25
17.5
PERCEPTION
PERCENTAGE
79
TABLE 4.1.14
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Time Duration taken to Exchange the Currency
S.NO TIME DURATION NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Once in a Day 30 15
2. Once in Two Days 45 22.5
3. Once in a Week 75 37.5
4. Once in a Month 50 25
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
15 Percent of the respondent’s took once in a day to exchange currency.
22.5 Percent of the respondent’s took once in a two days to exchange currency.
37.5 Percent of the respondent’s took once in a week to exchange currency.
25 Percent of the respondent’s took once in a month to exchange currency.
80
FIGURE 4.1.14
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Time Duration taken to Exchange the Currency
15
22.5 37.5
25
62.5
TIME DURATION
Once in a Day
Once in Two Days
Once in a Week
Once in a Month
81
TABLE 4.1.15
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Risk occurred due to Demonetization
S.NO RISK OCCURRED NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Yes 105 52.5
2. No 95 47.5
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
52.5 Percent of the respondent possessed risk.
47.5 Percent of the respondent does not possessed risk
82
FIGURE 4.1.15
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Risk occurred due to Demonetization
PERCENTAGE
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
Yes No
52.5
47.5
RISK OCCURRED
PERCENTAGE
83
TABLE 4.1.16
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Business Affected through Demonetization
S.NO BUSINESS AFFECTED NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE
1. Fully Affected 45 22.5
2. Affected 65 32.5
3. Partly Affected 50 25
4. Not Affected 40 20
TOTAL 200 100
SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA
INFERENCE
From the above table, it is inferred that
22.5 Percent of the respondent’s business were fully affected.
32.5 Percent of the respondent’s business were affected.
25 Percent of the respondent’s businesses were partly affected.
20 Percent of the respondents were not affected.
84
FIGURE 4.1.16
Classification of the Respondents on the basis of
Business Affected through Demonetization
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Fully
Affected
Affected Partly
Affected
Not Affected
22.5
32.5
25
20
BUSINESS AFFECTED
PERCENTAGE
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency
Demonetization of Indian Currency

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Demonetization of Indian Currency

  • 1. 1 CHAPTER – I 1.1 INTRODUCTION The government has implemented a major change in the economic environment by demonetizing the high value currency notes – of ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 denomination. These ceased to be legal tender from the midnight of 8th November 2016. People have been given upto December 30, 2016 to exchange the notes held by them. The proposal by the government involves the elimination of these existing notes from circulation and a gradual replacement with a new set of notes. The reasons offered for demonetization are two- fold: one, to control counterfeit notes that could be contributing to terrorism, in other words a national security concern and second, to undermine or eliminate the “black economy”. There are potentially two ways in which the pre- demonetization money supply will stand altered in the new regime: one, there would be agents in the economy who are holding cash which they cannot explain and hence they cannot deposit in the banking system. This part of the currency will be extinguished since it would not be replaced in any manner. Second, the government might choose to replace only a part of the currency which was in circulation as cash. In other words, the rest would be available only as electronic money. The empirical extent of these two components will be unraveled only over the next six months. These two would have different effects on the economy in the short- run and in the medium term, as will be explored below. To understand the effects of these dimensions, it is important to understand what is it that cash does in the economy? There are broadly four kinds of transactions in the economy: accounted transactions, unaccounted transactions, those that belong to the informal sector and illegal transactions. The first two categories relate to whether transactions and the corresponding incomes are reported for tax purposes or not. The third category would consist largely of agents who earn incomes below the exemption threshold and therefore do not have any tax liabilities. Finally, there would be demand for cash for illegal purpose like bribes in elections, spreading over sanctioned limits, dealings in crime and corruption. Turning to the effects of demonetization, the first major and sustained effect of demonetization would follow from the extent to which the currency is extinguished and what this
  • 2. 2 currency was being used for. It is being assumed that all currency which will potentially be extinguished would be currency being used as a store of value in the first and second category of transactions. If this assumption is correct, then the impact of extinguishing this currency would be limited. On the other hand, if the currency is used for any of the other transactions in the economy, either as a store of value or more importantly, as a medium of exchange, then the impact on the economy and the agents in the economy could be substantial. If, for instance, the extinguished cash was used as a medium of exchange in financing unaccounted income generation or income in the informal sector, demonetization would result in these activities closing down and a corresponding reduction in the incomes and employment associated with these activities. The spillover effect would be felt by the organized sector as well since the consumption from the incomes generated would extend to the formal sector as well. The next question to ask would be: would these activities/ agents choose to come within the folds of the formal sector as a result of the changed economic environment or would they remain outside or worsen the activities and would be extinguished along with the losses generated from the cash that was extinguished. CURRENCY A currency is the most specific use of the word refers to money in any form when in actual use or circulation as a medium of exchange, especially circulating banknotes and coins. A more general definition is that a currency is a system of money in common use, especially in a nation. Under this definition, US Dollars, British Pounds, Australian Dollars, Indian Rupee and European Euros are examples of currency. These various currencies are recognized stores of value and are traded between nations in foreign exchange market, which determine the relative values of the different currencies. Currencies in this sense are determined by governments, and each type has limited boundaries of acceptance. Other definitions of the term “currency” are discussed in their respective synonymous articles banknote, coin and money. The latter definition, pertaining to the currency systems of nations, is the topic of this article. Currency can be classified into two monetary systems: fiat money and commodity money, depending on what guarantees the value. Some currencies are legal tender in certain political jurisdictions, which means they cannot be refused as payment of
  • 3. 3 debt. Others are simply traded for their economic value. Digital currency has arisen with the popularity of computers and the internet. INDIAN RUPEE The Indian rupee is the official currency of the Republic of India. The rupee is subdivided into 100 paisa, through as of 2016, only the 50 paisa remains legal tender. The issuance of the currency is controlled by the Reserve Bank of India. The Reserve Bank manages currency in India and derives its role in currency management on the basis of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934. The rupee is named after the silver coin, rupiya, first issued by Sultan Sher Shan Suri in the 16th century and later continued by the Mughal Empire. In 2010, a new symbol ‘₹’ was official adopted. It was derived from the combination of the Devanagari Consonant “₹” (ra) and the Latin capital letter “R” without its vertical bar. The parallel lines at the top are said to make an allusion to the tricolor Indian flag, and also depict an equality sign that symbolizes the nation’s desire to reduce economic disparity. The first series of coins with the new rupee symbol started in circulation on 8th July 2011. DEMONETIZATION Demonetization is the process in which a particular currency or valuable mineral is degraded as a legal tender. This happens when a certain currency is no longer in regular use within the country of origin, or when a newer currency comes into circulation. In other words, Demonetization is the act of banning/ taking back of a currency unit of its legal tender. Demonetization is necessary whenever there is a change of national currency. The old unit of currency must be retired and replaced with a new currency unit. Advantages of Demonetization The biggest advantage of demonetization is that it helps the government to track people who are having large sums of unaccounted cash or cash on which no income tax has been paid because many people who earn black money keep that money as cash in their houses or in some secret place which is very difficult to find and when demonetization happens all that cash is of
  • 4. 4 no value and such people have two options is to deposit the money in bank accounts and pay taxes on such amount and second option is to let the value of that cash reduced to zero. Since black money is used for illegal activities like terrorism funding, gambling, money laundering and also inflating the price of major assets classes like real estate, gold and due to demonetization all such activities will get reduced for some time and also it will take years for people to generate that amount of black money again and hence in a way it helps in putting an end this circle of people doing illegal activities to earn black money and using that black money to do more illegal activities. Another benefit is that due to people disclosing their income by depositing money in their bank accounts government gets a good amount of tax revenue which can be used by the government towards the betterment of society by providing good infrastructure, hospitals, educational institutions, roads and many facilities for poor and needy sections of society. Disadvantages of Demonetization The biggest disadvantage of demonetization is that once people in the country gets to know about in than initially for few days there is chaos and frenzy among public as everybody wants to get rid of demonetized notes which in turn sometimes can lead to law and order problem and chaotic situation especially in banks and ATMs which are the only medium to change the old currency units to new currency units. Another disadvantage is that destruction of old currency units and printing of new currency new units involve costs which has to be borne by the government and if the costs are higher than benefits then there is no use of demonetization. Another problem is that majority of times this move is targeted towards black money but if people have not kept cash as their black money and rotated or used that money in other asset classes like real estate, gold and so on then there is no guarantee that demonetization will help in catching corrupt people. Impact of Demonetization
  • 5. 5 1. Black Money And Corruption By demonetization, black money will be taken out of Indian system. As predicted by ICICI Securities Primary Dealership the government’s plan to remove INR 500 and INR 1000 notes from circulation will disclose up to INR 4.6 lakh crore in black money. Corruption will also be automatically reduced by removing black money from economy. 2. Funding Funding for smuggling and terrorism will take a blow since all the money will get back to bank and from there it is easy to identify the fake currency. Demonetization thus affects the funding of terror networks in Jammu and Kashmir, North – eastern states and the other areas. 3. Real Estate Another impact of the demonetization would be reduction in cash transactions in real estate. This is likely to reduce to real estate prices and make it affordable. In the short term, prices of real estate would come down for the same reasons above. There will be fewer suitcases moving. 4. Elections Demonetization has shocked political parties. Many states like Punjab and Uttar Pradesh, cash donations are a huge part of “election management”. Political parties will find themselves helpless as cash hoards are often undeclared money. So, upcoming elections of 2017 will be transparent to the some extent. 5. Gold / Silver and Jewellery After demonetization the demand for gold and other precious metals rise greatly, because people are trying to invest their black money in gold and to make it white in short period. But demand for gems and jeweler to decline in the next two to three quarters. 6. Digital Payments
  • 6. 6 People are adopting online payments system such as paytm, etc. after ban for high denomination currency in India. Digital transaction systems, E – wallets and apps, online transactions using E – Banking, usage of Plastic money (Debit and Credit Cards), etc, will definitely see substantial increase in demand. This behavioral change could be a game changer for India in the near future. 7. Fake Currency The impact on the fake currency would be more significant. Many dealers with the existing counterfeit notes would be trapped as they would have to take the notes to the bank and have better chances of getting their racket exposed. This, they have only option to destroy their notes and incur losses. 8. GDP The sudden decline in money supply and increase in bank deposits is going to adversely impact consumption demand in the economy in the short term. This coupled with the adverse impact on real estate and informal sectors may lead to lowering of GDP growth. 9. Market There will be positive move in markets in long run that could bring confidence of overseas investors in Indian stock markets. Market goes a bit down in the short and medium term. India is still a very attractive destination on a long – term basis. It is not the best market in the next three months. 10. Decrease in Interest Rates We will see lowering interest rates for education loans, home loans and medical loans very soon. It will make higher education and medical facilities more accessible. This change is hard to undo because if any subsequent government increases loan it will suffer huge backlash. 11. Lower Inflation
  • 7. 7 As the black money goes out of the system the money supply will shrink to some degree. This will reduce inflation rate in the absence of any open market interventions by the Reserve Bank of India. What is “LEGAL TENDER”? Legal tender is any official medium of payment recognized by law that can be used to extinguish a public or private debt, or meet a financial obligation. The national currency is legal tender in practically every country. A creditor is obligated to accept legal tender towards repayment of a debt. Legal tender can only be issued by the national body that is authorized to do so, such as the U.S. Treasury in the United States and the Royal Canadian Mint in Canada. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) GDP is the final value of the goods and services produced within the geographic boundaries of a country during a specified period of time, normally a year. GDP growth rate is an important indicator of the economic performance of a country. The OECD defines GDP as “an aggregate measure of production equal to the sum of the gross value added of all resident and institutional units engaged in production”. An IMF publication states that “GDP measures the monetary value of final goods and services- that is, those that are bought by the final user- produced in a country in a given period of time”[1]. The sudden decline in money supply and increase in bank deposits is going to adversely impact consumption demand in the economy in the short term. This coupled with the adverse impact on real estate and informal sectors may lead to lowering of GDP growth. Service sector is the largest sector of India and it contributes 52.52% of GDP during the period 2014-15. Service sector accounts for 52.97% of total India’s GVA of 115.50 lakh crore Indian rupees. 1 Callen, Tim, “Gross Domestic Product- An Economy’s All”- IMF. It can be measured by three methods, namely,
  • 8. 8  Output Method  Expenditure Method  Income Method 1. Output Method This measures the monetary or market value of all the goods and services produced within the borders of the country. In order to avoid a distorted measure of GDP due to price level changes, GDP at constant prices real GDP is computed. GDP (as per output method) = Real GDP (GDP at constant prices) – Taxes + Subsidies. 2. Expenditure Method This measures the total expenditure incurred by all entities on goods and services within the domestic boundaries of a country. GDP (as per expenditure method) = C + I + G + (X-IM) C: Consumption expenditure, I: Investment expenditure, G: Government spending and (X – IM): Exports minus Imports, that is, net exports. 3. Income Method It measures the total income earned by the factors of production, that is, labor and capital within the domestic boundaries of a country. GDP (as per income method) = GDP at factor cost + Taxes – Subsidies. In India, contributions to GDP are mainly divided into 3 broad sectors – agriculture and allied services, industry and service sectors. In India, GDP is measured as market prices and the base year for computation is 2011-12. GDP at market prices = GDP at factor cost + Indirect Taxes – Subsidies. ECONOMIC GROWTH
  • 9. 9 Economic growth is the increase in the inflation- adjusted market value of the goods and services produced by an economy over time. It is conventionally measured as the percent rate of increase in real gross domestic product, or real GDP, usually in per capita terms. The rate of economic growth refers to the geometric annual rate of growth in GDP between the first and the last year over a period of time. Implicitly, this growth rate is the trend in the average level of GDP over the period, which implicitly ignores the fluctuations in the GDP around this trend. ECONOMY OF INDIA The economy of India is the sixth- largest economy in the world measured by nominal GDP and the third- largest Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). The country is classified as a newly industrialized country, one of the G-20 major economies, a member of BRICS and a developing economy with an average growth rate of approximately 7% over the last two decades. India has one of the fastest growing service sectors in the world with annual growth rate of above 9% since 2001, which contributes to 52.97% of GDP in 2014-15.
  • 10. 10 1.2 OVERVIEW OF INDIAN RUPEE Background Governments have, for centuries spent a large amount of time and resources in the production of currency in a way that can best serve as the representation of regional and later national pride and interests. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s announcement on November 8 to withdraw currency notes of demonetization ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 and the issue of new notes worth ₹ 2000 and ₹ 500 clearly left the country in a shock from which it will take a while to recover. While analysts have poured in both criticism and admiration for the government’s move, both sides do agree on the historic nature of the announcement. However, currency reforms like these are not exactly new. Since the Republic of India took birth and even before, paper currency in the sub continent had been periodically transformed to reflect the needs of the time. For many of us, the old versions featuring Mahatma Gandhi, on one side were all that we ever knew. Though the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) introduced an updated version of the notes in 2005, with some new security features, the overall look and design remained similar to the original style, introduced in 1996. These notes were, however, preceded by decades of changes in symbols, colors, sizes, denominations and more – a rich history that harks back to the colonial era. The Birth of a Paper Currency Until the 18th century, silver and gold coins were commonly used in India. But as Private European trading companies established their own banks in the region, such as the Bank of Hindostan in Culcutta, they began issuing the very first versions of Indian paper notes, which were initially just text-based. As British companies began increasing their hold over what were then Bengal, Bombay and Madras, they established presidency banks, beginning with the Bank of Bengal. This further popularized the use of paper notes. The Bank of Bengal went on to release notes that featured a
  • 11. 11 small image of a female figure meant to represent the idea of “commerce”, as well as the bank’s name and the denomination in three scripts: Urdu, Bengali and Nagri. However, it was only after the Paper Currency Act of 1861 that the British Colonial government really got involved in producing money, establishing the paper currency as we know it today. Money was now to be issued by the state alone, not banks. The new law was the brainchild of James Wilson, the finance member of the India council that advised the British in India. Wilson effectively was a sort of finance minister in the colonial government. The “Victoria Portrait Series” notes were the very first paper notes officially introduced by the government, available in denominations of ₹ 10, ₹ 20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100 and ₹ 1000. The notes had details provided in two languages, as well as a small portrait of the queen on the top left. At the time, as Manu Goswami explains in her book “Producing India”, the vast mass of the region was divided into “currency circles”, each with notes that could only be used within a specific area. These circles were centered on cities then known as Calcutta, Bombay, Madras and Rangoon, as well as Kanpur, Lahore and Karachi. Interestingly, in instances when money had to be securely transferred across distances, the paper notes were sometimes cut in half, with one half being sent by post first and the second half sent only after the first reached the destination, according to the RBI’s Monetary Museum. Other colonial governments also printed notes for use in their territories in India. For instances, France’s Banque de I’Induchine issued its own “roupie” notes in the late 1890s and these stayed in circulation right upto 1954, when they were replaced with Indian government notes. The Portuguese issued “rupia” notes starting in 1883 and they were used until 1961. As British influence grew over the years, the denominations and styles of their currency notes in India evolved; they began to feature more languages and details, as well as the portraits of kings, starting with George V in 1923. All these notes were printed by the Bank of England until India’s first currency printing press was established in Nasik in 1928. Four years later, this press was producing all of India’s
  • 12. 12 notes. In 1935, the responsibility of managing India’s money was handed over to the newly- established Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Money for Modern India It took RBI several years to launch its own notes and the first versions looked similar to the earlier editions of the colonial government. RBI’s first note was issued in 1938 and featured a portrait of King George VI. After Independence in 1947, India’s currency needs a new look, with imagery and symbols to represent its new identity. The first Post- Independence note came out in 1949. The ₹ 1 had the image of the Lion capital of Ashoka at Sarnath, which would also become the official emblem of India, printed on the top right. Over the next few years, RBI released notes of different denominations featuring images of monuments such as Mumbai’s Gateway of India and the Brihandeeswara temple in Tamilnadu’s Thanjavur town. In the 1960s, notes began to be printed in different colors to help people who couldn’t read. The Ashoka pillar remained one of the main images on most notes until the 1980’s when the next redesign occurred. This time the motifs oriented towards Indian art forms and symbols of scientific and economic progress, a nod to the country’s development. But perhaps the most important transformation over the years was technological. In 1944, fearing the infiltration of Japanese forgeries in the latter years of the Second World War, RBI introduced a security thread for the first time on its notes, as well as an updated watermark. Decades later, in 1966 and in 2005, it released versions of a new “Mahatma Gandhi Series” of notes. These came with an updated range of security features, including a latent image that could only be seen when the note was held up to light in a certain way. Special inks were used for the various texts and the notes carried details that could held the visually- impaired. The last design change in recent memory was the inclusion of the new rupee currency symbol, first adopted in 2010. Notes bearing this symbol, a combination of the Devanagari ‘Ra’ and Roman ‘R’, were printed for the first time in 2011.
  • 13. 13 The Money of Tomorrow Today, these notes are still an essential part of daily life, even as credit cards and online payment services are becoming increasingly popular in urban India. But the demonetization of the ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 notes, the first such step in nearly 40 years, has paved the way for further evolution of India’s paper currency. The two new feature Devanagari numerals, along with the usual international standard ones, a surprise addition given the long- running debate over the status of India’s many languages. The ₹500 note is now slightly smaller and stone gray in color but still features the Mahatma. On the reverse, RBI has added the spectacles logo of Swacch Bharat- Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s pet “Clean India” campaign- and an image of Delhi’s Red Fort. Meanwhile, the ₹ 2000 note is magenta in color and represents India’s Mars Orbiter mission, a new symbol to mark the distance that the country has travelled over its long history. Security Features of Indian Rupee The Reserve Bank has the sole authority to issue bank notes in India. Reserve Bank, like other Central banks the world over, changes the design of banknotes from time to time. The Reserve Bank has introduced banknotes in the denominations of ₹ 5, ₹ 10, ₹20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100, ₹ 500 and ₹ 2000 in this series. These notes contain distinct easily recognizable security features to facilitate the detection of genuine notes vis-à-vis forgeries. The security features of the Indian rupee are as under, mentioned using a specimen of demonetized note of ₹ 1000.
  • 14. 14 1. See through Register The see through register is a design that is printed on both sides of the note, on one side, it is hollow and on the other side it is filled up. On Indian banks notes a hollow floral design is printed on the reverse. It is placed in the middle of the vertical band next to the watermark and looks like one single design when seen against the light. 2. Watermark Most banknotes all over the world have a distinct watermark. The latest Mahatma Gandhi series of banknotes contain a unique Mahatma Gandhi watermark. They bear a peculiar light and shade effect along with multi-directorial watermark windows. 3. Optically Variable Ink This kind of special ink changes its color when viewed from different angles. This is one of the latest security features on Indian banknotes. 4. Fluorescence This is a special security feature in which optical fibers and florescent ink is used which glows when exposed to ultraviolet lamp. The number panels on Indian banknotes have this special feature.
  • 15. 15 5. Security Thread The security thread is generally a thin line of inscription made of special material having particular inscriptions. The security thread reads, ‘Bharat’ (in Hindi), ‘1000’ and ‘RBI’. Similar features are used on the other notes issued in India. 6. Intaglio Printing Inscriptions or motifs printed using the Intaglio printing or raised printing technique can be felt by touch. The portrait of Mahatma Gandhi, the Reserve Bank seal, guarantee and promise clause, Ashoka Pillar Emblem on the left, Reserve Bank of India Governor’s signature are printed in intaglio. 7. Latent Image The latent image is a security feature that is concealed within the note. It is visible only when it is held horizontally at eye level. 8. Micro Lettering Micro letterings are minute inscriptions which can be only ready under a microscope. On Indian banknotes, the word RBI is printed using this technique between the vertical bank and Mahatma Gandhi portrait. 9. Identification Mark Identification notes are made on banknotes to help the visually impaired identity the denomination of notes. On Indian banknotes they appear on the left of the watermark window on all notes except ₹ 10 note. ₹ 20 notes have a Vertical Rectangle shaped identification mark, ₹ 50 notes have a Square shaped one, and ₹ 100 notes have a Triangle shaped one. A look at the security features of the newly- launched ₹ 2000 and ₹ 500 notes from the RBI’s table.
  • 16. 16 ₹ 2000 (Color: Magenta) 1. See through register where the numeral 2000 can be seen when note is held against light. 2. Latent image of 2000 can be seen when the note is tilted. 3. Devanagari denomination. 4. Portrait of Mahatma Gandhi. 5. Micro letters ‘RBI’ and ‘2000’. 6. Color shift security thread with ‘RBI’ and ‘2000’. 7. Guarantee clause, Governor’s signature and RBI emblem on the right. 8. Watermarks of Mahatma Gandhi and electrotype 2000 numeral. 9. Number panel with numerals growing from small to big on top left and bottom right sides. 10. Denominational numeral with Rupee symbol, 2000 in color changing ink. 11. Ashoka pillar emblem. For visually impaired: 12. Rectangle with ₹ 2000 in raised print on right. 13. Seven angular bleed lines in raised print.
  • 17. 17 ₹ 500 (Color: Stone Green) 1. See through register in denomination numeral. 2. Latent image of the denomination numeral. 3. Denomination numeral in Devanagari. 4. Orientation of Mahatma Gandhi’s portrait changed. 5. Windowed security thread changes from green to blue when note is tilted. 6. Guaranteed clause, Governor’s signature and RBI emblem shifted towards right. 7. Portrait and electrotype watermarks. 8. Number panel with numerals growing from small to big on top left and bottom right sides. 9. Denomination in numerals with rupee symbol in color changing ink (green to blue) on bottom right. 10. Ashoka pillar emblem on right. For visually impaired: 11. Circle with ₹ 500 in raised print on the right. 12. Bleed lines on the left and right in raised print.
  • 18. 18 List of Indian Currency Both CNP, located in Nashik, Maharashtra, BNP Mysore and BNP located in Dewas, Madhya Pradesh, print Indian currency. Currency is also printed by Reserve Bank of India, along with two presses owned by Bharatiya Reserve Bank Note Mudran Private Limited. The Government of India has the sole right to mint coins. The responsibility for coinage vests with the Government of India terms of the Coinage Act, 1906 as amended from time to time. The designing and minting of coins in various denominations is also the responsibility of the Government of India. Coins are minted at the four India Government Mints at Mumbai, Alipore (Kolkata), Saifabad (Hyderabad), Cherlapally (Hyderabad) and Noida (UP). The coins are issued for circulation only through the Reserve Bank in terms of the RBI Act. The following are the currencies issued in India and the year of issue and year of demonetization of Indian currency are mentioned in the table. I. COINS Coins Year of Introduction Year of Demonetized 1 Paise 1965 1981 2 Paise 1965 1981 3 Paise 1964 1971 5 Paise 1977 1977 10 Paise 1971 1982 20 Paise 1987 1997 25 Paise 1957 2011 50 Paise 1964 In Circulation
  • 19. 19 1 Rupee 1964 In Circulation 2 Rupees 1982 In Circulation 5 Rupees 1985 In Circulation 10 Rupees 1965 In Circulation II. CURRENCY NOTES Currency Year of Introduction Year of Demonetized 1 Rupee 1940 In Circulation 2 Rupees 1943 In Circulation 5 Rupees 1938 In Circulation 10 Rupees 1938 In Circulation 20 Rupees 2001 In Circulation 50 Rupees 1975 In Circulation 100 Rupees 1938 In Circulation 500 Rupees 1987 2016 1000 Rupees 1938 2016 5000 Rupees 1954 1978 10000 Rupees 1938 1978 500 Rupees (Reissued) 2016 In Circulation 2000 Rupees 2016 In Circulation
  • 20. 20 1.3 HISTORY The sudden move to demonetize ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 and higher denomination notes were first demonetized in January 1946 and again in 1978. The highest denomination note ever printed by the Reserve Bank of India was the ₹10000 note in 1938 and again in 1954. But these notes were demonetized in January 1946 and again in January 1978, according to RBI data. ₹ 1000 and ₹ 10000 bank notes were in circulation prior to January 1946. Higher denomination banknotes of ₹ 1000, ₹ 5000 and ₹ 10000 were reintroduced in 1954 and all of them were demonetized in January 1978. The ₹ 1000 note made a comeback in November 2000. ₹ 500 note came into circulation in October 1987. The move was then justified as attempt to contain the volume of banknotes in circulation due to inflation. However, this is the first time that ₹ 2000 currency note is being introduced. While announcing currently circulated ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 notes as invalid from midnight 8 November, Prime Minister Narendra Modi said new ₹ 500 note and ₹ 2000 denomination banknote will be introduced from November 10. 1.3.1 History of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) The Reserve Bank of India was established on April 1, 1935 in accordance with the provisions of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934. Though initially RBI was privately owned, it was nationalized in 1949. Its central office is in Mumbai where the Governor of RBI sits. RBI has 22 regional offices and most of them are located in state capitals. The Reserve Bank of India also has three fully owned subsidiaries: National Housing Bank (NHB), Deposit Insurance and Credit Guarantee Corporation of India (DICGC) and Bharatiya Reserve Bank Note Mudran Private Limited (BRBNMPL). The functions of Reserve Bank are governed by Central board of directors. The board is appointed by the Government of India. The directors are nominated / appointed for a period of four years. As per the Reserve Bank of India Act there are official directors and non- official directors. The official directors are appointed by the government and include Governor and Deputy Governors of RBI. There cannot be more than four Deputy Governors. Non – official directors are nominated by the government. These include ten directors from various fields and
  • 21. 21 one government official. Apart from these, there are four other non – official directors, one each from four local boards in Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai and New Delhi. Awards Reserve Bank of India on 22 January 2016, XBRL International presents India’s Central bank with an award recognizing the regulators ongoing innovation in leveraging the standard in pursuit of improved transparency and accountability. 1.3.2 History of Indian Rupee The rupee in your pocket has a mysterious past. Behind Mahatma Gandhi’s smiling faces lies a long history of struggle, exploration and wealth that can be traced back to the ancient India of the 16th Century BC. Let’s demystify this history by bringing you the interesting stories about how Indian currency has evolved over the ages into the rupee of today. India was one of the first issuer of coins (Circa: 6th Century BC), and as a result it has seen a wide range of monetary units throughout its history. There is some historical evidence to show that the first coins may have been introduced somewhere between 2500 and 1750 B.C. However, the first documented coins date from between the 7th / 6th Century B.C. to the 1st Century A.D. These coins are called ‘Punch-Marked’ coins because of their manufacturing technique. Over the next few centuries, as traditions developed and empires rose and fell, the country’s coinage designs reflected its progression and often depicted dynasties, socio- political events, deities and nature. This included dynastic coins, representing Greek Gods of the Indo- Greek period followed by the western kshatrapa copper coins from between the 1st and the 4th century A.D. In 712 A.D, the Arabs conquered the Indian province of Sindh and brought their influence and coverage with them. By the 12th century, Turkish Sultans of Delhi replaced the longstanding Arabs designs and replaced them with Islamic calligraphy. This currency was referred to as ‘Tanka’ and the lower valued coins, ‘Jittals’. The Delhi Sultanate attempted to standardize this monetary system and coins were subsequently made in gold, silver and copper.
  • 22. 22 In 1526, the Mughal period commenced, bringing forth a unified and consolidated monetary system for the entire Empire. This was heavily influenced by the Afghan Sher Shah Suri (1540-1545) who introduced the silver Rupayya or Rupee coin. The princely states of pre- colonial India minted their own coins, all which mainly resembled the silver Rupee, but held regional distinctions depending on where they were from. During the late 18th century when political unrest occurred, agency houses developed banks such as the Bank of Bengal and Bahar, The Bank of Hindostan, Orient Bank Corporation and the Bank of western India. These banks also printed their own paper currency in the Urdu, Bengali and Nagri languages. It was only in 1858 when the British Crown gained control of the one hundred princely states, and subsequently ended the Mughal Empire, that the coin’s native images were replaced by portraits of the Monarch of Great Britain to indicate British supremacy. In 1866, when the financial establishments collapsed, the control of paper money also shifted to the British Government. This was subsequently passed to the Mint Masters, the Accountant Generals and the Controller of Currency. In 1867, the Victoria Portrait series of bank notes was issued in honor of Queen Victoria. After gaining its independence in 1947 and becoming a republic in 1950, India’s modern rupee reverted back to the design of the signature rupee coin. The symbol chosen for the paper currency was the Lion Capital at Sarnath which replaced the George VI series of banknotes. In 1996, the Mahatma Gandhi series of paper notes were introduced. 1.3.3 History of Indian Coins and Currency I. Coins It would be interesting for us to know that the first documented coinage seems to have started with ‘Punch- Marked’ coins issued between the 7th- 6th century BC and 1st century AD. The coinage can be classified into the following periods. a. Ancient Period b. Medival Period c. Mughal Period
  • 23. 23 d. Late pre-colonial Period e. British Period f. Republic Period g. Others Our country won its independence on August 15, 1947. During the period of transition India retained the monetary system and the currency and coinage of earlier period. India brought out its distinctive coins on 15th August, 1950. Our coins are presently being issued in denominations of 50 paise, one rupee, two rupees, five rupees and ten rupees. Coins upto 50 paise are called ‘small coins’ and coins of rupee one and above are called ‘Rupee coins’. Our coins can be issued upto the denomination of ₹ 100 as per the Coinage Act, 1906. II. Currency Our financial instruments and ‘Hundies’ in India have a venerable history. Our paper money, in the modern sense, traces its origins to the late eighteenth century with the issues of private banks as well as those of semi- government banks. The Paper Currency Act of 1861 conferred upon Government of India the monopoly of Note Issue bringing to end banknote issues of Private and Presidency Banks. Government of India continued to issue currency notes till the Reserve Bank of India was established on 1st April, 1935. Reserve Bank issued banknotes in January 1938 when the first Five Rupee banknote was issued bearing the portrait of George VI. This was followed by ₹ 10 in February, ₹ 100 in March and ₹ 1000 and ₹ 10000 in June 1938. The George VI series continued till 1947 and thereafter as a frozen series till 1950 when post independence banknotes were issued, with the Ashoka Pillar watermark. Our banknotes in the Mahatma Gandhi series were introduced in 1996 and were issued in a phased manner in the denominations of ₹ 5, ₹ 10, ₹ 20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100, ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000. Presently ₹ 500 notes were reissued and ₹ 1000 notes were demonetized to control black money. New ₹ 500 and ₹ 2000 notes were issued by the Reserve Bank of India.
  • 24. 24 Milestones  In 1540-1545, the Silver coins issued by Sher Shah Suri. It remained in use during the Mughal period, Maratha era and British India.  In 1770-1832, earliest paper rupee issued by Bank of Hindostan (1770-1832), General Bank of Bengal and Bihar (1773-1775), and Bengal Bank (1784-1791).  In April1, 1935 the Reserve Bank of India is setup.  In January 1938, first note of ₹ 5 issued by the Reserve Bank.  During February - June 1938, ₹ 10, ₹ 100, ₹1000 and ₹ 10000 issued.  In August 1940, ₹ 1 note introduced. ₹ 1 was first introduced on 30 November1917, followed by ₹ 2 and 8 annas, and discontinued on 1 January 1926.  During March 1943, ₹ 2 introduced.  In August 12, 1946 ₹ 500, ₹ 1000 and ₹ 10000 notes were demonetized to control black money.  In 1950, first post- independence coins issued in 1 pice, 1.2, one and two annas, 1.4, 1.2 and ₹ 1 denominations.  In 1953, Hindi was displayed prominently on the new notes, and plural of rupiya 1954 was decided to be rupiya.  In 1954, high denomination notes of ₹ 1000, ₹ 5000 and ₹ 10000 reintroduced.  In 1957, rupee was decimalized and divided into 100 naye paise.  In 1957-1967, Aluminum one, two, three, five and ten paise coins introduced.  In 1967, sizes of notes reduced due to the lean period of the early sixties.  In January 16, 1978 new notes issued with symbols of science and tech (Aryabhatta on ₹ 2 note), progress (oil rig on ₹ 1 and form mechanization on ₹ 5) and Indian art forms on ₹ 20 and ₹ 10 notes (Konark Wheel, Peacock).  In October 1987, ₹ 500note introduced due to the growing economy and fall in purchasing power.  In 1988, stainless steel coins of 10, 25 and 50 paise were introduced.  In 1992, ₹ 1 and ₹ 5 coins in stainless steel introduced.  During 1995, ₹ 1 and ₹ 2 notes were removed from circulation.  In 1996, the Mahatma Gandhi series of notes issued, starting with ₹ 10 and ₹ 500 notes. This series has replaced all notes of the Lion Capital series. A changed watermark,
  • 25. 25 windowed security thread, latent image and intaglio features for the visually handicapped were the new features.  In the year 2000, ₹ 1000 note was reintroduced.  During 2008-2008, new 50 paise, ₹ 1, ₹ 2 and ₹ 5 stainless steel coins introduced.  In 2009, the printing of ₹ 5 notes resumed.  In July 2010, new symbol “₹” is officially adopted.  During 2011, 25 paise coin and all paise coins below it demonetized. New series of 50 paise coins and ₹ 1, ₹ 2, ₹ 5 and ₹ 10 notes with the new rupee symbol introduced.  In 2012, new “₹” sign is incorporated in notes of the Mahatma Gandhi series in denominations of ₹ 10, ₹ 20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100, ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000.  In November 2016, ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 notes discontinued and new ₹ 500 and ₹ 2000 notes introduced. The Pre-independence British Series The Paper Currency Act of 1861 gave the British government the monopoly to issue notes in India. Victoria Portrait Series The series comprised the first British India notes- ₹ 10, ₹ 20, ₹ 50, ₹ 100. Under print Series In 1867, the Victoria Portrait series, withdrawn due to forgeries, was replaced by this series. Initially, notes were legally encashable only in the Currency Circle in which they were issued, but in 1903-11, ₹ 5, ₹ 10, ₹ 50 and ₹ 100 were universalized. Small Denomination Notes Paper currency of small denominations was started due to the First World War, with ₹ 1 introduced on 30th November 1917. King’s Portrait Series This series carried the portrait of George V and was started in May 1923 with ₹ 10 notes and included ₹ 5, ₹ 10, ₹ 50, ₹ 100, ₹ 500, ₹ 1000 and ₹ 10000. This continued till 1935 when the Reserve Bank of India was set up. 1.4 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
  • 26. 26 The objectives of doing this project are defined as under:  To know about the Indian currency and demonetization.  To know about the impact of demonetization of Indian currency.  To know whether it affects small scale or large scale industries largely.  To analyze the effects of demonetization on different sectors.  To know about the impact on the GDP.  To know how demonetization affects the future of Indian economy.  To know the drawbacks faced by the Indian economy on demonetization.  To know about the average sale before and after demonetization. 1.5 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
  • 27. 27  Theoretical data are taken from internet; possibilities of wrong data can take in the report.  The data collection was confined to only few areas.  The sample for the present study comprised of 200 business in Kerala.  There is a chance of providing wrong data by the respondents.  The present study is constrained by time limit of three months.  Getting appointments from the concern respondent was very difficult.  Many respondents don’t express their original perception and views because of biasness.  Certain questions were not answered with justices. 1.6 SCOPE OF THE STUDY In the present study, an attempt has been made to study on impact of demonetization on ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 on business sector in Kerala. The present study is restricted to the network of business sectors in few cities of Kerala. The study was focused on 200 business sectors and therefore an in-depth study is based on demonetization.
  • 28. 28 1.7 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM A study deals on impact of demonetization on ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 especially on small scale and large scale business in Kerala. For knowing about the income level and types of business they engaged in, for how long the business sector are in business and the category of business that deal with. For knowing the essentials of demonetization for the developing country like India, its affect on GDP level of the country, to know about the existence of black money, to know how the transactions of business made before demonetization and the technologies used to overcome the demonetization. The study also reveals the respondents perception about demonetization, time taken by the respondent to exchange the currency, risk occurred while exchange of currency and the liabilities come across by the business. The study includes the overall experience on demonetization of currency, current business situation, and average sale before and after demonetization. Finally, to find general suggestions and the problems faced by the business sector on demonetization.
  • 29. 29 1.8 CHAPTER SCHEME The present project report has organized following chapters: Chapter-I This chapter deals with ‘Introduction, Overview of Indian Rupee, SWOT Analysis, History of Indian Rupee and RBI, Objectives of the Study, Limitations of the Study and statement of the Problem”. Chapter-II This chapter deals with “Review of Literature”. Chapter –III This chapter deals with “Research Methodology, Tools used for Analysis and Hypothesis”. Chapter-IV This chapter deals with “Data Analysis and Interpretation” of the study. Chapter –V This chapter deals with “SWOT Analysis” Chapter –VI This chapter deals with “Findings, Suggestions and Conclusion”.
  • 30. 30 CHAPTER-II REVIEW OF LITERATURE INTRODUCTION A literature review is a description of the literature relevant to a particular field or topic. This is often written as part of a thesis proposal, or at the commencement of a thesis. A critical literature review is a critical assessment of the relevant literature. Literature ‘covers everything relevant that is written on a topic: books, journal articles, newspaper articles, historical records, government reports, thesis and dissertations, etc. The important word is 'relevant'. A literature review gives an overview of the field of inquiry: what has already been said on the topic, the key writers. It also gives an idea about the prevailing theories and hypotheses. The review also specifies what questions are being asked, and what methodologies and methods are appropriate and useful. A critical literature review shows how prevailing ideas fit into the thesis and how the thesis agrees or differs from them. Human being are with full of curiosity and this draws them towards finding the facts. Knowing the facts requires the researcher to understand and get in-depth knowledge of the topic. The selection of the topic was on the basis of the current scenario in the society. After selecting the topic the researcher tried to conduct a complete study of the available literature to know the past, present scenario and also to understand the future trend. Literature review also helped the researcher to know of the deviations in the present study and if possible to give certain remedial measures. The objective of the study according to the researcher is to understand the conceptual framework of Demonetization and to have a complete knowledge of these impacts in relation to the Indian market. 2The Tax Research Team (2016) has written in favor of demonetization is that the cash that would be extinguished would be “black money” and hence, should be rightfully extinguished to set right the perverse incentive structure in the economy. While the facts are not
  • 31. 31 available to anybody, it would be foolhardy to argue that this is the only possibility. Therefore, it is imperative to evaluate the short-run and medium-term impacts that such a shock is expected to have on the economy. Further, the impact of such a move would vary depending on the extent to which the government decides to remonetize. The paper elucidates the impact of such a move on the availability of credit, spending, and level of activity and government finances. 3Anirudh Burman (2016), investigated the government’s move to demonetize ₹ 500 and ₹ 1000 notes, and place restrictions on withdrawals, exchanges and deposits has attracted both appreciation and criticism. This piece analyses the framework of this discourse and its implications for the economy and society. Terms like “demonetization”, “corruption”, “inconvenience and hardship”, “implementation” form the basis of this discourse. Interestingly, most of these terms have originated from the government itself. The piece argues that by confining ourselves to these terms, they fail to group the true nature and impact of this measure. 4Sandeep Kaur (2016) had written that demonetization refers to withdrawal of a particular form of currency from circulation. Demonetization is necessary whenever there is a change of national currency. The old unit of currency must be removed and substituted with a new currency unit. The currency was demonetized first time in 1946 and second time in 1978. On Nov, 2016 the currency is demonetized third time by the present Modi government. This is the bold step taken by the government for the betterment of the economy and country. This paper discusses the impact of recent demonetization on Indian system. 2The Tax Research Team, Journal of Demonetization: Impact on the Economy, Working Paper No. 182, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, 2016. 3Anirudh Burman, Journal on the Problematic terms in the demonetization debate, (2016). 4Sandeep Kaur, “Demonetization and its Impacts in India”, International Journal of Research (IJR), 2016.
  • 32. 32 5Prasanna V. Salian and Gopakumar K has examined the relationship between inflation and GDP growth in India. Empirical evidence is obtained from the co integration and error correction models using annual data collected from the Reserve Bank of India. The result shows that there is a long-run negative relationship between inflation and GDP growth rate in India. Inflation is harmful rather than helpful to growth. These results have important policy implications. 6Worthington (1995), “The cashless society” paper describes society, where clumsy and expensive- to handle coins and notes are replaced by efficient electronic payments initiated by various types of plastic cards is a tantalizing prospect for the twenty- first century. Some of the interested parties stand to gain more than others if the cashless society becomes a reality. Paper outlines the rationale of those who are keen to promote the cashless society and the implications for marketers charged with winning consumer acceptance for payment of plastic card. The plastic card payment product is analyzed under the three headings of pay later, pay now and pay before and a view is offered as to the future prospects for each type of plastic card in contributing to the development of the cashless society. 7Bhattacharyya Jita, Bhattacharyya Mousumi (2012), the study revealed that there was a long term relationship between FDI, merchandise, service trade and economic growth in India. Bi-directional causality is observed from FDI to economic growth and FDI to merchandise trade. A unidirectional causality is also observed from merchandise trade to service trade. 5Prasanna V. Salian and Gopakumar K, “Journal of Inflation and Economic Growth in India – An Empirical Analysis”. 6 Worthington (1995), “The Cashless Society”. 7Bhattacharyya Jita, Bhattacharyya Mousumi, “Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and Merchandise and Services Trade of the Economic growth in India: an Empirical study”, 2012.
  • 33. 33 8Singh s., Singh M, (2011), “investigates the trend of FDI inflow in India, during 1920- 2007 using time series data. This paper aims to study the reasons behind the fluctuations of the FDI inflow in India and to search the cause that in responsible for the fluctuations of the trends of FDI. 9Manpreet Kaur and Akriti (2015), “investigated the issue of black money has come into forefront of the society with active participation of our youth and Parliament. In the context of current status it includes sources from where black money is generated and its uses in the country at different levels. This paper represents the framework, policy adoptions and strategies that Indian government should adopt to tackle with this issue and also describes the impact on economy in this context. It also studies the one of the corruption. It shows up to what extent, the corruption leads to its generation which has considerable impact on various sections of the society. At last but not least, conclusion of this paper is provided representing the ongoing issue of black money there should be a strong and appropriate legislative framework. The present paper helps to know about present status of black money in India and its impact on economy. 10Sir B. Rama Rau (1960) discusses the course of monetary policy in the context of inflation in India during and after the Second World War. He makes mention of the inability of the Reserve Bank of India in controlling the inflationary pressure, built up during the war and post war period, on account of little control it had over the basic causes of inflation. The two causes of inflationary price spiral experienced during the war and post-war period, according to him, were 1) the failure of the rate of production, especially of food grains, to keep pace with the 8Singh s., Singh M, “Trends and prospects of FDI in India”. 2011. 9Manpreet Kaur and Akriti , “ Black Money in India: Current status and impact on economy”, Journal of research in Commerce and Management, Vol 4, Issue 4, 2015. 10Sir B. Rama Rau: “ Evolution of Central Banking in India”, Vora and Co. Publishers Pvt. Ltd., Bombay,pp. 35-61, 1960.
  • 34. 34 alarming growth of the population and 2) deficit financing and other government policies which caused the supply of money to increase with the population. He, by discussing the steps taken by the Reserve Bank through monetary policy, calls for caution in the matter of deficit financing for combating inflation. 11Vakil, C.N. (1966) describes the devaluation of rupee in 1966 as Prayashchitta (Penance) for the past sins of the government of India, which resulted in price rise in the country and forced it to devalue the rupee as a corrective rising prices in India were plan expenditure on projects involving long gestation periods, increasing deficit financing, wasteful expenditure and price controls. He makes an attempt to explain in a simple language the background and implications of the devaluation of rupee to the people and suggests a handful of measures to avoid inflationary price rise and recourse to devaluation. 12S.K. Taneja (1968) discusses the problem of falling rupee, devaluations of 1949 and 1966 and the factors responsible thereof. He attributes the weaker rupee during the post- independence period to continuously rising prices. He maintains that the inflation was the biggest single problem before the Indian economy and other major economic ailments had their roots in it. According to him, prices scaled higher and higher peaks since second five year plan and by 1968 they became twice as high as they were nearly a decade and half ago. The result, he opines, was the continuous fall in the value of rupee, which was worth only 12 paise by 1968. He thus called for a fresh approach from the government to arrest rising prices so as to strengthen the rupee. 11Vakil, C.N.: “The Devaluation of the Rupee: A Challenge and an Opportunity, Lalvani Publishing House, Bombay, 1966. 12S.K. Taneja: “The Indian Rupee in a Maelstrom”’ Sterling Publishers Pvt. Ltd., Delhi-6, pp.123-125, 1968.
  • 35. 35 13Reddy ,Y.V.(1999) states that India’s record of inflation for the period 1950-51 to 1997-98 has been satisfactory, with the average rate of inflation working out to 6.7 percent and the modal value of distribution of inflation rates lying in between 5 and 10 percent. According to him, the inflation rate in India has been far less volatile than in most developing countries, with standard deviation at 6.6 and the rate crossing the 15 percent mark on only four occasions during the last half a century or so. He however maintains that high pressures of inflation were felt on almost all occasions, due to exogenous shocks such as oil price like, the gulf crisis and wars and domestic supply shocks as adverse monsoon conditions. He also opines that the impact of monsoon conditions on volatility in prices is getting increasingly moderated perhaps due to the expansion of irrigated agriculture as also buffer stock operations. 14Mahajan, Dhanashri Jayan (2003), presents an overview on inflation in India since 1956-57. She maintains that, the rate of inflation causes concern in a country having high levels of inequality of income. By presenting the data on inequalities in India, she insists on special attention to the problem of inflation. She also makes some suggestions for combating inflation. She, by citing the views of Paul Krugman, Sukhamoy Chakravarthy and C. Rangarajan, opines against absolute price stability (i.e., zero rate of inflation) and suggests a rate of inflation of around 4% as acceptable. 15Gupta, Raj Narain (1959), discusses the link between deficit financing and inflation and concludes that it is one of the reasons of inflationary price rise in India. He maintains that deficit financing is not the only villain in an inflationary situation. According to him, a study of breakdown of the wholesale price index shows that the price rise occurred mainly in the food 13Reddy ,Y.V.(1999): “Inflation in India: Status & Issues”, in Reddy ,Y.V.(2000): “Monetary and Financial Sector Reforms in India- A Central Banker’s Perspective”, UBS Publishers & Distributers Ltd., New Delhi,1999. 14Mahajan, Dhanashri Jayan: “Inflation in India”, in ‘Indian Economy after a Decade of Reforms’, Sanvedan Prakashan, Aurangabad, pp.83-89, 2003. 15Gupta, Raj Narain: “Deficit Financing and Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.3, No.19, 1959.
  • 36. 36 grains sector and not in manufactured or semi manufactured articles. And the price rise in the food grains category is the result of poor crops, coupled with a rise in population and rise in the standard of living of the people. He expresses the need for utmost caution to be taken while resorting to deficit financing, but states that the real solution to the problem of inflation lies in greater production. By mentioning the precautions to be taken to prevent deficit financing led inflation, he concludes that control over inflation can be attained if certain conditions are fulfilled. 16Panandikar, D.H. Pai (1972), presents an anatomical view of Indian Inflation by distinguishing between demand pull and cost push inflation as found in agricultural and industrial sector respectively. He opines that the price rise normally begins with an excess demand for food leading to food inflation. If the Food Corporation of India fails to unload sufficient stock at right time and the government to effect adequate imports, the food inflation accentuates and pushes up the cost of living with which wages are closely linked, industrial costs are consequently driven up and what follows is a rise in the prices of manufactured goods. He, by presenting a formula for price determination of food grains, identifies four important factors responsible for causing overall inflation in the economy. They are 1) an increase in the income of non agricultural sector leading to increase in food demand, 2) increase in money supply having the same effect of increasing demand for food 3) a fall in the production of food grains and 4) a fall in imports or rise in stocks with government and traders. A meaningful solution to the inflation problem, as he suggests, lies in enlarging the food supply. 17Dhar, T.N. (1972) provides a perspective on behavior of prices in the post 1972 period by analyzing the trend since 1966-67. He maintains that the price spiral had undoubtedly enlarging its orbit; there was no danger of it getting out of control and touching the sky heights. 16Panandikar, D.H. Pai: “Anatomy of Indian Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.16, No.18, pp.742-752, 1972. 17Dhar, T.N.: “the Price Perspective”, Yojana, Vol.16, No. 18, pp. 755-758, 1972.
  • 37. 37 He accepts the inevitability of a price rise when developmental programs are being implemented, but calls for a judicious mix of policy measures including curb over the growth in money supply, check on speculation and increase in production to avoid price rise spirals. 18Gupta, R.N. (1972) admits that a normal dose of price rise of about 3 -5% per year is possible in the economy as a corollary of development. According to him, there is an inescapable price which people must pay for massive planned investments in capital goods projects with long gestation periods. With the ever increasing money supply in the economy and slow growth in the availability of consumer goods, prices tend to go up. After reviewing all the causes of spiraling rise in prices around 1972, and suggesting possible remedies for control, he makes a case for reliance on own savings to step up the rate of investment. 19Raj, K.N. (1972), elaborates the inflationary price rise that occurred around 1972-73, makes an attempt to reach to the real causes of inflation in India. According to him, it is always made out that monetary expansion more than the growth in supply of goods and services that is responsible for inflation; it has not been undisputedly established. The real problem lies in the imbalance that exists in the food grains and raw material sector and therefore it is here that all attention should gather instead of running budget surpluses and controlling lending to the government. 20Krishnaswamy, S.Y (1974), opines that five year plans are the root causes of inflation. He holds the plans responsible for growing imbalance between money supply and goods produced. The planning that emphasis the development of the mother machines that makes other machines and the required heavy investment in India. He therefore calls for the reorientation of planning. He also discusses the limitations of monetary policy instruments such as bank rate, reserve requirements, etc. in controlling inflation. 18Gupta, R.N.: “Can the Trend be Reversed?” Yojana, Vol.16, No. 18, pp.759-761, 1972. 19Raj, K.N.: “Why Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.22, pp. 16-18, 1974. 20Krishnaswamy, S.Y: “Fiscal Policy, Inflation and the Plan”, in “Inflation in India”, edited by S.L.N. Simha, Vora & Co. Publishers Pvt. Ltd. Bombay, pp. 116-128, 1974.
  • 38. 38 21Simha, S.L.N. (1974) makes an attempt to study the link between black money and inflation. He examines to what extent black money contributes to inflation or whether in fact it is a result of inflation. According to him, the phenomenon of black money is, by and large, the result of inflation and not its cause. He thus disproves the thesis that black money is the cause of inflation and presents the proposition that black money, if anything, is a result of inflation which is caused largely by wrong fiscal, monetary and economic policies, and aggravated by administrative inefficiency, poor planning, lack of a sense of discipline and austerity and a general lowering of standards of vigilance at all levels. He maintains that it is the deficit financing by the government that creates a situation of excess demand for everything in relation to supplies and thus results in inflation and payments in black money. 22Singh, Balwant (1989), challenges the proposition that changes in the price level are primarily the result of changes in the rate of growth of money. He, using the data on broad money (M3) and movements in the wholesale price index, reaches a conclusion that “in the Indian setup, there is a bi-directional causality between money supply and prices. However, the impact of money supply (M3) on prices (WPI) is less significant in terms of granger causality tests. This suggest that the causality between prices and money supply is of certainty in nature, i.e. rise in prices invariably leads to rise in money supply”. In his opinion, in the Indian conditions much of the variation in prices is due to structural influences, e.g. crop failures, commodity shortages, administrated pricing policies, etc, rather than a result of monetary operations only. 21Simha, S.L.N: “Black money and Inflation:, in “Inflation in India”, edited by S.L.N. Simha, Vora & Co. Publishers Pvt. Ltd. Bombay, pp. 173-178, 1974. 22Singh, Balwant: “Money Supply- Prices: Causality Revisited”, Economic & Political Weekly, Vol.24, No. 47,pp 2613-2615, 1989.
  • 39. 39 23Sengupta, Keya (1991) studies the relationship between procurement prices, food grains prices and inflation in India. According to her, procurement prices that are fixed by the government from time to time play an important role in determining food grain prices and given the importance of the food grains sector in the Indian economy in terms of employment and output, food grain prices determine the course of general level of prices. Her study for the period of 1981-82 to 1990-91, reveals that the general price level follows the movements in procurement prices, with most of the oscillations in the latter appear to be causing similar oscillations in the former. Her express concern over the frequent hikes in procurement prices without any sound economic criteria, as they can distort the entire price structure and have disastrous consequences in terms of aggravating the balance of trade problem. 24Ummat, R.C. (1992) discusses the problem of inflation around 1991-92 in India and the factors responsible for it. He maintains that inflation continues to be one of the major concerns of the country and attributes upsurge in it around 1991-92 to factors like more money supply, Gulf crisis pushing up the prices of petroleum products, devaluation of the rupee resulting in higher import costs, significant increase effected in the prices of fertilizers, coal, food rains, supplied through PDS and stepping up of power rates and tariff increases in telephone and other service sector. Elaborating the steps taken through Union Budget 1992-93 in brief, he concludes that it is well designed to combat Inflation. 25Shankar, Shyiashri (1992) appreciates the budget of 1992-93 for taking right steps to suppress the inflationary rise in prices, that began in Oct 1990 and assumed serious proportions in 1991 on account of the reasons like large monetization of budget deficits, gulf problems, poor 23Sengupta, Keya: “Procurement Prices and Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.35, No.18, pp 10-14, 1991. 24Ummat, R.C.: “An Agenda for Containing Inflation”, Kurushetra, Vol. 40, No.7, pp.9-10, 1992. 25Shankar, Shyiashri: “Bringing Inflation under Control” , Yojana, Vol.36, No.8, pp.27-28, 1992.
  • 40. 40 kharif and rabbi crops and inadequacy of foreign exchange reserve to import essential commodities. Revamping of the public distribution system, drastic cut in fiscal deficit, reduction in SLR, built up of foreign exchange reserves and such other steps initiated through budget of 1992-93, made her conclude the budget to be promising and capable of bringing the inflation under control. 26Ghoshal, M.K. (1993) presents a review of inflationary situation during the period of 1990-92. He elaborates both the demand pull and cost push factors that were at work in causing a cumulative price rise o around 25.7% during 1990-92. He attributes the accelerated inflation since Oct 1990 particularly to the excess demand caused by undue monetary expansion in the past. Citing the examples of Germany and Japan as booming economies with remarkable price stability, he lays stress on macroeconomic management to correct basic imbalances and on modernization of the economy though technological innovations and entrepreneurial leadership. He hopes the economic reforms and the strategic liberalization initiated since 1991 to improve the price scenario in the medium term. 27Chakravarthy, Sukhamoy (2007) considers inflation as the single most important problem before the country, which if not controlled won’t let us move towards the attainment of our basic objectives of poverty eradication and self- reliance. He refers to the possible causes of inflation that have been identified in literature, but express the need of proper understanding about how these causes interact amongst themselves, before making predictions about course of inflation. In his opinion, the genesis of inflation problem in 2007 lies in the area of food production, which often exhibits erratic behavior and becomes responsible for food inflation which later or sooner spreads to other sectors of the economy. For combating inflation, he calls for the use of an appropriate mix of monetary and fiscal policies as also mobilization of resources from agriculture through taxation. 26Ghoshal, M.K.: “Inflation: Review and Outlook”, Yojana, Vol.36, No.24, pp.4-5, 1993. 27Chakravarthy, Sukhamoy: “Our Fight against Inflation”, Yojana, Vol.51, pp.47-48, 2007.
  • 41. 41 28Pant,Devendra Kumar (2007) makes an attempt to study the nexus between inflation, growth and poverty and maintains that though the economic growth has been strong during 2005-06 to 2006-07 period, its effect on poverty reduction, which was seen during 1993-94 to 2004-05 period, has not been observed mainly on account of the high inflation. And according to him, this is particularly true about rural poverty and the main reason has been the slower growth of the agricultural sector. 29Batura, Neha (2008) provides a comprehensive analysis of the trend in inflation over the two years of 2006-07 and 2007-08. She offers a neat explanation of as to when the inflation began to accelerate and whether the price rise experienced was across the board or not. She also attempts a comparison of consumer’s price inflation with wholesale price inflation. 30Govt. of India (2002) discusses the trend in inflation in India since 1050 and states that the WPI inflation remained below 7% during 1950’s & 1960’s, but accelerated to touch double digit figures in the first half of 1970’s. Though the inflation moved southward during the second half of 1970’s, it remained elevated until 1995-96. It states that inflation has however remained at a low level from 1995-96 onwards in terms both the 52 week average and point-to-point basis. 28Pant,Devendra Kumar: “ Inflation, Growth and Poverty”, Yojana, Vol.51, pp.11-14, 2007. 29Batura, Neha: “Understanding Recent Trends in Inflation”, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol.43, No.24, 2008. 30Govt. of India: “Economic Survey”, 2001-02. Govt. of India, New Delhi, 2002.
  • 42. 42 31Aiyar, Swaminathan S. Anklesaria argues that the inflation that India and other developing countries experienced around 2008 is not a monetary phenomenon and cannot be curbed by monetary policy. According to him, the inflation observed with respect to food and fuel items is primarily the result of supply side problems and thus monetary policy can do little to control it. Core inflation is however amenable to momentary manipulation, so the European Central Bank, Bank of England and U.S. Federal Reserve System board target not overall inflation but core inflation, that is, prices other than those of food and fuel. 32S.K.Basu (2007) in study entitled, “Role and problems of small scale industries” discusses the role and problems of small scale industries. Emphasizing their importance in the economic programme of the nations, he deals at length with their financial problems and the functions of the state financial corporation helping them. 31Aiyar, Swaminathan S. Anklesaria: “India Disproves Friedman on Inflation”, Economic Times, 2008. 32S.K.Basu., “Role and Problems of Small Scale Industries”. Calcutta: Mukerjee and Co. Pvt. Ltd, 2007.
  • 43. 43 CHAPTER –III 3.1 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY RESEARCH Research in common parlance refers to a search for knowledge. One can also define research as a scientific and systematic search for pertinent information on a specific topic. In fact, research is an art of scientific investigation. The Advanced Learner’s Dictionary of Current English lays down the meaning of research as,” a careful investigation or inquiry especially through search for new facts in any branch of knowledge”.25 Redman and Mory define research as a “systematized effort to gain new knowledge”. 26 Some people consider research as a movement, a movement from the known to the unknown. It is actually a voyage of discovery. Research is an academic activity and as such the term should be used in a technical sense. D. Slesinger and M. Stephenson in The Encyclopedia of Social Sciences define research as “the manipulation of things, concepts or symbols for the purpose of generalizing to extend, correct or verify knowledge, whether that knowledge aids in construction of theory or in the practice of an art”.27 Research is, thus, an original contribution to the existing stock of knowledge making for its advancement. Research Methodology is a way to systematically solve the research problem. It may be understand as a science of studying how research is done scientifically. It is necessary for the researcher in studying his research problem along with the logic behind them. Researchers need to understand the assumption underlying various techniques and they need to know the criteria by which they can decide that certain techniques and procedures will be 25The Advanced Leaner’s Dictionary of Current English, Oxford, 1952, p.no.1069. 26L.V. Redman and A.V.H. Mory, The Romance of Research, 1923, p.no.10. 27The Encyclopedia of Social Sciences, Vol. IX, Mac Millan, 1930.
  • 44. 44 applicable to certain problems and others will not. All this means that it is necessary for the researcher to design his methodology for his problem as the same may differ from problem to problem The scope of research methodology is wider than that of research methods. RESEARCH DESIGN “A research design is the arrangement of conditions for collection and analysis of data in a manner that aims to combine relevance to the research purpose with economy in procedure”.28 In fact, the research design is the conceptual structure within which research is conducted; it constitutes the blueprint for the collection, measurement and analysis of data. As such the design includes an outline of what the researcher will do from writing the hypothesis and its operational implications to the final analysis of data. Research design is needed because it facilitates the smooth sailing of the various research operations, thereby making research as efficient as possible yielding maximal information with minimal expenditure of effort, time and money. Research design stands for advance planning of the methods to be adopted for collecting the relevant data and the techniques to be used in their analysis, keeping in view the objective of the research and the availability of staff, time and money. Preparation of the research design should be done with great care as any error in it may upset the entire project. Research design, in fact, has a great bearing on the reliability of the results arrived at and as such constitutes the firm foundation of the entire edifice of the research work. DESCRIPTIVE RESEARCH DESIGN Descriptive research studies are those studies which are concerned with describing the characteristics of a particular individual. The studies concerned with specific predictions, with narration of facts and characteristics concerning individual, group or situation are all examples of 28Claire Selltiz and others, Research Methods in Social Sciences, 1962, p.no.50.
  • 45. 45 descriptive research studies. Most of the social research comes under this category. In descriptive studies, the researcher must be able to define clearly, what he wants to measure and must find adequate methods for measuring it along with a clear cut definition of ‘population’ he wants to study. Since the aim is to obtain complete and accurate information in the said studies, the procedure to be used must be carefully planned. The research design must make enough provision for protection against bias and must maximize reliability, with due concern for the economical completion of the research study. The design in such studies must be rigid and not flexible and must focus attention on the following: a) Formulating the objective of the study. b) Designing the methods of data collection. c) Selecting the sample. d) Collecting the data. e) Processing and analyzing the data. f) Reporting the findings. The research design in case of descriptive studies is a comparative design throwing light on all points narrated above and must be prepared keeping in view the objectives of the study and the resources available. However, it must ensure the minimization of bias and maximization of reliability of the evidence collected. The said design can be appropriately referred to as a survey design since it takes into account all the steps involved in a survey concerning a phenomenon to be studied. DATA COLLECTION The task of data collection begins after a research problem has been defined and research design/plan chalked out. While deciding about the method of data collection to be used for the study, the researcher should keep in mind two types of data viz.,  Primary data and  Secondary data.
  • 46. 46 1. PRIMARY DATA Data obtained from the first hand by the researcher is called the primary data. Here the main source of primary data collection was interviews, discussion and interaction with retailers by using the questionnaire. Questionnaire as an instrument of data collection: Questionnaires were used as an instrument for data collection for primary data collection. P.V. Young has classified the questionnaire in two groups, 1) Structured Questionnaire. 2) Non- structured Questionnaire. Structured questionnaire contain definite, concrete questions with additional questions limited to those necessary to classify inadequate answers or to elicit a more detailed response. Structured questionnaire can be of two types, namely “disguised” and “non-disguised”. This classification is based on whether the object or purpose of study is revealed to the respondent. In structured disguised questionnaire, researcher doesn’t disclose the object of the study. Non- structured questionnaire, often known as interview guide is used, for focused, depth and non directive interviews. It contains definite subject matter areas, the coverage which is required during the interview, but the interviewer is largely free to arrange the form and timing of enquiry. TYPES OF QUESTIONS  Open- End Questions.  Close- End Questions. An open-ended or simply ‘Open’ or ‘Free Answer’ questions gives the respondent complete freedom to decide the form, length and detail of answers. Open questions are performed when the researcher is interested in knowing what is uppermost in the mind of the respondent.
  • 47. 47 Close-end questions has only two answers in the form ‘yes’ or ‘no’, ‘true’ or ‘false’ or ‘do not use’, etc. Mailed Questionnaire Most of the researcher uses this type of questionnaire. In this type the respondents are living in for- flung areas at a distance and the questionnaire is sent to them through e-mail. They fill the questionnaire and return back to the researcher or concerned department. A particular guidelines or instructions list is attached to the questionnaire for the respondent’s guidance. This will be helpful in reducing time. 2. SECONDARY DATA Secondary data refers to the data available in some form or another and may include the result of the previously performed research or the available materials such as newspaper, reports may be from the internet. Various sources of secondary data used in this research are:  Internet.  Reports & Publications.  Journals. SAMPLING Sampling may be defines as the process of obtaining information about an entire population by examining only a part of it. In any investigation if data are collected only from a representative part of the universe we say that the data are collected by sampling. The representative part is called a sample. For example; if we want to know the average height of students of a particular college, it is sufficient if the required measurements are taken from a few students selected at random. The basic objective of sampling is to draw inferences about the population. ADVANTAGES OF SAMPLING 1. Less time and effort.
  • 48. 48 2. Less cost. 3. Administrative convenience. 4. More detailed, reliable and accurate information. 5. Destructive nature of certain enquires. 6. Sampling method is the best suited at times. METHODS OF SAMPLING In this study non-probability sampling has been adopted. Under the non-probability sampling convenience sampling has been taken for the purpose of study. SIMPLE RANDOM SAMPLING TECHNIQUE The sampling units are chosen primarily on the basis of convenience to the researcher is known as simple random sampling technique. The advantage of probability sampling is that sampling error can be calculated. Sampling error is the degree to which a sample might differ from the population. When inferring to the population, results are reported plus or minus the sampling error. In non-probability sampling, the degree to which the sample differs from the population remains unknown. SAMPLE DESIGN A sample design is a definite plan for obtaining a sample from a given population. It refers to the procedure, adopted by an investigator for selecting items for a sample. There are many sample designs. An investigator can choose the appropriate design. SAMPLE UNIT Small and large scale business sectors in few areas of Kerala. SAMPLE SIZE The larger the size, the more accurate the result would be. But practically, it’s not feasible to survey the entire target outlets. The sample size of the survey done by me was 200 business sectors.
  • 49. 49 SAMPLING PROCEDURE I try to find out most of the business sectors in the market. CONTACT METHOD I personally visited most of the business sectors. Few business sectors due to their busy schedule or loyalty for their brand refused to respond at all.
  • 50. 50 3.2 TOOLS USED FOR ANALYSIS AND HYPOTHESIS Statistical tools were used for the study, simple analysis by percentage methods and statistical analysis by:  Percentage Analysis.  Ordinal or Ranking Scale Method.  Chi- Square Test. PERCENTAGE ANALYSIS Percentage analysis is the method to represent raw streams of data as a percentage for better understanding of collected data. Percentage refers to a special kind of ratio. It is used to make comparison between two or more series of data. They can be used to compare the relative items, the distribution of two or more series of data since the percentage reduce everything as common base and allow the meaningful comparisons to be made. Percentage refers to the special kind of ratio percentage are used in making comparison between two or more series of data. Percentages are used to describe relationship. Column, line charts, Bar charts and Pie charts are used to explain the tabulation clearly. FORMULA:- No. of Respondents Percentage (%) = × 100 Total Respondents ORDINAL OR RANKING SCALE METHOD In ranking scale methods, data can allow setting up inequalities. Intervals of the scale are not equal i.e., adjacent rank need not to be equal in their differences. Median is appropriate measure of central tendency. Percentile or quartile is used for measure dispersion. Ranking scale method mostly used for qualitative research, but in this type more precise comparison is not possible and we don’t get absolute values.
  • 51. 51 CHI- SQUARE TEST The chi-square test is an important test amongst the several tests of significance developed by statisticians. Chi- square, symbolically written as χ ² (pronounced as ki- square), is a statistical measure used in the context of sampling analysis for comparing a variance to a theoretical variance. A chi- squared text, is any statistical hypothesis test in which the sampling distribution of the test statistic is a chi- squared distribution when the null hypothesis is true, or any in which this is asymptotically true, meaning that the sampling distribution (if the null hypothesis is true) can be made to approximate a chi- squared distribution as closely as desired by making the sample size large enough. Calculate the chi- square statistical by completing the following steps: For each observed number in the table subtract the corresponding. Expected number = (O-E) Square of difference [(O-E)2] Expected number for that cell [(O-E)2/E] Sum all the values for (O-E)2/E. The test is, in fact, a technique through the use of which it is possible for all researchers to 1. Test the goodness of fit. 2. Test the significance of association between two attributes, and 3. Test the homogeneity or the significance of population variance. As a test of goodness of fit, χ² test enables us to see how well does the assumed theoretical distribution fit to the observed data? If the calculated value of χ² is less than the table value at a certain level of significance, the fit is considered to be a good one which means that the divergence between the observed and expected frequencies is attributable to fluctuations of
  • 52. 52 sampling. But if the calculated value of χ² is greater than its table value, the fit is not considered to be a good one. As a result of independent, χ² test enables us to explain whether or not two attributes are associated. In such a situation, we proceed with the null hypothesis that the two attributes are independent which means that new medicine is not effective in controlling fever. On this basis we first calculate the expected frequencies and then work out the value of χ². If the calculated value of χ² is less than the table value at a certain level of significance for given degrees of freedom, we conclude that null hypothesis stands which means that the two attributes are independent or not associated. But if the calculated value of χ² is greater than its table value, our inference then would be that null hypothesis does not hold good which means the two attributes are associated and the association is not because of some chance factor but it exists in reality. (Oij –Eij)2 χ² = ∑ Eij Where, Oij = observed frequency of the cell in ith row and jth column. Eij = expected frequency of the cell in ith row and jth column. The Degree of Freedom D.F = (C-1) (R-1) Where, C = number of columns. R = number of rows.
  • 53. 53 CHAPTER – IV DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION The analysis and interpretation of a method adopted the satisfaction level of respondent. It is done by adopting various method of analyzing the result obtained from the respondents. 4.1 PERCENTAGE ANALYSIS TABLE 4.1.1 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Sex S.NO SEX NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Male 130 65 2. Female 70 35 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 65 Percent of the respondents were Male. 35 Percent of the respondents were Female.
  • 54. 54 FIGURE 4.1.1 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Sex 65 35 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Male Female SEX PERCENTAGE
  • 55. 55 TABLE 4.1.2 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Age of Business Man S.NO AGE NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. 10 - 20 Years - - 2. 20 - 30 Years 65 32.5 3. 30 - 40 Years 75 37.5 4. Above 40 Years 60 30 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 0 Percent of the respondents were in the range between 10 – 20 Years. 32.5 Percent of the respondents were in the range between 20 – 30 Years. 37.5 Percent of the respondents were in the range between 30 – 40 Years. 30 Percent of the respondents were in the range Above 40 Years.
  • 56. 56 FIGURE 4.1.2 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Age of Business Man 0 32.5 37.5 30 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 10 - 20 Years 20 - 30 Years 30 - 40 Years Above 40 Years AGE OF BUSINESS MAN PERCENTAGE
  • 57. 57 TABLE 4.1.3 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Educational Qualification S.NO QUALIFICATION NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Undergraduate 30 15 2. Graduate 65 32.5 3. Postgraduate 65 32.5 4. Others 40 20 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 15 Percent of the respondents were Undergraduate. 32.5 Percent of the respondents were Graduate. 32.5 Percent of the respondents were Postgraduate. 20 Percent of the respondents have other qualification.
  • 58. 58 FIGURE 4.1.3 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Educational Qualification 15 32.5 32.5 20 EDUCATIONAL QUALIFICATION Undergraduate Graduate Postgraduate Others
  • 59. 59 TABLE 4.1.4 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Type of Business S.NO TYPE OF BUSINESS NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Sole Proprietorship 55 27.5 2. Partnership Business 65 32.5 3. Limited Company 45 22.5 4. Others 35 17.5 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 27.5 Percent of the respondents were doing Sole Proprietorship business. 32.5 Percent of the respondents were doing partnership business. 22.5 Percent of the respondents were doing Limited Company business. 17.5 Percent of the respondents were using doing other type of business.
  • 60. 60 FIGURE 4.1.4 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Type of Business 0 10 20 30 40 Sole Proprietorship Partnership Business Limited Company Others 27.5 32.5 22.5 17.5 TYPE OF BUSINESS PERCENTAGE
  • 61. 61 TABLE 4.1.5 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Monthly Income S.NO MONTHLY INCOME NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Below ₹ 10000 15 7.5 2. ₹ 10000 – ₹ 25000 60 30 3. ₹ 25000 – ₹ 50000 65 32.5 4. Above ₹ 50000 60 30 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 7.5 Percent of the respondents have income below ₹ 10000. 30 Percent of the respondents have income between ₹ 10000 to ₹ 25000. 32.5 Percent of the respondents have income between ₹ 25000 to ₹ 50000. 30 Percent of the respondents have income above ₹ 50000.
  • 62. 62 FIGURE 4.1.5 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Monthly Income 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Below ₹ 10000 ₹ 10000 – ₹ 25000 ₹ 25000 – ₹ 50000 Above ₹ 50000 7.5 30 32.5 30 MONTHLY INCOME PERCENTAGE
  • 63. 63 TABLE 4.1.6 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Category of Business the Company engaged in S.NO CATEGORY NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Stock Broking 10 5 2. Health Care 35 17.5 3. Real Estate 100 50 4. Non- Profit Business 40 20 5. Others 15 7.5 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 5 Percent of the respondents were engaged in Stock Broking. 17.5 Percent of the respondents were engaged in Health Care. 50 Percent of the respondents were engaged in Real Estate. 20 Percent of the respondents were engaged in Non- Profit Business. 7.5 Percent of respondents were engaged in other type of business.
  • 64. 64 FIGURE 4.1.6 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Category of Business the Company engaged in 5 17.5 50 20 7.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Stock Broking Health Care Real Estate Non- Profit Business Others CATEGORY OF BUSINESS PERCENTAGE
  • 65. 65 TABLE 4.1.7 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Number of Years the Company in Business S.NO TIME PERIOD NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. 1 Year – 2 Years 25 12.5 2. 2 Years – 5 Years 95 47.5 3. 5 Years – 10 Years 65 32.5 4. Above 10 Years 15 7.5 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 12.5 Percent of the respondents have business between 1 Year – 2 Years. 47.5 Percent of the respondents have business between 2 Years – 5 Years. 32.5 Percent of the respondents have business between 5 Years – 10 Years. 7.5 Percent of the respondents have been in business above 10 Years.
  • 66. 66 FIGURE 4.1.7 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Number of Years the Company in Business 12.5 47.5 32.5 7.5 TIME PERIOD 1 Year – 2 Years 2 Years – 5 Years 5 Years – 10 Years Above 10 Years
  • 67. 67 TABLE 4.1.8 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Essentials of Demonetization for a developing Country like India S.NO ESSENTIALS NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Yes 110 55 2. No 90 45 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 55 Percent of the respondents said that demonetization is essential. 45 Percent of the respondents said that demonetization is not essential.
  • 68. 68 FIGURE 4.1.8 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Essentials of Demonetization for a developing Country like India 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Yes No 55 45 ESSENTIALS OF DEMONETIZATION PERCENTAGE
  • 69. 69 TABLE 4.1.9 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Existence of Black Money in India S.NO EXISTENCE OF BLACK MONEY NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Yes 180 90 2. No 20 10 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 90 Percent of the respondents said Black Money exist in India. 10 Percent of the respondents said Black Money does not exist in India.
  • 70. 70 FIGURE 4.1.9 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Existence of Black Money in India 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Yes No 90 10 EXISTENCE OF BLACK MONEY PERCENTAGE
  • 71. 71 TABLE 4.1.10 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Situation come across Demonetization S.NO SITUATION NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Yes 120 60 2. No 80 40 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 60 Percent of the respondents satisfied the situation of demonetization. 40 Percent of the respondents not satisfied the situation of demonetization.
  • 72. 72 FIGURE 4.1.10 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Situation come across Demonetization 60 40 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Yes No SITUATION PERCENTAGE
  • 73. 73 TABLE 4.1.11 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Business Transaction Made S.NO BUSINESS TRANSACTION NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Online 20 10 2. E- Banking 30 15 3. Cash 110 55 4. Cheque 25 12.5 5. Others 15 7.5 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 10 Percent of the respondent’s do business through online. 15 Percent of the respondent’s do business through e- banking services. 55 Percent of the respondent’s do business through cash. 12.5 Percent of the respondent’s do business through cheque. 7.5 Percent of the respondent’s do business through other mode of transaction.
  • 74. 74 FIGURE 4.1.11 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Business Transaction Made 10 15 55 12.5 7.5 BUSINESS TRANSACTION Online E- Banking Cash Cheque Others
  • 75. 75 TABLE 4.1.12 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Technologies used to Overcome Demonetization S.NO TECHNOLOGIES NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Online 80 40 2. E- Banking 55 27.5 3. Cash 5 2.5 4. Cheque 35 17.5 5. Others 25 12.5 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 40 Percent of the respondent’s use online technology. 27.5 Percent of the respondent’s use e-banking technology. 2.5 Percent of the respondent’s use cash technology. 17.5 Percent of the respondent’s use cheque technology. 12.5 Percent of the respondent’s use other technology.
  • 76. 76 FIGURE 4.1.12 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Technologies used to Overcome Demonetization 0 10 20 30 40 Online E- Banking Cash Cheque Others 40 27.5 2.5 17.5 12.5 TECHNOLOGIES USED PERCENTAGE
  • 77. 77 TABLE 4.1.13 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Perception about Demonetization S.NO PERCEPTION NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Highly Satisfied 55 27.5 2. Satisfied 60 30 3. Not Satisfied 50 25 4. Highly Not Satisfied 35 17.5 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 27.5 Percent of the respondents were highly satisfied. 30 Percent of the respondents were satisfied. 25 Percent of the respondents were not satisfied. 17.5 Percent of the respondents were highly not satisfied.
  • 78. 78 FIGURE 4.1.13 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Perception about Demonetization 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Highly Satisfied Satisfied Not Satisfied Highly Not Satisfied 27.5 30 25 17.5 PERCEPTION PERCENTAGE
  • 79. 79 TABLE 4.1.14 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Time Duration taken to Exchange the Currency S.NO TIME DURATION NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Once in a Day 30 15 2. Once in Two Days 45 22.5 3. Once in a Week 75 37.5 4. Once in a Month 50 25 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 15 Percent of the respondent’s took once in a day to exchange currency. 22.5 Percent of the respondent’s took once in a two days to exchange currency. 37.5 Percent of the respondent’s took once in a week to exchange currency. 25 Percent of the respondent’s took once in a month to exchange currency.
  • 80. 80 FIGURE 4.1.14 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Time Duration taken to Exchange the Currency 15 22.5 37.5 25 62.5 TIME DURATION Once in a Day Once in Two Days Once in a Week Once in a Month
  • 81. 81 TABLE 4.1.15 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Risk occurred due to Demonetization S.NO RISK OCCURRED NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Yes 105 52.5 2. No 95 47.5 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 52.5 Percent of the respondent possessed risk. 47.5 Percent of the respondent does not possessed risk
  • 82. 82 FIGURE 4.1.15 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Risk occurred due to Demonetization PERCENTAGE 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 Yes No 52.5 47.5 RISK OCCURRED PERCENTAGE
  • 83. 83 TABLE 4.1.16 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Business Affected through Demonetization S.NO BUSINESS AFFECTED NO. OF RESPONDENT PERCENTAGE 1. Fully Affected 45 22.5 2. Affected 65 32.5 3. Partly Affected 50 25 4. Not Affected 40 20 TOTAL 200 100 SOURCE: PRIMARY DATA INFERENCE From the above table, it is inferred that 22.5 Percent of the respondent’s business were fully affected. 32.5 Percent of the respondent’s business were affected. 25 Percent of the respondent’s businesses were partly affected. 20 Percent of the respondents were not affected.
  • 84. 84 FIGURE 4.1.16 Classification of the Respondents on the basis of Business Affected through Demonetization 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Fully Affected Affected Partly Affected Not Affected 22.5 32.5 25 20 BUSINESS AFFECTED PERCENTAGE