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June 2017
Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International)
Challenges for Telecoms Operators
in Sub-Saharan Africa
15
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
15 CHALLENGES FOR TELECOMS OPERATORS IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
 Rivalries between operators and disruptive competition from OTTs have intensified in most markets,
leading to an erosion and a migration of revenue.
 It becomes necessary to redefine the competition landscape and the range of actors with new categories
of players on board.
 Then products innovations, share of wallet, customer experience, partnerships, tariffs tactics, inter-
industry competition are the visible battlefields…
INTENSIFYING COMPETITION
01
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
02
 Operators need to learn to live with lower margins. EBITDA margin is declining rapidly (from a median around
38% in 2006 for 93 selected operators in Sub-Saharan-Africa, to 31% in 2016).
 This is due to a nexus of factors: price wars and value destruction, revenue-dilutive incremental subscribers,
inability to contain the cost to serve, necessary investments in infrastructures to deliver products with lower
margins (the “invest more, earn less” trap), market maturity, pressure from regulatory...
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
03
 Voice revenue’s contribution in total service revenue has dropped from 85-88% in 2008-2010 to 70-74%
in 2015-2016 in West, Central and East Africa.
 As voice revenue is dropping, it is crucial to focus on the 3rd/4th curves of revenue (data, ICT and digital).
But growing data, mobile money, disruptive innovations, online and other services require a more
experiential approach.
 And in addition, as the innovation lifecycle becomes shorter, operators need to manage their products &
services portfolio wisely…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
THE IMPERATIVE OF
NEW REVENUE STREAMS
04
 Massive acquisitions, strong retention and value development still remain key business drivers of telecoms
operators; but their nature/content is changing slightly.
 Acquisitions will remain key for critical mass, ecosystem construction and digital penetration (penetration
strategies, mobile money ecosystem, MVNOs); while value creation and valuable customers retention will be
necessary to remain profitable (customer experience, value-based management)…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
05
 Data volume soars due to extensive demand (CAGR at 141% in SSA 2013-2016), but data revenue is
not catching up (CAGR around 24%) because telecoms leaders are yet to find the right and innovative
data pricing solutions…
 In addition, more and more investments are needed to meet exploding data usage; but building scale is
necessary to face effectively the “invest more, earn less” trap…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
06
 Price wars (direct drops, bonuses, etc) has led to value destruction and the erosion of operators’ revenue
and margin.
 And despite the efforts made to reduce the effective price per minute (-8%/year in 13 selected countries
between 2010 and 2016), price issues stay invariably in the top 2 of the customers’ complaints (NPS
detractors) in Central & West Africa, along with network quality.
 Operators need to find solutions on pricing simplicity, effective tariff rate control, premium rating & tariff re-
balancing, agility on BTL offers, clear visibility on profitability per unit (customer, BTS, minute, MB, etc)…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
THE PRICING
QUESTION
07
 With the increasing battle for share of wallet, it appears that value proposition and tariff innovation to migrate
towards data as well as CLM/CVM initiatives and real-time campaign management will become key for
extracting incremental value from customers.
 This supposes an accurate and deep knowledge of the customer (profile, purchase and usage behaviour,
loyalty index, price sensitivity, cross-selling possibilities, etc). So front-runner operators will move from
segmentation to individual customer knowledge…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
THE VALUE-BASED
MANAGEMENT LEVER
08
 We have clearly entered the era of “transparent gold” for those who can effectively convert data of all
kinds into insights and then action.
 Unfortunately many telecoms leaders are overwhelmed by the volume of data, and seem unable to
extract the full value from the data sources. Strong analytics capabilities will provide a crucial
competitive edge to “front runners”, and “laggards” will be in jeopardy…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
09
 It appears now clear that making the customer unique and providing him with an incomparable experience
will help a company protect its customer base and generate more value (also a necessity with increasingly
well informed customers and the impact of consumers’ associations).
 But this is only possible if the company does not fail on any of the following points: considering customer
experience as a company-wide culture, using the right metrics, taking advantage of analytics, managing the
closed-loop feedback, etc…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
THE CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE NEBULA
10
 Digital disruptions and the relative slowdown of the traditional business of telecoms oblige operators to operate
strategic moves across the value chain. This is also important because telcos capture currently less than a third of
the Internet market.
 So expanding into adjacent industries, reconfiguring the industry value chain, conducting horizontals or verticals,
building efficient partnerships, acquisition opportunities, convergence and slicing industry, ecosystem development,
etc will be important for growth.
 But this does imply new competitors to face, new business models to build, new KPIs to monitor, new skills to
acquire, new disruptions to anticipate, etc…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
THE NECESSARY MOVES ACROSS
THE VALUE CHAIN
11
 In most of the markets in Sub-Saharan Africa, only the top 2 players are really profitable.
 So consolidation and market shake out will become the rule in many countries for the “generalists”
(rule of 3 & 4).
 Penetration strategies, investments in infrastructures, distribution channel capillarity, MVNOs, etc
are seen as examples of strategic priorities for many pure players…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
12
 With the observed drop of margins, business efficiency (capital and operational) is crucial for keeping a
sustainable profitability.
 And this search for efficiency can combine various components: new operating models and processes, right
metrics for business performance management, strategy review cycle, network optimization, infrastructures
sharing and technology mix, device strategy and low cost solutions for profitable rural penetration, efficient fraud
detection, better governance and ethics, etc…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
13
 Building business models adapted to the new context of telecoms is crucial to generate value and
remain profitable; hence the necessity to revisit the business model canvas.
 Consequently, operators will also need to adapt to changing profit patterns: redefining core vs non-
core, designing new distribution channels (e.g. channel of one approach), enhancing cost variability,
cost centers becoming revenue generators, building the right partnerships, etc.
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
PROFITABILITY & BUSINESS
MODEL
14
 The influence of regulatory on both the evolution of the telecoms industry and the performance of the
various actors is getting stronger and stronger (spectrum, taxation, ICT development policy, influence
of incumbent operator, etc).
 So operators need to shape the regulatory/policy agenda wisely and more proactively…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
THE REGULATORY
CONSTRAINTS
15
 The following critical spaces have been identified: efficient business models, business performance
management, strategy cycle review, successful digital transformation, customer centricity, data management &
analytics, operational excellence, adapted skills, high performance & value-centered culture.
 Winning on these critical spaces is mandatory for telecoms operators, and will require the implementation of an
efficient and necessary business transformation…
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017

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Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa

  • 1. June 2017 Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Sub-Saharan Africa 15
  • 2. 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017 15 CHALLENGES FOR TELECOMS OPERATORS IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
  • 3.  Rivalries between operators and disruptive competition from OTTs have intensified in most markets, leading to an erosion and a migration of revenue.  It becomes necessary to redefine the competition landscape and the range of actors with new categories of players on board.  Then products innovations, share of wallet, customer experience, partnerships, tariffs tactics, inter- industry competition are the visible battlefields… INTENSIFYING COMPETITION 01 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
  • 4. 02  Operators need to learn to live with lower margins. EBITDA margin is declining rapidly (from a median around 38% in 2006 for 93 selected operators in Sub-Saharan-Africa, to 31% in 2016).  This is due to a nexus of factors: price wars and value destruction, revenue-dilutive incremental subscribers, inability to contain the cost to serve, necessary investments in infrastructures to deliver products with lower margins (the “invest more, earn less” trap), market maturity, pressure from regulatory... 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
  • 5. 03  Voice revenue’s contribution in total service revenue has dropped from 85-88% in 2008-2010 to 70-74% in 2015-2016 in West, Central and East Africa.  As voice revenue is dropping, it is crucial to focus on the 3rd/4th curves of revenue (data, ICT and digital). But growing data, mobile money, disruptive innovations, online and other services require a more experiential approach.  And in addition, as the innovation lifecycle becomes shorter, operators need to manage their products & services portfolio wisely… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017 THE IMPERATIVE OF NEW REVENUE STREAMS
  • 6. 04  Massive acquisitions, strong retention and value development still remain key business drivers of telecoms operators; but their nature/content is changing slightly.  Acquisitions will remain key for critical mass, ecosystem construction and digital penetration (penetration strategies, mobile money ecosystem, MVNOs); while value creation and valuable customers retention will be necessary to remain profitable (customer experience, value-based management)… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
  • 7. 05  Data volume soars due to extensive demand (CAGR at 141% in SSA 2013-2016), but data revenue is not catching up (CAGR around 24%) because telecoms leaders are yet to find the right and innovative data pricing solutions…  In addition, more and more investments are needed to meet exploding data usage; but building scale is necessary to face effectively the “invest more, earn less” trap… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
  • 8. 06  Price wars (direct drops, bonuses, etc) has led to value destruction and the erosion of operators’ revenue and margin.  And despite the efforts made to reduce the effective price per minute (-8%/year in 13 selected countries between 2010 and 2016), price issues stay invariably in the top 2 of the customers’ complaints (NPS detractors) in Central & West Africa, along with network quality.  Operators need to find solutions on pricing simplicity, effective tariff rate control, premium rating & tariff re- balancing, agility on BTL offers, clear visibility on profitability per unit (customer, BTS, minute, MB, etc)… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017 THE PRICING QUESTION
  • 9. 07  With the increasing battle for share of wallet, it appears that value proposition and tariff innovation to migrate towards data as well as CLM/CVM initiatives and real-time campaign management will become key for extracting incremental value from customers.  This supposes an accurate and deep knowledge of the customer (profile, purchase and usage behaviour, loyalty index, price sensitivity, cross-selling possibilities, etc). So front-runner operators will move from segmentation to individual customer knowledge… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017 THE VALUE-BASED MANAGEMENT LEVER
  • 10. 08  We have clearly entered the era of “transparent gold” for those who can effectively convert data of all kinds into insights and then action.  Unfortunately many telecoms leaders are overwhelmed by the volume of data, and seem unable to extract the full value from the data sources. Strong analytics capabilities will provide a crucial competitive edge to “front runners”, and “laggards” will be in jeopardy… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
  • 11. 09  It appears now clear that making the customer unique and providing him with an incomparable experience will help a company protect its customer base and generate more value (also a necessity with increasingly well informed customers and the impact of consumers’ associations).  But this is only possible if the company does not fail on any of the following points: considering customer experience as a company-wide culture, using the right metrics, taking advantage of analytics, managing the closed-loop feedback, etc… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017 THE CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE NEBULA
  • 12. 10  Digital disruptions and the relative slowdown of the traditional business of telecoms oblige operators to operate strategic moves across the value chain. This is also important because telcos capture currently less than a third of the Internet market.  So expanding into adjacent industries, reconfiguring the industry value chain, conducting horizontals or verticals, building efficient partnerships, acquisition opportunities, convergence and slicing industry, ecosystem development, etc will be important for growth.  But this does imply new competitors to face, new business models to build, new KPIs to monitor, new skills to acquire, new disruptions to anticipate, etc… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017 THE NECESSARY MOVES ACROSS THE VALUE CHAIN
  • 13. 11  In most of the markets in Sub-Saharan Africa, only the top 2 players are really profitable.  So consolidation and market shake out will become the rule in many countries for the “generalists” (rule of 3 & 4).  Penetration strategies, investments in infrastructures, distribution channel capillarity, MVNOs, etc are seen as examples of strategic priorities for many pure players… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
  • 14. 12  With the observed drop of margins, business efficiency (capital and operational) is crucial for keeping a sustainable profitability.  And this search for efficiency can combine various components: new operating models and processes, right metrics for business performance management, strategy review cycle, network optimization, infrastructures sharing and technology mix, device strategy and low cost solutions for profitable rural penetration, efficient fraud detection, better governance and ethics, etc… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
  • 15. 13  Building business models adapted to the new context of telecoms is crucial to generate value and remain profitable; hence the necessity to revisit the business model canvas.  Consequently, operators will also need to adapt to changing profit patterns: redefining core vs non- core, designing new distribution channels (e.g. channel of one approach), enhancing cost variability, cost centers becoming revenue generators, building the right partnerships, etc. 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017 PROFITABILITY & BUSINESS MODEL
  • 16. 14  The influence of regulatory on both the evolution of the telecoms industry and the performance of the various actors is getting stronger and stronger (spectrum, taxation, ICT development policy, influence of incumbent operator, etc).  So operators need to shape the regulatory/policy agenda wisely and more proactively… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017 THE REGULATORY CONSTRAINTS
  • 17. 15  The following critical spaces have been identified: efficient business models, business performance management, strategy cycle review, successful digital transformation, customer centricity, data management & analytics, operational excellence, adapted skills, high performance & value-centered culture.  Winning on these critical spaces is mandatory for telecoms operators, and will require the implementation of an efficient and necessary business transformation… 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017
  • 18. 15 Challenges for Telecoms Operators in Africa Strategy & Analytics Consulting (SAC International) – June 2017