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Indonesia
The Largest Economy in South East Asia




                          Anasia Silviati
                    Senior Commercial Specialist
                           U.S. Embassy - Jakarta
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

             A Giant Market
Population       4th Largest Country in the World
                 237 Million people - 5% Chinese Indonesians
                 Archipelago of 17,000 islands
                 More than 300 ethnic groups
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
   A Country at the Crossroads
• Strategic location at crossroads of
  Asian sea trade
• A member of the G-20
• #1 for Twitter user penetration in
  the world
• #2 for Facebook users in the world
  (behind US)
• More 3G subscribers than China
•Households with US$5,000 to
 US$15,000 annual disposable
 income expected to increase from
 36% to 58% of population by 2020.
•60 million Indonesians projected to
 move up into the middle class in the
 next 10 years.
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

Democracy and Renewed Growth
      (“The Year of Living Dangerously      “Eat Pray Love”)


 • 2010                 Growth and Democracy strengthened
                        Obama “Comprehensive Partnership”
                        Expanded growth to 6.1%
 • 2009                 Re-election of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono
                        - Steady growth at 5.2%
 • 2004                 Election of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono
                        – growth returns to 6%+
 • 1998 - 2004          Restructuring economic & transition to
                        democracy
 • 1997-1998            Asian Financial Crisis – GDP falls 14%
 • 1965 – 1997          Suharto Era – annual growth of 7-8%
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

 Security Conditions Improving
then …..

October 12, 2002   Bali Bombings Kill 202
August 5, 2003     Marriott Bombing
September 2004     Australian Embassy Bombing
October, 2005      Bali Bombings Kill 23



                       now …..
                       2006 – present   No Bombings
                                        Hundreds of Terrorists Jailed
                       May 2008         Travel Warning Lifted

                       Present          Terrorists Being Contained
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
                           GDP Growth
                                GDP Growth
    8.00%


    7.00%
                        6.00%                                 6.40%
                                               6.00%                       6.70%
    6.00%
              6.34%

                                                                                   PerCapita GDP
    5.00%

                                       4.55%
    4.00%                                                                          2009 = $4,149
    3.00%                                                                          2010 = $4,346

    2.00%                                                                          2011*= $4,657
                                                                                     *estimated
    1.00%


    0.00%
                                                           2011          2012
                2007    2008       2009          2010
                                                        (forecast)    (forecast)
 GDP Growth     6.34%   6.00%      4.55%        6.00%    6.40%         6.70%

                                     Year
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
 Inflation Is Relatively Low
                                     Consumer price inflation

                12.00%


                                     9.78%
                10.00%



                 8.00%
                                                            6.96%


                 6.00%
                            6.03%
                                                                     5.30%         5.30%
                 4.00%                              4.81%



                 2.00%



                 0.00%
                              2007    2008          2009    2010    2011 (est)   2012 (est)
 Consumer price inflation    6.03%   9.78%          4.81%   6.96%    5.30%        5.30%



                                             Year
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
        Steady Exchange Rate
                                            Exchange rate

    Rp12,000
                              Rp10,950
                                                     Rp10,312
    Rp10,000
                                                                               Rp8,942

                  Rp9,143
                                                                Rp8,996
     Rp8,000
                                                                                            Exchange rate

     Rp6,000



     Rp4,000



     Rp2,000



         Rp0
                     2007          2008         2009              2010 (est)   2011 (est)
  Exchange rate     Rp9,143      Rp10,950     Rp10,312             Rp8,996     Rp8,942



                                              Year
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
   U.S. - Indonesia Trade: Indonesian Imports
                                                                                                      • In 2009, U.S. was the
                                                                                                        4th Largest Source of
                                                               Japan, 10.17%                            Indonesian imports
         Other, 34.18%
                                                                                  Singapore, 16.06%     after “Singapore”,
                                                                                                        China and Japan


                                                                                                      • Worldwide, rank of
                                                                                                        Indonesia as U.S.
                                                                                                        Export Destination in
                                                                                                        2010 was 32th (0.5% of
                                                                                                        U.S. Export, Jan-Oct
                                                                                                        2010)

                                                                                        USA, 7.32%

                                                                                                      • Rank of Indonesia as
    Malaysia, 5.87%
                                                                                                        Exporters to the U.S. in
                                                                        China, 14.46%
               Thailand, 4.76%
                                 India, 2.28%   Korea, 4.90%
                                                                                                        2010 was 24th (0.86%
                                                                                                        of U.S. Imports, Jan-
                                                                                                        Oct 2010)
Source: Indonesian Statistic
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
                  U.S. Exports to Indonesia



                            Other commodities and            Transportation
                             transaction, 28.80%           Equipment, 26.20%

                                                                                       In 2010, U.S. Exports
                                                                                       to Indonesia = $6.94
                      Food
               Manufactures, 10.60%
                                                                       Agricultural    Billion
                                                                    Products, 20.60%

                                       Chemicals, 13.80%




Source: U.S. Dept of Commerce - TradeStats Express
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

            Market Opportunities
Energy & Mining:
• Demand increase 8%/year. By 2018 need additional of 57.4 GW
  Imported Products $809 Million (Estimated 2010). By 2010-
  2014, investment will reach $50.4 Billion

• Oil and Gas Investment $13.5 Billion in 2010 and
  will reach $14.9 billion in 2011
  U.S. products $324 million in 2010
  39 New blocks will be offered in 2011

• GOI issued new Mining Law on January 2009
  Imported products $1.06 billion in 2010              Ignatius Indriartoto

  Investment reached $3.2 billion in 2010
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

             Market Opportunities
Aviation :
• 19 scheduled and 41 chartered airline companies
• Number of domestic passengers reached 48 million in
   2010 and will increase by 15% in 2011
• Imports of aircraft & parts in 2010: $1.5 billion
• U.S. products hold 80% market share
• Opportunities: leasing commercial aircraft, upgrading
   airports facilities, supplying spare parts, private jets
• GOI issued new Aviation Law which fully ratifies the
   Cape Town Convention  US Exim Bank Finance will
   be available for Indonesia’s purchase for US aircraft


                                                              Anasia Silviati
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

               Market Opportunities
Telecommunication Equipment and
Services:
•   Market size $7B (2010), approx. 75% products, 25% services
•   US origin – 20% of products, 5% of services
•   Growth – 25-30%
•   10M fix line – 4% penetration
•   180M cell – 76% penetration
•   Imports – 80%
•   Broadband penetration : 3%
•   Best products : WiMax base stations, ancillary and transmission
    equipment, switching, smart handsets
•   Best services : network optimization, billing, value added
    services, financial services, content providers
                                                                      Kalung Riang
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

               Market Opportunities
Information Technology :
•   Market size $3.7B (2010), approx 50% products, 50% services

•   US origin – 40% products, 5% services

•   Growth – 30-35%

•   Imports – 80%

•   PC penetration – 4%

•   Internet penetration (Incl, via handsets and internet kiosk) – 15-20%

•   Broadband penetration : 3% (cable + wireless)

•   Best products : low cost notebooks and Wimax BWA BS

•   Best services : education contents and remote services (tele            Kalung Riang
    medicine, e-government software)
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

             Market Opportunities
U.S. Higher Education :

•First priority of U.S. Embassy in Jakarta, Indonesia

•U.S. Higher Education Mission in April bringing 56 U.S.
 institutions, attracting thousands of prospective Indonesian
 students and families

•Currently, 6,943 Indonesian students in the U.S., making
 Indonesia as the top 18th country sending students to USA

•Majority of Indonesian students are at Undergraduate level

•In FY 2011, student visas issuance increased 25 percent from
 FY 2010 to the highest figure within 10 years
                                                                Ignatius Indriartoto
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

           Market Opportunities
Retail :
• Opened to foreign investment in 1998
• Sales in 2010 reached $9.68 billion
• Most foreign investment is in the hypermarket
  sector

• Foreign retailers account only 8 percent of
  outlets, but capture 40 percent of the total retail
  sales

• U.S. retailers are strong in the specialty shop
  and minimarket/convenient stores
                                                        Ignatius Indriartoto
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

          Market Opportunities
 Franchises :

• Home to 278 foreign and 92 local franchises
• Best prospective sub-sectors: Food and
  Beverages, Education products and services
  (including children’s education), Retail and
  Business Services.
• American franchises dominate, but strong
  competition come from
  Singapore, France, Australia, the United
  Kingdom, Thailand, and domestic franchises
• Estimated future growth around 5 percent.
                                                 Sharon Chandra
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

           Market Opportunities
Medical Equipment Supplies:

• Estimated market was $573 million in 2010
• 2010 Imports estimate= $543 million: over 90
  percent of the market are imported
  products, over 20 percent is from U.S.

• Competitors: Japan, Germany, China, Korea
• Best Prospects: Ventilators, Anesthesia
  equipment, Patient monitoring
  equipment, Diagnostic equipment and disposable
  products
                                                   Sharon Chandra
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
79 PROJECTS WORTH Rp 53.40 TRILLION OFFERED
WITH THE PPP FINANCING SCHEME
 4 PRIORITY PROJECTS:
1. CENTRAL JAVA COAL FIRED PLANT, 2 x 1,000 MW, $3.2 billion
   Developer : consortium Adaro, J Power, Itochu
2. SOEKARNO – HATTA AIRPORT MANGARAI STATION RAIL LINK
   Waiting for new regulation
3. PURUK CAHU – BANGKUNANG COAL RAILWAY IN CENTRAL KALIMANTAN
   Finished prequalification
4. UMBULAN WATER SUPPLY IN EAST JAVA
   Finished prequalification

ROAD AND TOLL ROAD:
Development of 700 km expressway, including Trans-Java highway and the
Jabodetabek expressways.
PORT:
6 potential projects worth US$ 4.1 billion, including the development of Maloy
International Port (US$ 1.8 billion).

AIRPORT:
8 airport projects worth US$ 2.2 billion, including the Kertajati International Airport in
West Java and New Bali Airport.                                                              Anasia Silviati
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
MASTER PLAN FOR THE ACCELARATION AND EXPANSION
 OF INDONESIA’S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT (MP3EI)
                  2011 – 2025
 Aimed for:
 One of the world’s 10 biggest economies by 2025, taking GDP to $4.5 trillion and increasing the per capita income from $3000
 now to $15,000.

19 MP3EI projects worth Rp. 55.01 trillion included
• Bali`s Ngurah Rai airport (Rp1.2 trillion)
• 9,981 km of Sumatra`s Fiber Optic Nusantara Super Highway Ring(Rp87.4 billion)
•The Java-Kalimantan-Sulawesi-Denpasar-Mataram fiber optic project (Rp86 billion)
•The Mataram-Kupang Cable System (Rp6.8 trillion)
•Floating Storage and gas project Unit in West Java (Rp500 billion)
•Three units of 3.500 DWT tanker ships in Surabaya and Lampung (Rp109.49 billion)
•The upgrading project of Pertamina`s lubricating oil unit in Jakarta (Rp103.55 billion)
•A fuel oil transit terminal (depot) in Bau-Bau (Rp337.1 billion)
•A rig project in Jakarta (Rp393 billion)
•Alumina chemical grade project in West Kalimantan (US$450 million)
•Sei Mangkei industrial estate in North Sumatra (Rp3,68 trillion)
•Integrated steel in Banten (Rp26. trillion)
•The steel project South Kalimantan (Rp1.2 trillion)
•6.000 DWT tanker ship in Jakarta (Rp46.1 million)
•17.500 DWT tanker ship, stage I, (Rp245.1 million) and stage II (Rp294.1 billion)
                                                                                                      Anasia Silviati
Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia

               U.S. Commercial Service
                U.S. Embassy Jakarta
    Services Offered :

•   Single Company Promotion

•   Gold Key Service

•   International Partner Search

•   Market Research

•   Video Conferencing
                                   www.export.gov/indonesia
•   Company Background Check
                                   Email: office.jakarta@trade.gov
Indonesia
  The Largest Economy in South East Asia




Thank You
                            Anasia Silviati
                  Email: Anasia.Silviati@trade.gov

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Anasia silviati

  • 1. Indonesia The Largest Economy in South East Asia Anasia Silviati Senior Commercial Specialist U.S. Embassy - Jakarta
  • 2. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
  • 3. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia A Giant Market Population 4th Largest Country in the World 237 Million people - 5% Chinese Indonesians Archipelago of 17,000 islands More than 300 ethnic groups
  • 4. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia A Country at the Crossroads • Strategic location at crossroads of Asian sea trade • A member of the G-20 • #1 for Twitter user penetration in the world • #2 for Facebook users in the world (behind US) • More 3G subscribers than China •Households with US$5,000 to US$15,000 annual disposable income expected to increase from 36% to 58% of population by 2020. •60 million Indonesians projected to move up into the middle class in the next 10 years.
  • 5. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Democracy and Renewed Growth (“The Year of Living Dangerously  “Eat Pray Love”) • 2010 Growth and Democracy strengthened Obama “Comprehensive Partnership” Expanded growth to 6.1% • 2009 Re-election of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono - Steady growth at 5.2% • 2004 Election of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono – growth returns to 6%+ • 1998 - 2004 Restructuring economic & transition to democracy • 1997-1998 Asian Financial Crisis – GDP falls 14% • 1965 – 1997 Suharto Era – annual growth of 7-8%
  • 6. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Security Conditions Improving then ….. October 12, 2002 Bali Bombings Kill 202 August 5, 2003 Marriott Bombing September 2004 Australian Embassy Bombing October, 2005 Bali Bombings Kill 23 now ….. 2006 – present No Bombings Hundreds of Terrorists Jailed May 2008 Travel Warning Lifted Present Terrorists Being Contained
  • 7. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia GDP Growth GDP Growth 8.00% 7.00% 6.00% 6.40% 6.00% 6.70% 6.00% 6.34% PerCapita GDP 5.00% 4.55% 4.00% 2009 = $4,149 3.00% 2010 = $4,346 2.00% 2011*= $4,657 *estimated 1.00% 0.00% 2011 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 (forecast) (forecast) GDP Growth 6.34% 6.00% 4.55% 6.00% 6.40% 6.70% Year
  • 8. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Inflation Is Relatively Low Consumer price inflation 12.00% 9.78% 10.00% 8.00% 6.96% 6.00% 6.03% 5.30% 5.30% 4.00% 4.81% 2.00% 0.00% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (est) 2012 (est) Consumer price inflation 6.03% 9.78% 4.81% 6.96% 5.30% 5.30% Year
  • 9. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Steady Exchange Rate Exchange rate Rp12,000 Rp10,950 Rp10,312 Rp10,000 Rp8,942 Rp9,143 Rp8,996 Rp8,000 Exchange rate Rp6,000 Rp4,000 Rp2,000 Rp0 2007 2008 2009 2010 (est) 2011 (est) Exchange rate Rp9,143 Rp10,950 Rp10,312 Rp8,996 Rp8,942 Year
  • 10. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia U.S. - Indonesia Trade: Indonesian Imports • In 2009, U.S. was the 4th Largest Source of Japan, 10.17% Indonesian imports Other, 34.18% Singapore, 16.06% after “Singapore”, China and Japan • Worldwide, rank of Indonesia as U.S. Export Destination in 2010 was 32th (0.5% of U.S. Export, Jan-Oct 2010) USA, 7.32% • Rank of Indonesia as Malaysia, 5.87% Exporters to the U.S. in China, 14.46% Thailand, 4.76% India, 2.28% Korea, 4.90% 2010 was 24th (0.86% of U.S. Imports, Jan- Oct 2010) Source: Indonesian Statistic
  • 11. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia U.S. Exports to Indonesia Other commodities and Transportation transaction, 28.80% Equipment, 26.20% In 2010, U.S. Exports to Indonesia = $6.94 Food Manufactures, 10.60% Agricultural Billion Products, 20.60% Chemicals, 13.80% Source: U.S. Dept of Commerce - TradeStats Express
  • 12. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia
  • 13. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Market Opportunities Energy & Mining: • Demand increase 8%/year. By 2018 need additional of 57.4 GW Imported Products $809 Million (Estimated 2010). By 2010- 2014, investment will reach $50.4 Billion • Oil and Gas Investment $13.5 Billion in 2010 and will reach $14.9 billion in 2011 U.S. products $324 million in 2010 39 New blocks will be offered in 2011 • GOI issued new Mining Law on January 2009 Imported products $1.06 billion in 2010 Ignatius Indriartoto Investment reached $3.2 billion in 2010
  • 14. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Market Opportunities Aviation : • 19 scheduled and 41 chartered airline companies • Number of domestic passengers reached 48 million in 2010 and will increase by 15% in 2011 • Imports of aircraft & parts in 2010: $1.5 billion • U.S. products hold 80% market share • Opportunities: leasing commercial aircraft, upgrading airports facilities, supplying spare parts, private jets • GOI issued new Aviation Law which fully ratifies the Cape Town Convention  US Exim Bank Finance will be available for Indonesia’s purchase for US aircraft Anasia Silviati
  • 15. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Market Opportunities Telecommunication Equipment and Services: • Market size $7B (2010), approx. 75% products, 25% services • US origin – 20% of products, 5% of services • Growth – 25-30% • 10M fix line – 4% penetration • 180M cell – 76% penetration • Imports – 80% • Broadband penetration : 3% • Best products : WiMax base stations, ancillary and transmission equipment, switching, smart handsets • Best services : network optimization, billing, value added services, financial services, content providers Kalung Riang
  • 16. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Market Opportunities Information Technology : • Market size $3.7B (2010), approx 50% products, 50% services • US origin – 40% products, 5% services • Growth – 30-35% • Imports – 80% • PC penetration – 4% • Internet penetration (Incl, via handsets and internet kiosk) – 15-20% • Broadband penetration : 3% (cable + wireless) • Best products : low cost notebooks and Wimax BWA BS • Best services : education contents and remote services (tele Kalung Riang medicine, e-government software)
  • 17. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Market Opportunities U.S. Higher Education : •First priority of U.S. Embassy in Jakarta, Indonesia •U.S. Higher Education Mission in April bringing 56 U.S. institutions, attracting thousands of prospective Indonesian students and families •Currently, 6,943 Indonesian students in the U.S., making Indonesia as the top 18th country sending students to USA •Majority of Indonesian students are at Undergraduate level •In FY 2011, student visas issuance increased 25 percent from FY 2010 to the highest figure within 10 years Ignatius Indriartoto
  • 18. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Market Opportunities Retail : • Opened to foreign investment in 1998 • Sales in 2010 reached $9.68 billion • Most foreign investment is in the hypermarket sector • Foreign retailers account only 8 percent of outlets, but capture 40 percent of the total retail sales • U.S. retailers are strong in the specialty shop and minimarket/convenient stores Ignatius Indriartoto
  • 19. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Market Opportunities Franchises : • Home to 278 foreign and 92 local franchises • Best prospective sub-sectors: Food and Beverages, Education products and services (including children’s education), Retail and Business Services. • American franchises dominate, but strong competition come from Singapore, France, Australia, the United Kingdom, Thailand, and domestic franchises • Estimated future growth around 5 percent. Sharon Chandra
  • 20. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia Market Opportunities Medical Equipment Supplies: • Estimated market was $573 million in 2010 • 2010 Imports estimate= $543 million: over 90 percent of the market are imported products, over 20 percent is from U.S. • Competitors: Japan, Germany, China, Korea • Best Prospects: Ventilators, Anesthesia equipment, Patient monitoring equipment, Diagnostic equipment and disposable products Sharon Chandra
  • 21. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS 79 PROJECTS WORTH Rp 53.40 TRILLION OFFERED WITH THE PPP FINANCING SCHEME 4 PRIORITY PROJECTS: 1. CENTRAL JAVA COAL FIRED PLANT, 2 x 1,000 MW, $3.2 billion Developer : consortium Adaro, J Power, Itochu 2. SOEKARNO – HATTA AIRPORT MANGARAI STATION RAIL LINK Waiting for new regulation 3. PURUK CAHU – BANGKUNANG COAL RAILWAY IN CENTRAL KALIMANTAN Finished prequalification 4. UMBULAN WATER SUPPLY IN EAST JAVA Finished prequalification ROAD AND TOLL ROAD: Development of 700 km expressway, including Trans-Java highway and the Jabodetabek expressways. PORT: 6 potential projects worth US$ 4.1 billion, including the development of Maloy International Port (US$ 1.8 billion). AIRPORT: 8 airport projects worth US$ 2.2 billion, including the Kertajati International Airport in West Java and New Bali Airport. Anasia Silviati
  • 22. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia MASTER PLAN FOR THE ACCELARATION AND EXPANSION OF INDONESIA’S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT (MP3EI) 2011 – 2025 Aimed for: One of the world’s 10 biggest economies by 2025, taking GDP to $4.5 trillion and increasing the per capita income from $3000 now to $15,000. 19 MP3EI projects worth Rp. 55.01 trillion included • Bali`s Ngurah Rai airport (Rp1.2 trillion) • 9,981 km of Sumatra`s Fiber Optic Nusantara Super Highway Ring(Rp87.4 billion) •The Java-Kalimantan-Sulawesi-Denpasar-Mataram fiber optic project (Rp86 billion) •The Mataram-Kupang Cable System (Rp6.8 trillion) •Floating Storage and gas project Unit in West Java (Rp500 billion) •Three units of 3.500 DWT tanker ships in Surabaya and Lampung (Rp109.49 billion) •The upgrading project of Pertamina`s lubricating oil unit in Jakarta (Rp103.55 billion) •A fuel oil transit terminal (depot) in Bau-Bau (Rp337.1 billion) •A rig project in Jakarta (Rp393 billion) •Alumina chemical grade project in West Kalimantan (US$450 million) •Sei Mangkei industrial estate in North Sumatra (Rp3,68 trillion) •Integrated steel in Banten (Rp26. trillion) •The steel project South Kalimantan (Rp1.2 trillion) •6.000 DWT tanker ship in Jakarta (Rp46.1 million) •17.500 DWT tanker ship, stage I, (Rp245.1 million) and stage II (Rp294.1 billion) Anasia Silviati
  • 23. Indonesia - The Largest Economy in South East Asia U.S. Commercial Service U.S. Embassy Jakarta Services Offered : • Single Company Promotion • Gold Key Service • International Partner Search • Market Research • Video Conferencing www.export.gov/indonesia • Company Background Check Email: office.jakarta@trade.gov
  • 24. Indonesia The Largest Economy in South East Asia Thank You Anasia Silviati Email: Anasia.Silviati@trade.gov